By Associate Professor Merlinde Jacqueline Kay

Book Chapters

Kay M; MacGill I, 2014, 'Improving NWP Forecasts for the Wind Energy Sector', in Troccoli A; Dubus L; Haupt SE (ed.), Weather Matters for Energy, Springer New York, New York, pp. 413 - 428, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-9221-4_20

Journal articles

Isaza A; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Brember S, 2024, 'Impacts of 2019–20 Australian bushfires on solar photovoltaic generation using high-resolution simulations', Solar Energy, 284, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2024.113025

Polo J; Poddar S; Simal N; Ballestrín J; Marzo A; Kay M; Carra E, 2024, 'Solar tower power generation under future attenuation and climate scenarios', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 207, pp. 114997 - 114997, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2024.114997

Poddar S; Kay M; Boland J, 2024, 'A Standardized Sky Condition Classification Method for Multiple Timescales and Its Applications in the Solar Industry', Energies, 17, pp. 4616, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en17184616

Huang H; Ata S; Rougieux F; Kay M, 2024, 'Decarbonising mining of Australia's critical mineral deposits: Opportunities for sustainable mining through solar photovoltaics and wind energy integration', Journal of Cleaner Production, 455, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.142300

Ul Hassan M; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2024, 'Assessment of hydrogen and Lithium-ion batteries in rooftop solar PV systems', Journal of Energy Storage, 86, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.est.2024.111182

Poddar S; Evans J; Prasad A; Kay M; Rougieux F; Bremner S, 2024, 'Accelerated degradation of photovoltaic modules under a future warmer climate', Progress in Photovoltaics: research and applications, 32, pp. 456 - 467, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pip.3788

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Assessing Australia’s future solar power ramps with climate projections', Scientific Reports, 13, pp. 11503, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38566-z

Poddar S; Kay M; Prasad A; Evans JP; Bremner S, 2023, 'Changes in solar resource intermittency and reliability under Australia's future warmer climate', Solar Energy, 266, pp. 112039, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.112039

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Maximizing photovoltaic potential and minimizing costs in a future warmer climate: The role of atmospheric aerosols and greenhouse gas emissions', Renewable Energy, 219, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2023.119561

Gilmore N; Koskinen I; Burr P; Obbard E; Sproul A; Konstantinou G; Bilbao J; Daiyan R; Kay M; Corkish R; Macgill I; Lovell E; Menictas C; Bruce A, 2023, 'Identifying weak signals to prepare for uncertainty in the energy sector', Heliyon, 9, pp. e21295, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e21295

Liu B; Yang D; Mayer MJ; Coimbra CFM; Kleissl J; Kay M; Wang W; Bright JM; Xia X; Lv X; Srinivasan D; Wu Y; Bayer HG; Yagli GM; Shen Y, 2023, 'Predictability and forecast skill of solar irradiance over the contiguous United States', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 182, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2023.113359

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Air quality impacts on rooftop photovoltaic energy production during the 2019–2020 Australian bushfires season', Solar Energy, 257, pp. 240 - 248, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.04.014

Gilmore N; Koskinen I; van Gennip D; Paget G; Burr PA; Obbard EG; Daiyan R; Sproul A; Kay M; Lennon A; Konstantinou G; Hemer M; Gui EM; Gurieff N, 2022, 'Clean energy futures: An Australian based foresight study', Energy, 260, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.125089

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2022, 'Modelling and optimal energy management for battery energy storage systems in renewable energy systems: A review', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 167, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112671

Bell NO; Bilbao JI; Kay M; Sproul AB, 2022, 'Future climate scenarios and their impact on heating, ventilation and air-conditioning system design and performance for commercial buildings for 2050', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 162, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112363

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2022, 'Forecasting error processing techniques and frequency domain decomposition for forecasting error compensation and renewable energy firming in hybrid systems', Applied Energy, 313, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118748

Prasad AA; Nishant N; Kay M, 2022, 'Dust cycle and soiling issues affecting solar energy reductions in Australia using multiple datasets', Applied Energy, 310, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118626

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Bremner S; Prasad A, 2021, 'Validation of Australian atmospheric aerosols from reanalysis data and CMIP6 simulations', Atmospheric Research, 264, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105856

Prasad AA; Yang Y; Kay M; Menictas C; Bremner S, 2021, 'Synergy of solar photovoltaics-wind-battery systems in Australia', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 152, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.111693

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2021, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', Environmental Research Letters, 16, pp. 114034, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a64

Prasad A; Kay M, 2021, 'Prediction of Solar Power Using Near-Real Time Satellite Data', Energies, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en14185865

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2021, 'Impact of forecasting error characteristics on battery sizing in hybrid power systems', Journal of Energy Storage, 39, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.est.2021.102567

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay MJ; Prasad AA; Bremner S, 2021, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', Environmental Research Letters, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10507147.1

Yang D; Alessandrini S; Antonanzas J; Antonanzas-Torres F; Badescu V; Beyer HG; Blaga R; Boland J; Bright JM; Coimbra CFM; David M; Frimane Â; Gueymard CA; Hong T; Kay MJ; Killinger S; Kleissl J; Lauret P; Lorenz E; van der Meer D; Paulescu M; Perez R; Perpiñán-Lamigueiro O; Peters IM; Reikard G; Renné D; Saint-Drenan YM; Shuai Y; Urraca R; Verbois H; Vignola F; Voyant C; Zhang J, 2020, 'Verification of deterministic solar forecasts', Solar Energy, 210, pp. 20 - 37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2020.04.019

