Select Publications

Book Chapters

Kay M; MacGill I, 2014, 'Improving NWP Forecasts for the Wind Energy Sector', in Troccoli A; Dubus L; Haupt SE (ed.), Weather Matters for Energy, Springer New York, New York, pp. 413 - 428, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-9221-4_20

Journal articles

Bell NO; Bilbao JI; Kay M; Sproul AB, 2022, 'Future climate scenarios and their impact on heating, ventilation and air-conditioning system design and performance for commercial buildings for 2050', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 162, pp. 112363 - 112363, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112363

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2022, 'Forecasting error processing techniques and frequency domain decomposition for forecasting error compensation and renewable energy firming in hybrid systems', Applied Energy, vol. 313, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118748

Prasad AA; Nishant N; Kay M, 2022, 'Dust cycle and soiling issues affecting solar energy reductions in Australia using multiple datasets', Applied Energy, vol. 310, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118626

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2022, 'Modelling and optimal energy management for battery energy storage systems in renewable energy systems: A review', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 167, pp. 112671 - 112671, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112671

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Bremner S; Prasad A, 2021, 'Validation of Australian atmospheric aerosols from reanalysis data and CMIP6 simulations', Atmospheric Research, vol. 264, pp. 105856 - 105856, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105856

Prasad AA; Yang Y; Kay M; Menictas C; Bremner S, 2021, 'Synergy of solar photovoltaics-wind-battery systems in Australia', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 152, pp. 111693 - 111693, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.111693

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2021, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a64

Prasad A; Kay M, 2021, 'Prediction of Solar Power Using Near-Real Time Satellite Data', Energies, vol. 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en14185865

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2021, 'Impact of forecasting error characteristics on battery sizing in hybrid power systems', Journal of Energy Storage, vol. 39, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.est.2021.102567

Yang D; Alessandrini S; Antonanzas J; Antonanzas-Torres F; Badescu V; Beyer HG; Blaga R; Boland J; Bright JM; Coimbra CFM; David M; Frimane Â; Gueymard CA; Hong T; Kay MJ; Killinger S; Kleissl J; Lauret P; Lorenz E; van der Meer D; Paulescu M; Perez R; Perpiñán-Lamigueiro O; Peters IM; Reikard G; Renné D; Saint-Drenan YM; Shuai Y; Urraca R; Verbois H; Vignola F; Voyant C; Zhang J, 2020, 'Verification of deterministic solar forecasts', Solar Energy, vol. 210, pp. 20 - 37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2020.04.019

Prasad AA; Kay M, 2020, 'Assessment of simulated solar irradiance on days of high intermittency using WRF-solar', Energies, vol. 13, pp. 385 - 385, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en13020385

Ekins-Daukes N; Kay M, 2019, 'Brighten the dark skies', Nature Energy, vol. 4, pp. 633 - 634, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41560-019-0440-0

Joshi B; Kay M; Copper JK; Sproul AB, 2019, 'Evaluation of solar irradiance forecasting skills of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's ACCESS models', Solar Energy, vol. 188, pp. 386 - 402, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2019.06.007

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2019, 'A mixed receding horizon control strategy for battery energy storage system scheduling in a hybrid pv andwind power plant with different forecast techniques', Energies, vol. 12, pp. 2326 - 2326, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en12122326

Mukkavilli SK; Prasad AA; Taylor RA; Huang J; Mitchell RM; Troccoli A; Kay MJ, 2018, 'Assessment of atmospheric aerosols from two reanalysis products over Australia', Atmospheric Research, vol. 215, pp. 149 - 164, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.08.026

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2018, 'Battery energy storage system size determination in renewable energy systems: A review', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 91, pp. 109 - 125, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.047

Mukkavilli SK; Prasad AA; Taylor RA; TROCCOLI A; Kay MJ, 2018, 'Mesoscale simulations of Australian direct normal irradiance, featuring an extreme dust event', Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, vol. 57, pp. 467 - 515, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0091.1

Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Pitman A, 2018, 'The resilience of Australian wind energy to climate change', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa632

Prasad AA; Taylor RA; Kay M, 2017, 'Assessment of solar and wind resource synergy in Australia', Applied Energy, vol. 190, pp. 354 - 367, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.12.135

Lazos D; Kay M; Sproul A, 2017, 'Development of a numericalweather analysis tool for assessing the precooling potential at any location', Energies, vol. 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en10010021

Law EW; Kay M; Taylor RA, 2016, 'Evaluating the benefits of using short-term direct normal irradiance forecasts to operate a concentrated solar thermal plant', Solar Energy, vol. 140, pp. 93 - 108, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2016.10.037

Law EW; Kay M; Taylor RA, 2016, 'Calculating the financial value of a concentrated solar thermal plant operated using direct normal irradiance forecasts', Solar Energy, vol. 125, pp. 267 - 281, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2015.12.031

Kay M, 2016, 'The application of TAPM for site specificwind energy forecasting', Atmosphere, vol. 7, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos7020023

Lazos D; Sproul AB; Kay M, 2015, 'Development of hybrid numerical and statistical short term horizon weather prediction models for building energy management optimisation', Building and Environment, vol. 90, pp. 82 - 95, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.03.025

Prasad AA; Taylor RA; Kay M, 2015, 'Assessment of direct normal irradiance and cloud connections using satellite data over Australia', Applied Energy, vol. 143, pp. 301 - 311, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.01.050

Elliston B; MacGill I; Prasad A; Kay M, 2015, 'Spatio-temporal characterisation of extended low direct normal irradiance events over Australia using satellite derived solar radiation data', Renewable Energy, vol. 74, pp. 633 - 639, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2014.08.067

Kay MJ; Lazos D; Sproul AB, 2014, 'Optimisation of energy management in commercial buildings with weather forecasting inputs: A review', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 39, pp. 587 - 603, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.053

Law EW; Prasad AA; Kay MJ; Taylor R, 2014, 'Direct normal irradiance forecasting and its application to concentrated solar thermal output forecasting – A review', Solar Energy, vol. 108, pp. 287 - 307, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.07.008

Dehghan A; Prasad AA; Sherwood SC; Kay M, 2014, 'Evaluation and improvement of TAPM in estimating solar irradiance in Eastern Australia', Solar Energy, vol. 107, pp. 668 - 680, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.06.018

Kay MJ; Cutler N; Micolich AP; MacGill IF; Outhred HR, 2009, 'Emerging challenges in wind energy forecasting for Australia', Australian Meteorological Magazine, vol. 58, pp. 99 - 106, http://dx.doi.org/10.22499/2.5802.002

Cutler N; Outhred HR; MacGill IF; Kay MJ; Kepert J, 2008, 'Characterizing Future Large, Rapid Changes in Aggregated Wind Power using Numerical Weather Prediction Spatial Fields', Wind Energy, vol. 12, pp. 542 - 555, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/we.312

Cutler N; Kay M; Outhred H; MacGill I, 2007, 'High-risk scenarios for wind power forecasting in Australia', European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition 2007, EWEC 2007, vol. 2, pp. 863 - 874

Cutler N; Kay MJ; Jacka K; Nielsen TS, 2007, 'Detecting Categorizing and Forecasting Large Ramps in Wind Farm Power Output Using Meteorological Observations and WPPT', Wind Energy, vol. 10, pp. 453 - 470

Cutler N; Kay MJ; Jacka K; Nielsen T, 2007, 'Detecting, categorizing and forecasting large ramps in wind farm power output using meteorological observations and WPPT', Wind Energy, vol. 10, pp. 453 - 470, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/we.235

Kay MJ; Box MA; Trautmann T, 2002, 'An efficient method to increase vertical resolution of actinic flux calculations in clouds', Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, vol. 107, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2001JD001581

