By Dr Kishor Kumar Paul

Journal articles

Islam MS; Le B; Jiang G; Kabir A; Rahman Z; Paul KK; Gray RT; Seale H; Muscatello DJ, 2026, 'Epidemiology of mpox outbreaks in Australia and insights from epidemic response and surveillance data: a mixed-methods study', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 170, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2026.108819

Paul KK; Newall AT, 2026, 'The cost of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) across all ages to the Australian healthcare system', Vaccine, 88, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2026.128922

Hii AWW; Khan JR; Paul KK; Chan M; Hu N; McMullan B; Britton PN; Bartlett AW; Kandasamy R; Owens L; Prentice B; Jaffe A; Homaira N, 2026, 'In-Hospital Complications of Influenza A and B Among Hospitalized Australian Children in the Post-COVID Era', Clinical Respiratory Journal, 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/crj.70217

Paul KK; Torres M; Shih STF; Gray RT; Wood JG; Nazareno AL; Jan S; Newall AT, 2026, 'Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination program for older Australians reduces health inequalities: a distributional cost-effectiveness analysis', Vaccine, 83, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2026.128644

Paul KK; Torres M; Shih STF; Gray RT; Wood JG; Nazareno AL; Jan S; Newall AT, 2026, 'Estimating the cost-effectiveness of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination program for older Australian adults', Vaccine, 82, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2026.128591

Muscatello DJ; Rose N; Paul KK; Hogan AB; Dyda A; Dinh MM; Kok J; Ware S; Craig AT; Wood JG, 2026, 'An adaptive method of emergency department syndromic surveillance to nowcast the frequency of presentations that will have a severe 28-day outcome following influenza or COVID-19 infection: a retrospective analytical record linkage study', American Journal of Epidemiology, 195, pp. 1379 - 1387, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwag028

Duque MP; Paul KK; Sultana R; Ribeiro dos Santos G; O'Driscoll M; Naser AM; Rahman M; Alam MS; Al-Amin HM; Rahman MZ; Hossain ME; Paul RC; Krainski E; Luby SP; Cauchemez S; Vanhomwegen J; Gurley ES; Salje H, 2026, 'National burden of and optimal vaccine policy for Japanese encephalitis virus in Bangladesh: a seroprevalence and modelling study', Lancet Infectious Diseases, 26, pp. 429 - 438, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(25)00590-0

Paul KK; Rose N; Ware S; Dinh MM; Muscatello DJ, 2026, 'Changes in the Epidemiology and Outcomes of Emergency Department Presentations for COVID‐19 Infection, 2020 Through 2022, New South Wales, Australia: A Population‐Based Record Linkage Study', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.70246

O’Driscoll M; Hozé N; Lefrancq N; Santos GRD; Hoinard D; Rahman MZ; Paul KK; Titu AMN; Alam MS; Hossain ME; Vanhomwegen J; Cauchemez S; Gurley ES; Salje H, 2025, 'Epidemiological and antigenic inferences from serological cross-reactivity among arboviruses', Science Translational Medicine, 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/scitranslmed.ads8680

Paul RC; Gidding HF; Nazneen A; Banik KC; Sumon SA; Paul KK; Akram A; Uzzaman MS; Tejada-Strop A; Kamili S; Luby SP; Hayen A; Gurley ES, 2025, 'Population-Based Estimates of Hepatitis E Virus-Associated Mortality in Bangladesh', Journal of Infectious Diseases, 231, pp. e1129 - e1137, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiaf134

Boldt K; Rose N; Ware S; Dinh MM; Paul KK; Ho Y; Muscatello DJ, 2025, 'Characteristics and predictors of severe outcomes of COVID-19 cases presenting to the emergency department of a major Australian referral hospital: A record linkage study', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.70040

Hasan MN; Rahman M; Uddin M; Ashrafi SAA; Rahman KM; Paul KK; Sarker MFR; Haque F; Sharma A; Papakonstantinou D; Paudyal P; Asaduzzaman M; Zumla A; Haider N, 2025, 'The 2023 fatal dengue outbreak in Bangladesh highlights a paradigm shift of geographical distribution of cases', Epidemiology and Infection, 153, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268824001791

Muscatello DJ; Rose N; Paul KK; Ware S; Dinh MM; Mohsin M; Craig AT; Dyda A; Forero R, 2024, 'Epidemiological comparison of emergency department presentations with seasonal influenza or COVID-19 and an outcome of intensive care admission or death: A population-based records linkage study in New South Wales, Australia', Journal of Infection, 89, pp. 106307, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2024.106307