Prasad AA; Kay M, 2020, 'Assessment of simulated solar irradiance on days of high intermittency using WRF-solar', Energies, 13, pp. 385, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en13020385

Ekins-Daukes N; Kay M, 2019, 'Brighten the dark skies', Nature Energy, 4, pp. 633 - 634, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41560-019-0440-0

Joshi B; Kay M; Copper JK; Sproul AB, 2019, 'Evaluation of solar irradiance forecasting skills of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's ACCESS models', Solar Energy, 188, pp. 386 - 402, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2019.06.007

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2019, 'A mixed receding horizon control strategy for battery energy storage system scheduling in a hybrid pv andwind power plant with different forecast techniques', Energies, 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en12122326

Mukkavilli SK; Prasad AA; Taylor RA; Huang J; Mitchell RM; Troccoli A; Kay MJ, 2018, 'Assessment of atmospheric aerosols from two reanalysis products over Australia', Atmospheric Research, 215, pp. 149 - 164, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.08.026

Yang Y; Bremner S; Menictas C; Kay M, 2018, 'Battery energy storage system size determination in renewable energy systems: A review', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 91, pp. 109 - 125, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.047

Mukkavilli SK; Prasad AA; Taylor RA; TROCCOLI A; Kay MJ, 2018, 'Mesoscale simulations of Australian direct normal irradiance, featuring an extreme dust event', Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 57, pp. 467 - 515, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0091.1

Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Pitman A, 2018, 'The resilience of Australian wind energy to climate change', Environmental Research Letters, 13, pp. 024014, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa632

Prasad AA; Taylor RA; Kay M, 2017, 'Assessment of solar and wind resource synergy in Australia', Applied Energy, 190, pp. 354 - 367, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.12.135

Lazos D; Kay M; Sproul A, 2017, 'Development of a numericalweather analysis tool for assessing the precooling potential at any location', Energies, 10, pp. 21, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en10010021

Law EW; Kay M; Taylor RA, 2016, 'Evaluating the benefits of using short-term direct normal irradiance forecasts to operate a concentrated solar thermal plant', Solar Energy, 140, pp. 93 - 108, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2016.10.037

Law EW; Kay M; Taylor RA, 2016, 'Calculating the financial value of a concentrated solar thermal plant operated using direct normal irradiance forecasts', Solar Energy, 125, pp. 267 - 281, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2015.12.031

Kay M, 2016, 'The application of TAPM for site specificwind energy forecasting', Atmosphere, 7, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos7020023

Lazos D; Sproul AB; Kay M, 2015, 'Development of hybrid numerical and statistical short term horizon weather prediction models for building energy management optimisation', Building and Environment, 90, pp. 82 - 95, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.03.025

Prasad AA; Taylor RA; Kay M, 2015, 'Assessment of direct normal irradiance and cloud connections using satellite data over Australia', Applied Energy, 143, pp. 301 - 311, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.01.050

Elliston B; MacGill I; Prasad A; Kay M, 2015, 'Spatio-temporal characterisation of extended low direct normal irradiance events over Australia using satellite derived solar radiation data', Renewable Energy, 74, pp. 633 - 639, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2014.08.067

Kay MJ; Lazos D; Sproul AB, 2014, 'Optimisation of energy management in commercial buildings with weather forecasting inputs: A review', Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 39, pp. 587 - 603, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.053

Law EW; Prasad AA; Kay MJ; Taylor R, 2014, 'Direct normal irradiance forecasting and its application to concentrated solar thermal output forecasting – A review', Solar Energy, 108, pp. 287 - 307, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.07.008

Dehghan A; Prasad AA; Sherwood SC; Kay M, 2014, 'Evaluation and improvement of TAPM in estimating solar irradiance in Eastern Australia', Solar Energy, 107, pp. 668 - 680, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2014.06.018

Kay MJ; Cutler N; Micolich AP; MacGill IF; Outhred HR, 2009, 'Emerging challenges in wind energy forecasting for Australia', Australian Meteorological Magazine, 58, pp. 99 - 106

Cutler N; Outhred HR; MacGill IF; Kay MJ; Kepert J, 2008, 'Characterizing Future Large, Rapid Changes in Aggregated Wind Power using Numerical Weather Prediction Spatial Fields', Wind Energy, 12, pp. 542 - 555, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/we.312

Cutler N; Kay M; Outhred H; MacGill I, 2007, 'High-risk scenarios for wind power forecasting in Australia', European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition 2007, EWEC 2007, 2, pp. 863 - 874

Cutler N; Kay MJ; Jacka K; Nielsen TS, 2007, 'Detecting Categorizing and Forecasting Large Ramps in Wind Farm Power Output Using Meteorological Observations and WPPT', Wind Energy, 10, pp. 453 - 470

Cutler N; Kay MJ; Jacka K; Nielsen T, 2007, 'Detecting, categorizing and forecasting large ramps in wind farm power output using meteorological observations and WPPT', Wind Energy, 10, pp. 453 - 470, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/we.235

Kay MJ; Box MA; Trautmann T, 2002, 'An efficient method to increase vertical resolution of actinic flux calculations in clouds', Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 107, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2001JD001581

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