By Emeritus Professor John Alexander Church

Journal articles

Mu D; Church JA; King M; Ludwigsen CB; Xu T, 2024, 'Contrasting Discrepancy in the Sea Level Budget Between the North and South Atlantic Ocean Since 2016', Earth and Space Science, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023EA003133

Slangen A; Palmer M; Camargo C; Church J; Edwards T; Hermans T; Hewitt H; Garner G; Gregory J; Kopp R; Malagon Santos V; van de Wal R, 2024, 'Sea-level projections in recent IPCC reports: how we got here, where we are and where we’re going ', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-9008

Von Schuckmann K; Minière A; Gues F; Cuesta-Valero FJ; Kirchengast G; Adusumilli S; Straneo F; Ablain M; Allan RP; Barker PM; Beltrami H; Blazquez A; Boyer T; Cheng L; Church J; Desbruyeres D; Dolman H; Domingues CM; García-García A; Giglio D; Gilson JE; Gorfer M; Haimberger L; Hakuba MZ; Hendricks S; Hosoda S; Johnson GC; Killick R; King B; Kolodziejczyk N; Korosov A; Krinner G; Kuusela M; Landerer FW; Langer M; Lavergne T; Lawrence I; Li Y; Lyman J; Marti F; Marzeion B; Mayer M; MacDougall AH; McDougall T; Monselesan DP; Nitzbon J; Otosaka I; Peng J; Purkey S; Roemmich D; Sato K; Sato K; Savita A; Schweiger A; Shepherd A; Seneviratne SI; Simons L; Slater DA; Slater T; Steiner AK; Suga T; Szekely T; Thiery W; Timmermans ML; Vanderkelen I; Wjiffels SE; Wu T; Zemp M, 2023, 'Heat stored in the Earth system 1960-2020: where does the energy go?', Earth System Science Data, 15, pp. 1675 - 1709, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-1675-2023

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA; Wu Q; Fiedler R; Dias FB, 2023, 'Roles of Surface Forcing in the Southern Ocean Temperature and Salinity Changes under Increasing CO2: Perspectives from Model Perturbation Experiments and a Theoretical Framework', Journal of Physical Oceanography, 53, pp. 19 - 36, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-22-0095.1

Slangen ABA; Palmer MD; Camargo CML; Church JA; Edwards TL; Hermans THJ; Hewitt HT; Garner GG; Gregory JM; Kopp RE; Santos VM; van de Wal RSW, 2023, 'The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond', Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures, 1, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cft.2022.8

Li Y; Church JA; McDougall TJ; Barker PM, 2022, 'Sensitivity of Observationally Based Estimates of Ocean Heat Content and Thermal Expansion to Vertical Interpolation Schemes', Geophysical Research Letters, 49, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101079

van de Wal RSW; Nicholls RJ; Behar D; McInnes K; Stammer D; Lowe JA; Church JA; DeConto R; Fettweis X; Goelzer H; Haasnoot M; Haigh ID; Hinkel J; Horton BP; James TS; Jenkins A; LeCozannet G; Levermann A; Lipscomb WH; Marzeion B; Pattyn F; Payne AJ; Pfeffer WT; Price SF; Seroussi H; Sun S; Veatch W; White K, 2022, 'A High-End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners', Earth's Future, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002751

Sohail T; Zika JD; Irving DB; Church JA, 2022, 'Observed poleward freshwater transport since 1970', Nature, 602, pp. 617 - 622, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-04370-w

Savita A; Domingues CM; Boyer T; Gouretski V; Ishii M; Johnson GC; Lyman JM; Willis JK; Marsland SJ; Hobbs W; Church JA; Monselesan DP; Dobrohotoff P; Cowley R; Wijffels SE, 2022, 'Quantifying Spread in Spatiotemporal Changes of Upper-Ocean Heat Content Estimates: An Internationally Coordinated Comparison', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 851 - 875, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0603.1

Wang J; Church JA; Zhang X; Chen X, 2021, 'Reconciling global mean and regional sea level change in projections and observations', Nature Communications, 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21265-6

Wang J; Church JA; Zhang X; Gregory JM; Zanna L; Chen X, 2021, 'Evaluation of the Local Sea-Level Budget at Tide Gauges Since 1958', Geophysical Research Letters, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094502