Allen SW; Dos Santos GR; Paul KK; Paul R; Rahman MZ; Alam MS; Rahman M; Al-Amin HM; Vanhomwegen J; Weaver SC; Smull T; Lee KH; Gurley ES; Salje H, 2024, 'Results of a Nationally Representative Seroprevalence Survey of Chikungunya Virus in Bangladesh', Journal of Infectious Diseases, 230, pp. e1031 - e1038, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiae335

Duque MP; Naser AM; dos Santos GR; O'Driscoll M; Paul KK; Rahman M; Alam MS; Al-Amin HM; Rahman MZ; Hossain ME; Paul RC; Luby SP; Cauchemez S; Vanhomwegen J; Gurley ES; Salje H, 2024, 'Informing an investment case for Japanese encephalitis vaccine introduction in Bangladesh', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adp1657

Qin ZZ; Barrett R; Ahmed S; Sarker MS; Paul K; Adel ASS; Banu S; Creswell J, 2022, 'Comparing different versions of computer-aided detection products when reading chest X-rays for tuberculosis', Plos Digital Health, 1, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000067

Biswas S; Uddin MKM; Paul KK; Ather MF; Ahmed S; Nasrin R; Kabir S; Heysell SK; Banu S, 2022, 'Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay for the detection of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in people with negative conventional Xpert MTB/RIF but chest imaging suggestive of tuberculosis in Dhaka, Bangladesh', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 114, pp. 244 - 251, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2021.11.010

Paul KK; Macadam I; Green D; Regan DG; Gray RT, 2021, 'Dengue transmission risk in a changing climate: Bangladesh is likely to experience a longer dengue fever season in the future', Environmental Research Letters, 16, pp. 114003, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2b60

Alkabab YMA; Biswas S; Ahmed S; Paul K; Nagajyothi J; Banu S; Heysell S, 2021, 'Differentiating transient from persistent diabetic range hyperglycemia in a cohort of people completing tuberculosis treatment in Dhaka, Bangladesh', Plos One, 16, pp. e0260389, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260389

Paul KK, 2021, 'Hepatitis E in Bangladesh: insights from a national serosurvey', The Journal of Infectious Diseases, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiab446

Qin ZZ; Ahmed S; Sarker MS; Paul K; Adel ASS; Naheyan T; Barrett R; Banu S; Creswell J, 2021, 'Tuberculosis detection from chest x-rays for triaging in a high tuberculosis-burden setting: an evaluation of five artificial intelligence algorithms', Lancet Digital Health, 3, pp. e543 - e554, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00116-3

Kabir S; Rahman SMM; Ahmed S; Islam MS; Banu RS; Shewade HD; Thekkur P; Anwar S; Banu NA; Nasrin R; Uddin MKM; Choudhury S; Ahmed S; Paul KK; Khatun R; Chisti MJ; Banu S, 2021, 'Xpert Ultra Assay on Stool to Diagnose Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Children', Clinical Infectious Diseases, 73, pp. 226 - 234, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa583

Al-Amin HM; Johora FT; Irish SR; Hossainey MRH; Vizcaino L; Paul KK; Khan WA; Haque R; Alam MS; Lenhart A, 2020, 'Insecticide resistance status of Aedes aegypti in Bangladesh', Parasites and Vectors, 13, pp. 622, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13071-020-04503-6

Azman AS; Lauer SA; Bhuiyan TR; Luquero FJ; Leung DT; Hegde ST; Harris JB; Paul KK; Khaton F; Ferdous J; Lessler J; Salje H; Qadri F; Gurley ES, 2020, 'Vibrio cholerae O1 transmission in Bangladesh: insights from a nationally representative serosurvey', Lancet Microbe, 1, pp. e336 - e343, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S2666-5247(20)30141-5

Banu S; Haque F; Ahmed S; Sultana S; Rahman MM; Khatun R; Paul KK; Kabir S; Rahman SMM; Banu RS; Islam MS; Ross AG; Clemens JD; Stevens R; Creswell J, 2020, 'Social Enterprise Model (SEM) for private sector tuberculosis screening and care in Bangladesh', Plos One, 15, pp. e0241437, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0241437

Paul KK; Sazzad HMS; Rahman M; Sultana S; Hossain MJ; Ledermann JP; Burns P; Friedman MS; Flora MS; Fischer M; Hills S; Luby SP; Gurley ES, 2020, 'Hospital-based surveillance for Japanese encephalitis in Bangladesh, 2007–2016: Implications for introduction of immunization', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 99, pp. 69 - 74, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.07.026

Paul KK; Salje H; Rahman MW; Rahman M; Gurley ES, 2020, 'Comparing insights from clinic-based versus community-based outbreak investigations: a case study of chikungunya in Bangladesh', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 97, pp. 306 - 312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.05.111

Qin ZZ; Ahmed S; Sarker MS; Paul K; Adel ASS; Naheyan T; Barrett R; Banu S; Creswell J, 2020, 'Can artificial intelligence (AI) be used to accurately detect tuberculosis (TB) from chest X-rays? An evaluation of five AI products for TB screening and triaging in a high TB burden setting',

