Select Publications
Journal articles
, 2026, 'Limited influence of climate modes of variability on residual load in Australia's electricity grid', Environmental Research Energy, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2753-3751/ae8e7d
, 2026, 'Wind power growth drives winter risk and supply-dominated variability in Australia’s energy system', Environmental Research Climate, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae5dfc
, 2025, 'Increasing Fire Weather Season Overlap Between North America and Australia Challenges Firefighting Cooperation', Earth S Future, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005030
, 2025, 'A Multiscale Evaluation of the Wet 2022 in Eastern Australia', Journal of Climate, 38, pp. 909 - 929, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0224.1
, 2025, 'Predicting Australian energy demand variability using weather data and machine learning', Environmental Research Letters, 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad9b3b
, 2024, 'How well do climate modes explain precipitation variability?', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00853-5
, 2024, 'A Tale of Two Novembers: Confounding Influences on La Niña’s Relationship with Rainfall in Australia', Monthly Weather Review, 152, pp. 1977 - 1996, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0112.1
, 2023, 'Climate influence on compound solar and wind droughts in Australia', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00507-y
, 2023, 'A large ensemble illustration of how record-shattering heat records can endure', Environmental Research Climate, 2, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/acd714
, 2023, 'Synchronous climate hazards pose an increasing challenge to global coffee production', Plos Climate, 2, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000134
, 2022, 'Global increase in wildfire potential from compound fire weather and drought', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00248-4
, 2022, 'Archetypal Analysis of Geophysical Data Illustrated by Sea Surface Temperature', Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 1, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/aies-d-21-0007.1
, 2022, 'Common Issues in Verification of Climate Forecasts and Projections', Climate, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/cli10060083
, 2022, 'Reconstructing seasonal fire danger in southeastern Australia using tree rings', International Journal of Wildland Fire, 31, pp. 559 - 571, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF21072
, 2021, 'Increased extreme fire weather occurrence in southeast Australia and related atmospheric drivers', Weather and Climate Extremes, 34, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100397
, 2021, 'Likelihood of unprecedented drought and fire weather during Australia’s 2019 megafires', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00220-8
, 2021, 'Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading', Nature Communications, 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z
, 2021, 'CAFE60v1: A 60-year large ensemble climate reanalysis. Part II: Evaluation', Journal of Climate, 34, pp. 5171 - 5194, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0518.1
, 2021, 'The identification of long-lived southern hemisphere flow events using archetypes and principal components', Monthly Weather Review, 149, pp. 1987 - 2010, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0314.1
, 2021, 'Identifying periods of forecast model confidence for improved subseasonal prediction of precipitation', Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22, pp. 371 - 385, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0054.1
, 2021, 'Australian northwest cloudbands and their relationship to atmospheric rivers and precipitation', Monthly Weather Review, 149, pp. 1125 - 1139, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0308.1
, 2020, 'Linking weather patterns to regional extreme precipitation for highlighting potential flood events in medium- to long-range forecasts', Meteorological Applications, 27, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/met.1931
, 2020, 'Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: A weather pattern approach', Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20, pp. 107 - 124, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-107-2020
, 2020, 'A 1-day extreme rainfall event in Tasmania: Process evaluation and long tail attribution', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, pp. S123 - S128, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0219.1
, 2019, 'Authors' response to RC2', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2019-221-ac2
, 2019, 'Weekly to multi-month persistence in sets of daily weather patterns over Europe and the North Atlantic Ocean', International Journal of Climatology, 39, pp. 2041 - 2056, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.5932
, 2018, 'A new precipitation and drought climatology based on weather patterns', International Journal of Climatology, 38, pp. 630 - 648, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.5199
, 2015, 'Author's response.', International Journal of Nursing Studies, 52, pp. 503
Preprints
, 2024, On the archetypal `flavours', indices and teleconnections of ENSO revealed by global sea surface temperatures, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2406.08694
, Climate controls on compound solar and wind droughts in Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.31223/x5w09w
, How well do climate modes explain precipitationvariability?, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4867098/v1
, Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: a weather pattern approach, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2019-221
Other
, 2025, Overlapping US-Australia fire seasons reduce the window of opportunity for firefighting cooperation, Copernicus Publications, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-8126
, 2025, The risk to global coffee supply from synchronous climate hazards, Copernicus Publications, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13620
, 2023, Climate modes and synoptic patterns associated with widespread wind and solar lows in Australia, Copernicus Publications, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/ems2023-187
, 2020, Identifying periods of forecast model confidence for improved subseasonal prediction of precipitation in southern Australia, Copernicus Publications, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-1981
, 2019, Supplementary material to "Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: a weather pattern approach", http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2019-221-supplement