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA, 2021, 'Projected ocean warming constrained by the ocean observational record', Nature Climate Change, 11, pp. 834 - 839, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01151-1

Jin Y; Zhang X; Church JA; Bao X, 2021, 'Projected sea level changes in the marginal seas near China based on dynamical downscaling', Journal of Climate, 34, pp. 7037 - 7055, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0796.1

Wu Q; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J; Gregory JM, 2021, 'Evolving patterns of sterodynamic sea-level rise under mitigation scenarios and insights from linear system theory', Climate Dynamics, 57, pp. 635 - 656, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05727-7

Sohail T; Irving DB; Zika JD; Holmes RM; Church JA, 2021, 'Fifty Year Trends in Global Ocean Heat Content Traced to Surface Heat Fluxes in the Sub-Polar Ocean', Geophysical Research Letters, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091439

Irving D; Hobbs W; Church J; Zika J, 2021, 'A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble', Journal of Climate, 34, pp. 3157 - 3170, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1

Sohail T; Irving DB; Zika JD; Holmes RM; Church JA, 2020, 'Long-term global ocean heat content change driven by sub-polar surface heat fluxes', , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10504695.1

Richter K; Meyssignac B; Slangen ABA; Melet A; Church JA; Fettweis X; Marzeion B; Agosta C; Ligtenberg SRM; Spada G; Palmer MD; Roberts CD; Champollion N, 2020, 'Detecting a forced signal in satellite-era sea-level change', Environmental Research Letters, 15, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab986e

Todd A; Zanna L; Couldrey M; Gregory J; Wu Q; Church JA; Farneti R; Navarro-Labastida R; Lyu K; Saenko O; Yang D; Zhang X, 2020, 'Ocean-Only FAFMIP: Understanding Regional Patterns of Ocean Heat Content and Dynamic Sea Level Change', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019MS002027

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA, 2020, 'Regional Dynamic Sea Level Simulated in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models: Mean Biases, Future Projections, and Their Linkages', Journal of Climate, 33, pp. 6377 - 6398, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1029.1

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA; Wu Q, 2020, 'Processes responsible for the southern hemisphere ocean heat uptake and redistribution under anthropogenic warming', Journal of Climate, 33, pp. 3787 - 3807, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0478.1

Todd A; Zanna L; Couldrey M; Gregory JM; Wu Q; Church JA; Farneti R; Navarro-Labastida R; Lyu K; Saenko OA; Yang D; Zhang X, 2020, 'Ocean-only FAFMIP: Understanding Regional Patterns of Ocean Heat Content and Dynamic Sea Level Change.', , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10501557.1

Gregory JM; Griffies SM; Hughes CW; Lowe JA; Church JA; Fukimori I; Gomez N; Kopp RE; Landerer F; Cozannet GL; Ponte RM; Stammer D; Tamisiea ME; van de Wal RSW, 2019, 'Concepts and Terminology for Sea Level: Mean, Variability and Change, Both Local and Global', Surveys in Geophysics, 40, pp. 1251 - 1289, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09525-z

Gregory JM; Griffies SM; Hughes CW; Lowe JA; Church JA; Fukumori I; Gomez N; Kopp RE; Landerer F; Cozannet GL; Ponte RM; Stammer D; Tamisiea ME; van de Wal RSW, 2019, 'Correction to: Concepts and Terminology for Sea Level: Mean, Variability and Change, Both Local and Global (Surveys in Geophysics, (2019), 40, 6, (1251-1289), 10.1007/s10712-019-09525-z)', Surveys in Geophysics, 40, pp. 1291 - 1292, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09555-7

Stammer D; van de Wal RSW; Nicholls RJ; Church JA; Le Cozannet G; Lowe JA; Horton BP; White K; Behar D; Hinkel J, 2019, 'Framework for High-End Estimates of Sea Level Rise for Stakeholder Applications', Earth's Future, 7, pp. 923 - 938, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001163

Irving DB; Wijffels S; Church JA, 2019, 'Anthropogenic Aerosols, Greenhouse Gases, and the Uptake, Transport, and Storage of Excess Heat in the Climate System', Geophysical Research Letters, 46, pp. 4894 - 4903, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082015

