Select Publications
Journal articles
2016, 'Does Amazonian deforestation cause global effects; Can we be sure?', Journal of Geophysical Research, 121, pp. 5567 - 5584, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024357
,2015, 'Adaptive optimal scaling of Metropolis–Hastings algorithms using the Robbins–Monro process', Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03610926.2014.936562
,2015, 'Modelling pathogen log
2015, 'Exploring the relationship between Aboriginal population indices and fire in Australia over the last 20,000years', Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 432, pp. 49 - 57, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2015.04.030
,2015, 'Developing state and transition models of floodplain vegetation dynamics as a tool for conservation decision-making: A case study of the Macquarie Marshes Ramsar wetland', Journal of Applied Ecology, 52, pp. 654 - 664, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12410
,2015, 'Increasing dependence on foreign water resources? An assessment of trends in global virtual water flows using a self-organizing time map', Ecological Informatics, 26, pp. 192 - 202, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2014.05.012
,2015, 'Bayesian threshold selection for extremal models using measures of surprise', Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 85, pp. 84 - 99, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2014.12.004
,2014, 'Diagnostic tools for approximate Bayesian computation using the coverage property', Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics, 56, pp. 309 - 329, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/anzs.12087
,2014, 'A dimension range representation (DRR) measure for self-organizing maps', Pattern Recognition, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.patcog.2015.11.002
,2014, 'Exact vs. approximate computation: Reconciling different estimates of Mycobacterium tuberculosis epidemiological parameters', GENETICS, 196, pp. 1227 - 1230, http://dx.doi.org/10.1534/genetics.113.158808
,2014, 'Approximate Bayesian computation and Bayes' linear analysis: Toward high- dimensional ABC', Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 23, pp. 65 - 86, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10618600.2012.751874
,2014, 'Exact vs. approximate computation: Reconciling different estimates of Mycobacterium tuberculosis epidemiological parameters', Genetics, 196, pp. 1227 - 1230, http://dx.doi.org/10.1534/genetics.113.158808
,2014, 'Modeling dependence between extreme rainfall and storm surge to estimate coastal flooding risk', Water Resources Research, 50, pp. 2050 - 2071, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014616
,2014, 'Simultaneous adjustment of bias and coverage probabilities for confidence intervals', Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 70, pp. 35 - 44, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2013.08.016
,2013, 'Quantifying the dependence between extreme rainfall and storm surge in the coastal zone', Journal of Hydrology, 505, pp. 172 - 187, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.09.054
,2013, 'Rapid shifts in dispersal behavior on an expanding range edge Tom', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110, pp. 13452 - 13456, http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1303157110
,2013, 'A comparative review of dimension reduction methods in approximate bayesian computation', Statistical Science, 28, pp. 189 - 208, http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/12-STS406
,2013, 'Specifying a hierarchical mixture of experts for hydrologic modeling: Gating function variable selection', Water Resources Research, 49, pp. 2926 - 2939, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20150
,2013, 'Approximate Bayesian computation via regression density estimation', Stat, 2, pp. 34 - 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sta4.15
,2013, 'Systematic differences in future 20-year temperature extremes in AR4 model projections over Australia as a function of model skill', International Journal of Climatology, 33, pp. 1153 - 1167, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3500
,2012, 'A model-based Bayesian estimation of the rate of evolution of VNTR loci in Mycobacterium tuberculosis', PLoS Computational Biology, 8, pp. e1002573, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002573
,2012, 'A spectral and Bayesian approach for analysis of fluctuations and synchrony in ecological datasets', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 3, pp. 1019 - 1027, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2012.00240.x
,2012, 'Discussion on the paper of Fearnhead and Prangle "Constructing summary statistics for approximate Bayesian computation: semi-automatic approximate Bayesian computation"', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B - Statistical Methodology, 74, pp. 466 - 468