Paul KK; Alkabab YMA; Rahman MM; Ahmed S; Amin MJ; Hossain MD; Heysell SK; Banu S, 2020, 'A public-private model to scale up diabetes mellitus screening among people accessing tuberculosis diagnostics in Dhaka, Bangladesh', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 92, pp. 56 - 61, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.01.001

Paul RC; Nazneen A; Banik KC; Sumon SA; Paul KK; Akramid A; Uzzaman MS; Iqbal T; Tejada-Strop A; Kamili S; Luby SP; Gidding HF; Hayen A; Gurley ES, 2020, 'Hepatitis e as a cause of adult hospitalization in Bangladesh: Results from an acute jaundice surveillance study in six tertiary hospitals, 2014-2017', Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases, 14, pp. 1 - 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0007586

Salje H; Paul KK; Paul R; Rodriguez-Barraquer I; Rahman Z; Alam MS; Rahman M; Al-Amin HM; Heffelfinger J; Gurley E, 2019, 'Nationally-representative serostudy of dengue in Bangladesh allows generalizable disease burden estimates', Elife, 8, pp. e42869, http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.42869

Paul RC; Nazneen A; Banik KC; Sumon SA; Paul KK; Akram A; Uzzaman MS; Iqbal T; Tejada-Strop A; Kamili S; Luby SP; Gidding HF; Hayen A; Gurley ES, 2019, 'Hepatitis E as a cause of adult hospitalization in Bangladesh: Results from an acute jaundice surveillance study in six tertiary hospitals, 2014-2017', PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, pp. 688721 - 688721, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0007586

Paul KK; Dhar-Chowdhury P; Emdad Haque C; Al-Amin HM; Goswami DR; Heel Kafi MA; Drebot MA; Robbin Lindsay L; Ahsan GU; Abdullah Brooks W, 2018, 'Risk factors for the presence of dengue vector mosquitoes, and determinants of their prevalence and larval site selection in Dhaka, Bangladesh', Plos One, 13, pp. e0199457, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0199457

Paul RC; Gidding HF; Nazneen A; Banik KC; Sumon SA; Paul KK; Luby SP; Gurley ES; Hayen A, 2018, 'A low-cost, community knowledge approach to estimate maternal and jaundice-associated mortality in rural Bangladesh', American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 99, pp. 1633 - 1638, http://dx.doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.17-0974

Dhar-Chowdhury P; Paul KK; Haque CE; Hossain S; Lindsay LR; Dibernardo A; Brooks WA; Drebot MA, 2017, 'Dengue seroprevalence, seroconversion and risk factors in Dhaka, Bangladesh', Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases, 11, pp. e0005475, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0005475

Salje H; Lessler J; Paul KK; Azman AS; Rahman MW; Cummings D; Gurley ES; Cauchemez S, 2016, 'How social structures, space, and behaviors shape the spread of infectious diseases using chikungunya as a case study', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113, pp. 13420 - 13425, http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1611391113

Conference Papers

Paul KK; Macadam I; Green DL; Regan DG; Gray RT, 2021, 'DENGUE TRANSMISSION RISK IN A CHANGING CLIMATE: BANGLADESH COULD EXPERIENCE A LONGER DENGUE FEVER SEASON IN THE FUTURE', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, pp. 28 - 28, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000778105601085&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1

Azman AS; Paul KK; Bhuiyan TR; Koyuncu A; Salje H; Qadri F; Gurley ES, 2019, 'Hepatitis e in Bangladesh: Insights from a National Serosurvey', in Journal of Infectious Diseases, Oxford University Press (OUP), MD, National Harbor, pp. S805 - S812, presented at 68th Annual Meeting of the American-Society-for-Tropical-Medicine-and-Hygiene (ASTMH), MD, National Harbor, 20 November 2019 - 24 November 2019, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiab446

Azman AS; Lessler J; Leung D; Luquero FJ; Harris J; Lauer S; Khaton F; Paul KK; Bhuiyan MTR; Salje H; Qadri F; Gurley ES, 2019, 'VIBRIO CHOLERAE TRANSMISSION IN BANGLADESH: INSIGHTS FROM A NATIONAL SEROSURVEY', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, MD, National Harbor, pp. 412 - 412, presented at 68th Annual Meeting of the American-Society-for-Tropical-Medicine-and-Hygiene (ASTMH), MD, National Harbor, 20 November 2019 - 24 November 2019, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000507364504054&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1