Kay MJ; Box MA; Trautmann T, 2002, 'An efficient method to increase vertical resolution of actinic flux calculations in clouds', Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 107, pp. 4405 - 4409, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2001JD001581

Box MA; Box GP; Kay MJ; Kuzmanoski M; Taha G; Cohen D, 2002, 'Physical, chemical and radiative properties of aerosols in Sydney, Australia', Australian Meteorological Magazine, vol. 51, pp. 223 - 228, http://www.bom.gov.au/amm/papers.php?year=2002

Kay MJ; Box MA; Trautmann T; Landgraf J, 2001, 'Actinic flux and net flux calculations in radiative transfer - A comparative study of computational efficiency', Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol. 58, pp. 3752 - 3761, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2001)0582.0.CO;2

Kay MJ; Box MA, 2000, 'Radiative effects of absorbing aerosols and the impact of water vapor', Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 105, pp. 12221 - 12234, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2000JD900065

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay MJ; Prasad AA; Bremner S, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10507147.1

Conference Papers

Yang Y; Menictas C; Bremner S; Kay M, 2018, 'A Comparison Study of Dispatching Various Battery Technologies in a Hybrid PV and Wind Power Plant', in IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/PESGM.2018.8585803

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Meng K; Dong ZY; Kay M, 2018, 'An economic optimization for BESS sizing in a hybrid PV and wind power plant', in 2017 IEEE Innovative Smart Grid Technologies - Asia: Smart Grid for Smart Community, ISGT-Asia 2017, pp. 1 - 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ISGT-Asia.2017.8378353

Law E; Kay M; Taylor R, 2014, 'Assessing the economic benefit of forecasting concentrated solar thermal energy output', in Proceedings of the 52nd Annual Conference, Australian Solar Energy Society (Australian Solar Council) Melbourne May 2014, Solar 2014 Conference & Exhibition, Melbourne, VIC, presented at Solar 2014 Conference & Exhibition, Melbourne, VIC, 08 May 2014 - 09 May 2014, http://solar.org.au/papers/14papers/%2324_final.pdf

Corkish RP; Bremner S; Bruce A; Duo H; Hawkes E; Kay MJ; Lennon AJ; Sproul AB; Spooner ED; Shrestha SK; Stapleton G; Uddin A; Watt ME; Wentworth D, 2010, 'Renewable Energy Education at UNSW', in Journal of Materials Education, AuSES (Australian Solar Energy Society), Canberra, pp. 117 - 132, presented at Solar 2010: 48th ANZSES Annual Conference, Canberra, 01 December 2010 - 03 December 2010, http://www.auses.org.au/conference/

Boerema N; Kay MJ; MacGill IF, 2010, 'Renewable energy integration into the Australian National Electricity Market: Characterising the energy value of wind and solar generation', in Solar 2010, Australian Solar Energy Society, Canberra, Australia, presented at Solar 2010, Canberra, Australia, 01 December 2010 - 03 December 2010

Kay MJ; MacGill IF, 2010, 'Improving weather forecasts for wind energy applications', in IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Sciences, IOP Publishing Ltd, Bristol UK, presented at 17th National Conference of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, Canberra, ACT, Australia, 27 January 2010 - 29 January 2010, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/11/1/012009

Conference Posters

Prasad A; Kay M, 2019, 'Impact of sub-grid clouds on solar irradiance predictions on days of high intermittency', Copenhagen, Denmark, presented at 6th International Conference Energy & Meteorology, Copenhagen, Denmark, 24 June 2019 - 27 June 2019

Conference Presentations

Prasad A; Nishant N; Kay M, 2022, 'Reduction in solar energy due to soiling from dust in Australia', presented at 13th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, Christchurch, New Zealand, 08 February 2022 - 17 February 2022

Prasad A; Kay M; Bremner S, 2021, 'Synergy characteristics of Solar Photovoltaics-Wind-Battery Hybrid Systems in Australia', presented at Environmental Research Conference 2021, Virtual, 15 November 2021 - 19 November 2021


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