Select Publications
Preprints
2015, Managing Systematic Mortality Risk in Life Annuities: An Application of Longevity Derivatives, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1508.00090
,A Group Regularisation Approach for Constructing Generalised Age-Period-Cohort Mortality Projection Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3790991
,A Managed Volatility Investment Strategy for Pooled Annuity Products, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3455806
,A Multi-State Model of Functional Disability and Health Status in the Presence of Systematic Trend and Uncertainty, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3445761
,A Multivariate Forward-Rate Mortality Framework, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2539434
,A Multivariate Tweedie Lifetime Model: Censoring and Truncation, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2550507
,A Value Based Cohort Index for Longevity Risk Management, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2569507
,Affine Mortality Models with Jumps: Parameter Estimation and Forecasting, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4220454
,affine_mortality: A Github repository for estimation, analysis, and projection of affine mortality models, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3912983
,Age Patterns and Trends in Mortality by Cause of Death and Implications for Modeling Longevity Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1694272
,Age-Dependent Multi-Cohort Affine Mortality Model with Cohort Correlation, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4456316
,An Analysis of Reinsurance Optimisation in Life Insurance, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2029314
,Data Analytics in Actuarial Education and Research, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2701855
,Developing Equity Release Markets: Risk Analysis for Reverse Mortgages and Home Reversions, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2198619
,Disaggregated House Price Indices, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2237783
,Economic Scenario Generation with Regime Switching Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1446596
,Equity Investing with Targeted Constant Volatility Exposure, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2614828
,Estimating Transition Probabilities Using Repeated Cross-sectional Data, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4800795
,Financial Engineering: A Flexible Longevity Bond to Manage Individual Longevity Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3580488
,Financial Innovation for an Aging World, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.921041
,Forecasting Mortality Trends Allowing for Cause-of-Death Mortality Dependence, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2202608
,Functional Disability with Systematic Trends and Uncertainty: A Comparison between China and the U.S., http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3785743
,Heterogeneity of Australian Population Mortality and Implications for a Viable Life Annuity Market, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1779442
,Immunization and Hedging of Longevity Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2596989
,Improving Longevity and Mortality Risk Models with Common Stochastic Long-Run Trends, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1702029
,Insuring Longevity Risk and Long-Term Care: Bequest, Housing and Liquidity, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4057404
,Integrating Financial and Demographic Longevity Risk Models: An Australian Model for Financial Applications, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1139724
,International Cause-Specific Mortality Rates: New Insights from a Cointegration Analysis, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2571324
,Lifetime Asset Allocation with Idiosyncratic and Systematic Mortality Risks, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2428006
,Lifetime Dependence Modelling Using the Truncated Multivariate Gamma Distribution, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2033454
,Living with Ambiguity: Pricing Mortality-Linked Securities with Smooth Ambiguity Preferences, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2007342
,Longevity Risk and the Econometric Analysis of Mortality Trends and Volatility, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1458084
,Longevity Risk, Cost of Capital and Hedging for Life Insurers Under Solvency II, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2331660
,Longevity Risks and Capital Markets: The 2010-2011 Update, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1964636
,Managing Life Insurer Risk and Profitability: Annuity Market Development Using Natural Hedging Strategies, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2206022
,Managing Retirement Risks with Reverse Mortgage Loans and Long-Term Care Insurance, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2707350
,Managing Systematic Mortality Risk with Group Self Pooling and Annuitisation Schemes, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1791162
,Market Price of Longevity Risk for a Multi-Cohort Mortality Model with Application to Longevity Bond Option Pricing, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3121520
,Model Risk, Mortality Heterogeneity and Implications for Solvency and Tail Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2258814
,Model Risk, Mortality Heterogeneity, and Implications for Solvency and Tail Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2337159
,Modeling Long-Run Cause of Death Mortality Trends, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1705696
,Modeling Mortality with a Bayesian Vector Autoregression, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1776532
,Modelling Cause-of-Death Mortality and the Impact of Cause-Elimination, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2233693
,Mortality Forecasting Using Stacked Regression Ensembles, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3823511
,Mortality Heterogeneity and Systematic Mortality Improvement, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2701650
,Multi-factor, Age-Cohort, Affine Mortality Models: A Multi-Country Comparison, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3912981
,Multi-State Actuarial Models of Functional Disability, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2261013
,Multivariate Tweedie Lifetimes: The Impact of Dependence, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2246526
,On Sustainable Aged Care Financing in Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3870864
,Pooling Functional Disability and Mortality in Long-Term Care Insurance and Care Annuities: A Matrix Approach for Multi-State Pools, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4479051
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