Salje H; Paul K; Paul R; Rahman Z; Alam M; Rahman M; Al-Amin H; Heffelfinger J; Gurley E, 2018, 'NATIONALLY REPRESENTATIVE SEROSTUDIES FROM BANGLADESH SHOW LARGE-SCALE HETEROGENEITY IN DENGUE RISK', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, LA, New Orleans, pp. 289 - 289, presented at 67th Annual Meeting of the American-Society-of-Tropical-Medicine-and-Hygiene (ASTHM), LA, New Orleans, 28 October 2018 - 01 November 2018, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000461386603254&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1

Paul KK; Salje H; Alam S; Paul RC; Rahman MZ; Rahman M; Heffelfinger JD; Gurley ES, 2015, 'DENGUE IN BANGLADESH: RESULTS FROM A NATIONWIDE SEROPREVALENCE STUDY', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, pp. 232 - 233, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000412844102509&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1

Salje H; Paul K; Azman A; Rahman MW; Rahman M; Cummings D; Lessler J; Cauchemez S; Gurley E, 2015, 'EVIDENCE OF MICROSCALE HUMAN MOVEMENT DRIVING CHIKUNGUNYA SPREAD IN BANGLADESH', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, pp. 42 - 43, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000412844101139&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1

Conference Abstracts

ten Bosch Q; Salje H; Paul K; Naser A; Rahman M; Heffelfinger J; Alam S; Al-Amin H; Rahman Z; Afroj S; Cummings D; Paul R; Luby S; Gurley E; Cauchemez S, 2018, 'SOCIAL AND ENTOMOLOGICAL DRIVERS INTERCONNECT IN DRIVING SPATIAL PROPAGATION OF CHIKUNGUNYA VIRUS IN BANGLADESH', in AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, AMER SOC TROP MED & HYGIENE, LA, New Orleans, Vol. 99, pp. 204 - 204, presented at 67th Annual Meeting of the American-Society-of-Tropical-Medicine-and-Hygiene (ASTHM), LA, New Orleans, 28 October 2018 - 01 November 2018, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000461386602659&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1

Paul RC; Nazneen A; Banik KC; Sumon SA; Paul KK; Jony MHK; Uzzaman MS; Rahman M; Luby SP; Gidding HEATHER; Hayen ANDREW; Gurley ES, 2016, 'Incidence of adult deaths associated with hepatitis E virus in Bangladesh', in Incidence of adult deaths associated with hepatitis E virus in Bangladesh, Atlanta, USA, presented at American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, Atlanta, USA, 13 November 2016 - 17 November 2016, https://www.astmh.org/ASTMH/media/Documents/ASTMH-2016-Annual-Meeting-Abstract-Book.pdf

Preprints

Duque MP; Paul KK; Sultana R; Ribeiro Dos Santos G; O'Driscoll M; Naser AM; Rahman M; Alam MS; Al-Amin HM; Rahman MZ; Hossain ME; Paul RC; Krainski E; Luby SP; Cauchemez S; Vanhomwegen J; Gurley ES; Salje H, 2025, National burden and optimal vaccine policy for Japanese encephalitis virus in Bangladesh., http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.07.07.25330995

Paul K; Regan D; Green D; Macadam I; Gray R, 2025, A Climate-Driven Mechanistic Transmission Model to Characterize Dengue Epidemiology in Dhaka, Bangladesh, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.19.25322534

Khalifa BAA; Paul R; Nazneen A; Banik K; Sumon SA; Paul K; Akram A; Uzzaman S; Luby S; Gurley E, 2025, Adult hospitalizations due to hepatitis A virus infection in six tertiary hospitals across Bangladesh: December 2014 – September 2017, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.06.26.25330300

Koyuncu A; Paul R; Nesbitt R; Asilaza KV; Alvarez C; Banik K; Wamala J; Nazneen A; Haile M; Sumon SA; Gignoux E; Paul K; Albela M; Akram A; Loro FB; Uzzaman S; Biem D; Rull M; Luby S; Eckerle I; Rumunu J; Ciglenecki I; Gurley E; Azman A, 2025, Beyond Acute Jaundice: refining case definitions for suspected hepatitis E in South Sudan and Bangladesh, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.10.03.25337273

O’Driscoll M; Hozé N; Lefrancq N; Ribeiro Dos Santos G; Hoinard D; Rahman MZ; Paul KK; Naser Titu AM; Alam MS; Hossain ME; Vanhomwegen J; Cauchemez S; Gurley E; Salje H, 2024, Epidemiological inferences from serological responses to cross-reacting pathogens, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.08.12.24311852

Duque MP; Naser AM; Paul K; Rahman M; Alam MS; Al-Amin HM; Ziaur Rahman M; Hossain ME; Paul R; Luby S; Cauchemez S; Vanhomwegen J; Gurley E; Salje H, 2024, Informing an investment case for Japanese encephalitis vaccine introduction in Bangladesh, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.06.24303865

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