Hinkel J; Church JA; Gregory JM; Lambert E; Le Cozannet G; Lowe J; McInnes KL; Nicholls RJ; van der Pol TD; van de Wal R, 2019, 'Meeting User Needs for Sea Level Rise Information: A Decision Analysis Perspective', Earth's Future, 7, pp. 320 - 337, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001071

Palmer MD; Durack P; Chidichimo MP; Church J; Cravatte SE; Hill KL; Johannessen J; Karstensen J; Lee T; Legler D; Mazloff M; Oka E; Purkey S; Rabe B; Sallée JB; Sloyan BM; Speich S; von Schuckmann K; Willis J; Wijffels SE, 2019, 'Adequacy of the ocean observation system for quantifying regional heat and freshwater storage and change', Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00416

Wu Q; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J, 2019, 'ENSO-Related global ocean heat content variations', Journal of Climate, 32, pp. 45 - 68, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0861.1

Meyssignac B; Boyer T; Zhao Z; Hakuba MZ; Landerer FW; Stammer D; Köhl A; Kato S; L'Ecuyer T; Ablain M; Abraham JP; Blazquez A; Cazenave A; Church JA; Cowley R; Cheng L; Domingues C; Giglio D; Gouretski V; Ishii M; Johnson GC; Killick RE; Legler D; Llovel W; Lyman J; Palmer MD; Piotrowicz S; Purkey S; Roemmich D; Roca R; Savita A; Schuckmann KV; Speich S; Stephens G; Wang GG; Wijffels SE; Zilberman N, 2019, 'Measuring global ocean heat content to estimate the earth energy imbalance', Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00432

Cazenave A; Meyssignac B; Ablain M; Balmaseda M; Bamber J; Barletta V; Beckley B; Benveniste J; Berthier E; Blazquez A; Boyer T; Caceres D; Chambers D; Champollion N; Chao B; Chen J; Cheng L; Church JA; Chuter S; Cogley JG; Dangendorf S; Desbruyères D; Döll P; Domingues C; Falk U; Famiglietti J; Fenoglio-Marc L; Forsberg R; Galassi G; Gardner A; Groh A; Hamlington B; Hogg A; Horwath M; Humphrey V; Husson L; Ishii M; Jaeggi A; Jevrejeva S; Johnson G; Kolodziejczyk N; Kusche J; Lambeck K; Landerer F; Leclercq P; Legresy B; Leuliette E; Llovel W; Longuevergne L; Loomis BD; Luthcke SB; Marcos M; Marzeion B; Merchant C; Merrifield M; Milne G; Mitchum G; Mohajerani Y; Monier M; Monselesan D; Nerem S; Palanisamy H; Paul F; Perez B; Piecuch CG; Ponte RM; Purkey SG; Reager JT; Rietbroek R; Rignot E; Riva R; Roemmich DH; Sørensen LS; Sasgen I; Schrama EJO; Seneviratne SI; Shum CK; Spada G; Stammer D; van de Wal R; Velicogna I; Schuckmann KV; Wada Y; Wang Y; Watson C; Wiese D; Wijffels S; Westaway R; Woppelmann G; Wouters B, 2018, 'Global sea-level budget 1993-present', Earth System Science Data, 10, pp. 1551 - 1590, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-1551-2018

Royston S; Watson CS; Legrésy B; King MA; Church JA; Bos MS, 2018, 'Sea-Level Trend Uncertainty With Pacific Climatic Variability and Temporally-Correlated Noise', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123, pp. 1978 - 1993, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013655

Slangen ABA; Meyssignac B; Agosta C; Champollion N; Church JA; Fettweis X; Ligtenberg SRM; Marzeion B; Melet A; Palmer MD; Richter K; Roberts CD; Spada G, 2017, 'Evaluating model simulations of twentieth-century sea level rise. Part I: Global mean sea level change', Journal of Climate, 30, pp. 8539 - 8563, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0110.1

