Select Publications

Journal articles

Black M; Webster M, 2025, 'Stopgap weapons as a feature of warfare: theorising from the past to prepare for future wars', Australian Army Journal, XXI, http://dx.doi.org/10.61451/210309

Conference Presentations

Black M, 2026, 'Industrial Resilience and Australia's Freedom to Act', presented at 2026 Australian Strategic Policy Institute Defence Conference, Canberra, 25 June 2026

Black M, 2026, 'Panel: Defending Australia in 2026', presented at Sovereignty and Security Forum 2026 hosted by Malcolm Turnbull and UNSW Canberra, Canberra, 27 March 2026

Black M, 2025, 'Fireside Chat: Industry and Innovation', presented at Security and defence PLuS, The Athena Series: Women in Strategy Conference, Canberra, 07 April 2025

Black M, 2023, 'AUKUS as Big Science', presented at The Pacific Rim Strategic Policy Conference International Security and the Rise of Autonomous Weapons, Canberra, 29 November 2023

Reports

Thompson L; Ligor DC; Gibson B; McClintock B; Black M; Osburg J; Virdee M; Huang W; Black J; McClaine G, 2025, Space Governance and Social Network Analysis: A Brief Exploration., Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA3822-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RRA3822-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3822-1.html

Wyatt A; Ryseff J; Yoshiara E; Boudreaux B; Black M; Black J, 2024, Towards AUKUS Collaboration on Responsible Military Artificial Intelligence: Co-Design and Co-Development of AI Among the United States, the UK and Australia, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA3079-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RRA3079-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA3079-1.html

Black M; Sacks BJ; Dortmans P; Yeung J; Savitz S; Stephenson SR; Tingstad A; Pezard S; Jouan N; Black J, 2023, Antarctica at Risk Geostrategic Manoeuvring and the Future of the Antarctic Treaty System, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA2465-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RRA2465-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA2465-1.html

Dowse A; Black M; Godges JP; Lucas C; Mouton CA, 2023, Australia's Sovereign Capability in Military Weapons, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2023, PEA2131-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/PEA2131-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PEA2131-1.html

Nicholson J; Keeling S; Black M, 2023, Countering Violent Extremism Online: Understanding Adversity and Adaptation in an Increasingly Complex Digital Environment, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA2773-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RRA2773-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA2773-1.html

Black M; Yeung J; Yeung D, 2022, Insider Threat and White-Collar Crime in Non-Government Organisations and Industries: A Literature Review, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA1507-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RRA1507-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA1507-1.html

Black M; Rhodes C; Black J; Lucas R; Slapakova L, 2022, Supporting the Royal Australian Navy's Campaign Plan for Robotics and Autonomous Systems: Enhancing Innovation, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA1377-3, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RRA1377-3, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA1377-3.html

Black M; Slapakova L; Fusaro P; Black J, 2022, Supporting the Royal Australian Navy's Campaign Plan for Robotics and Autonomous Systems: Human-Machine Teaming and the Future Workforce, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA1377-2, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RRA1377-2, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA1377-2.html

Nicholson J; Black M; Yeung J, 2021, Accelerating the Australian Army's Contest of Ideas, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA1078-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RR-A1078-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA1078-1.html

Beauchamp-Mustafaga N; Grossman D; Gunness K; Chase MS; Black M; Simmons-Thomas ND, 2021, Deciphering Chinese Deterrence Signalling in the New Era: An Analytic Framework and Seven Case Studies, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA1074-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RRA1074-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA1074-1.html

Nicholson J; Dortmans P; Black M; Kepe M; Grand-Clement S; Silfversten E; Black J; Ogden T; DeWaele L; Garcia-Bode PA, 2021, Defence Mobilisation Planning Comparative Study: An Examination of Overseas Planning, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA1179-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RR-A1179-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA1179-1.html

Dortmans P; Nicholson J; Black J; Black M; Rhodes C; Savitz S; Slapakova L; Smith VM, 2021, Supporting the Royal Australian Navy's Strategy for Robotics and Autonomous Systems: Building an Evidence Base, Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, RRA929-1, http://dx.doi.org/10.7249/RR-A929-1, https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA929-1.html

Media

Black M; MacGillivray I, 2026, America’s nuclear umbrella is fraying in the Indo-Pacific, The Lowy Institute, https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/america-s-nuclear-umbrella-fraying-indo-pacific

Black M, 2026, The Innovation System as a Disruptive Battlespace, The RAND Corporation, https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2026/03/the-innovation-system-as-a-disruptive-battlespace.html

Black M, 2025, Eyes of the Dragon: Grey Zone Warfare and Australia’s Strategic Awakening, Security & Defence PLuS, https://securityanddefenceplus.plusalliance.org/eyes-of-the-dragon-grey-zone-warfare-and-australias-strategic-awakening-2/

Webster M; Black M, 2024, An office of national research: a new instrument of national power, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/an-office-of-national-research-a-new-instrument-of-national-power/

Black M; Webster M, 2024, Losing the insight of Australia’s myriad non-government security experts, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/losing-the-insight-of-australias-myriad-non-government-security-experts/

Black M, 2024, Antarctic ambitions are reshaping critical science at the pole, Axios Science, https://www.axios.com/2024/03/10/antarctica-china-science-geopolitics

Black M, 2024, Can Antarctica serve as a model for international cooperation on the moon?, Space.com, https://www.space.com/moon-base-antarctica-international-cooperation

Black M, 2024, Coffee Chat - Digital Leader, The Digital Insurgency

Black M, 2023, AUKUS as Big Science?, The Lowy Institute, https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/aukus-big-science

Black M; Wyatt A, 2023, Is Australia’s Defense Strategy Based on a Mistaken Assumption?, The Diplomat, https://thediplomat.com/2023/03/is-australias-defense-strategy-based-on-a-mistaken-assumption/

Sacks BJ; Black M; Dortmans P, 2022, Arctic Governance is in Trouble. The Antarctic Could be Next, RealClearWorld, https://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2022/12/06/arctic_governance_is_in_trouble_the_antarctic_could_be_next_868682.html

Black M; Dortmans P, 2022, Strategic advantage, sovereignty and Australia’s geopolitical identity, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/strategic-advantage-sovereignty-and-australias-geopolitical-identity/

Black M; Dortmans P, 2022, Not so quiet on the Southern Front, The Lowy Institute, https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/not-so-quiet-southern-front

Nicholson J; Black M; Dortmans P, 2021, Australia needs to build total defence in the face of national crises, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/australia-needs-to-build-total-defence-in-the-face-of-national-crises/

Black M, 2018, The Army has a public perception problem. Here’s how it can regain trust with society., The Conversation, https://theconversation.com/the-army-has-a-public-perception-problem-heres-how-it-can-regain-trust-with-society-104855

Black M, 2018, Faith-based diplomacy in the new strategic order, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/faith-based-diplomacy-in-the-new-strategic-order/

Black M, 2018, In defence of Australian sovereignty, Australian Army Research Centre, https://researchcentre.army.gov.au/library/land-power-forum/defence-australian-sovereignty

Black M, 2018, In peacetime, why does sovereignty matter?, Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs

Other

Wyatt A; Nicholson J; Black M; Dowse A, 2024, Understanding How to Scale and Accelerate the Adoption of Robotic and Autonomous Systems into Deployable Capability: Phase 1—identifying Barriers, Australian Army Research Centre, http://dx.doi.org/10.61451/267504

Black M; Thompson L-J; Yeung J, 2022, Countering Foreign Interference Online Course


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