,2012, 'Efficient hydrological model parameter optimization with Sequential Monte Carlo sampling', Environmental Modelling and Software, 38, pp. 283 - 295, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.07.001
,2012, 'Likelihood-free Bayesian inference for alpha-stable models', Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 56, pp. 3743 - 3756, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2010.10.004
,2012, 'Modeling extreme risks in ecology', Risk Analysis, 32, pp. 1956 - 1966
,2012, 'On sequential Monte Carlo, partial rejection control and approximate Bayesian computation', Statistics and Computing, 22, pp. 1209 - 1222, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11222-012-9315-y
,2011, 'Bayesian analysis of animal movements related to factors at herd and between herd levels: Implications for disease spread modeling', Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 98, pp. 230 - 242, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2010.11.005
,2011, 'Bayesian calibration and uncertainty analysis of hydrological models: A comparison of adaptive Metropolis and sequential Monte Carlo samplers', Water Resources Research, 47, pp. W07547 (13pp), http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010WR010217
,2011, 'Detection of non-stationarity in precipitation extremes using a max-stable process model', Journal of Hydrology, 406, pp. 119 - 128, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.06.014
,2011, 'Handbook of Spatial Statistics by A.E. Gelfand, P. Diggle, P. Guttorp and M. Fuentes', Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics, 53, pp. 489 - 491, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842x.2011.00638.x
,2010, 'Estimating animal movement contacts between holdings of different production types', Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 95, pp. 23 - 31, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2010.03.002
,2010, 'In defence of model-based inference in phylogeography', Molecular Ecology, 19, pp. 436 - 446
,2010, 'Likelihood-based inference for max-stable processes', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105, pp. 263 - 277, http://dx.doi.org/10.1198/jasa.2009.tm08577
,2010, 'On Bayesian curve fitting via auxiliary variables', Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 19, pp. 626 - 644, http://dx.doi.org/10.1198/jcgs.2010.08178
,2009, 'Sequential Monte Carlo without likelihoods (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (2007) 104, 6, (1760-1765) DOI:10.1073/pnas.0607208104)', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106, pp. 16889, http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0908847106
,2009, 'Automating and evaluating reversible jump MCMC proposal distributions', Statistics and Computing, 19, pp. 409 - 421, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11222-008-9101-z
,2009, 'Estimation of distance related probability of animal movements between holdings and implications for disease spread modeling', Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 91, pp. 85 - 94
,2009, 'High affinity extremes in combinatorial libraries and repertoires', Journal of Theoretical Biology, 261, pp. 260 - 265
,2009, 'Smaller projected increases in 20-year temperature returns over Australia in skill-selected climate models', Geophysical Research Letters, 36, pp. L06710, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009GL037293
,2009, 'The epidemiological fitness cost of drug resistance in Mycobacterium tuberculosis', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106, pp. 14711 - 14715, http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0902437106
,2009, 'Towards automating model selection for a mark-recapture-recovery analysis', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C - Applied Statistics, 58, pp. 247 - 266
,2008, 'Evaluating extreme risks in invasion ecology: learning from banking compliance', Diversity and Distributions, 14, pp. 581 - 591
,2007, 'A distance-based diagnostic for trans-dimensional Markov chains', Statistics and Computing, 17, pp. 357 - 367
,2007, 'Genetics and stochastic simulation do mix!', American Statistician, 61, pp. 112 - 119
,2007, 'Inference for stereological extremes', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 102, pp. 84 - 92
,2007, 'Sequential Monte Carlo without likelihoods', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 104, pp. 1760 - 1765
,2006, 'Book Reviews', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, 169, pp. 168 - 169, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985x.2005.00395_2.x
,2006, 'A case for a reassessment of the risks of extreme hydrological hazards in the Caribbean', Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 20, pp. 296 - 306
,2006, 'A note on bayesian analyses of capture-recapture data with perfect recaptures', Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 35, pp. 53 - 62, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03610920500439612
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