Meyssignac B; Slangen ABA; Melet A; Church JA; Fettweis X; Marzeion B; Agosta C; Ligtenberg SRM; Spada G; Richter K; Palmer MD; Roberts CD; Champollion N, 2017, 'Evaluating model simulations of twentieth-century sea-level rise. Part II: Regional sea-level changes', Journal of Climate, 30, pp. 8565 - 8593, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0112.1

Carson M; Köhl A; Stammer D; Meyssignac B; Church J; Schröter J; Wenzel M; Hamlington B, 2017, 'Regional Sea Level Variability and Trends, 1960–2007: A Comparison of Sea Level Reconstructions and Ocean Syntheses', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 122, pp. 9068 - 9091, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017JC012992

Nerem RS; Cazenave A; Church J, 2017, 'Sea-level rise: No chaos in the satellite-data record', Nature, 549, pp. 334, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/549334d

Zhang X; Church JA; Monselesan D; McInnes KL, 2017, 'Sea level projections for the Australian region in the 21st century', Geophysical Research Letters, 44, pp. 8481 - 8491, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074176

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J; Yu JY, 2017, 'Distinguishing the Quasi-decadal and multidecadal sea level and climate variations in the pacific: Implications for the ENSO-like low-frequency variability', Journal of Climate, 30, pp. 5097 - 5117, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0004.1

Chen X; Zhang X; Church JA; Watson CS; King MA; Monselesan D; Legresy B; Harig C, 2017, 'The increasing rate of global mean sea-level rise during 1993-2014', Nature Climate Change, 7, pp. 492 - 495, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3325

Wu Q; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J, 2017, 'Variability and change of sea level and its components in the Indo-Pacific region during the altimetry era', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 122, pp. 1862 - 1881, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016JC012345

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J, 2016, 'Evaluation of the interdecadal variability of sea surface temperature and sea level in the Pacific in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models', International Journal of Climatology, 36, pp. 3723 - 3740, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4587

Slangen ABA; Church JA; Agosta C; Fettweis X; Marzeion B; Richter K, 2016, 'Anthropogenic forcing dominates global mean sea-level rise since 1970', Nature Climate Change, 6, pp. 701 - 705, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2991

Slangen ABA; Church JA; Agosta C; Fettweis X; Marzeion B; Richter K, 2016, 'Anthropogenic forcing dominates global mean sea-level rise since 1970 (vol 11, pg 1, 2016)', NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 6, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000378608900027&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1

Herraiz-Borreguero L; Church JA; Allison I; Peña-Molino B; Coleman R; Tomczak M; Craven M, 2016, 'Basal melt, seasonal water mass transformation, ocean current variability, and deep convection processes along the Amery Ice Shelf calving front, East Antarctica', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121, pp. 4946 - 4965, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016JC011858

Albert S; Leon JX; Grinham AR; Church JA; Gibbes BR; Woodroffe CD, 2016, 'Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands', Environmental Research Letters, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054011

Wijffels S; Roemmich D; Monselesan D; Church J; Gilson J, 2016, 'Ocean temperatures chronicle the ongoing warming of Earth', Nature Climate Change, 6, pp. 116 - 118, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2924

Carson M; Köhl A; Stammer D; A. Slangen AB; Katsman CA; W. van de Wal RS; Church J; White N, 2016, 'Coastal sea level changes, observed and projected during the 20th and 21st century', Climatic Change, 134, pp. 269 - 281, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1520-1

Boyer T; Domingues CM; Good SA; Johnson GC; Lyman JM; Ishii M; Gouretski V; Willis JK; Antonov J; Wijffels S; Church JA; Cowley R; Bindoff NL, 2016, 'Sensitivity of global upper-ocean heat content estimates to mapping methods, XBT bias corrections, and baseline climatologies', Journal of Climate, 29, pp. 4817 - 4842, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0801.1

Lago V; Wijffels SE; Durack PJ; Church JA; Bindoff NL; Marsland SJ, 2016, 'Simulating the role of surface forcing on observed multidecadal upper-ocean salinity changes', Journal of Climate, 29, pp. 5575 - 5588, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0519.1

Clark PU; Church JA; Gregory JM; Payne AJ, 2015, 'Recent Progress in Understanding and Projecting Regional and Global Mean Sea Level Change', Current Climate Change Reports, 1, pp. 224 - 246, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40641-015-0024-4

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