By Professor Steven Sherwood

Journal articles

Rampal N; Gibson PB; Sherwood SC; Queen LE; Lewis H; Abramowitz G, 2026, 'Downscaling with AI reveals the large role of internal variability in fine-scale projections of climate extremes', Climate Dynamics, 64, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08269-y

Isaza A; Sherwood SC; Evans JP; El Rafei M; Ji F; Dowdy A, 2026, 'Super-scaling of wind gusts with thermal downdrafts in cloud-resolving simulations', Weather and Climate Extremes, 53, pp. 100936 - 100936, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2026.100936

Fuchs D; Sherwood SC; Prasad A; Lue N, 2026, 'The Benefits of Lateral Connections: Toward a Stable Neural Network Surrogate for Climate Model Parameterization', Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/aies-d-25-0115.1

Ortiz-Guzmán V; Jucker M; Sherwood S, 2026, 'Global Hotspots of Stalling Extratropical Cyclones', Geophysical Research Letters, 53, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121058

Raupach TH; Portmann R; Siderius C; Sherwood SC, 2026, 'Shifting hail hazard under global warming and effects on crop hail risk', Nature Climate Change, 16, pp. 696 - 703, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-026-02660-7

Raupach TH; Daleu CL; Plant RS; Sherwood SC; Hwong YL, 2026, 'Responses to Humidity and Temperature Perturbations in High-Resolution Simulations of Convection', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005340

Xu C; Sherwood S; Jucker M; Lopez-Bravo C; Jones R, 2026, 'The evaluation of convectively coupled waves in limited-length datasets', Climate Dynamics, 64, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08106-2

Hottovy S; Sherwood S, 2026, 'Analysis of a simple Madden–Julian Oscillation model using a moisture variable with memory', Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.70232

Cheng S; Alexander LV; Sherwood S; Blanco JE, 2026, 'Decadal Climatology and Trends in Oceanic Precipitation from Multiple Satellite and Reanalysis Datasets', Journal of Climate, 39, pp. 281 - 296, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0071.1

El Rafei M; Isaza A; Sherwood SC; Evans J; Brown A; Ji F; Dowdy A, 2025, 'Downdrafts and Convective Gusts in High-Resolution Simulations: An Australian Case Study', Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 130, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025JD044151

Liu Y; Tang Q; Leung LR; Chen D; Francis JA; Zhang C; Chen HW; Sherwood SC, 2025, 'Changes in atmospheric circulation amplify extreme snowfall fueled by Arctic sea ice loss over high-latitude land', Weather and Climate Extremes, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100802

Loriani S; Aksenov Y; Armstrong McKay DI; Bala G; Born A; Chiessi CM; Dijkstra HA; Donges JF; Drijfhout S; England MH; Fedorov AV; Jackson LC; Kornhuber K; Messori G; Pausata FSR; Rynders S; Sallée JB; Sinha B; Sherwood SC; Swingedouw D; Tharammal T, 2025, 'Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations', Earth System Dynamics, 16, pp. 1611 - 1653, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1611-2025

Surendran G; Sherwood S; Evans J; El Rafei M; Dowdy A; Ji F; Brown A, 2025, 'Distinguishing environmental controls on strong vs. extreme wind gusts', Weather and Climate Extremes, 49, pp. 100788, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100788

Mauritsen T; Tsushima Y; Meyssignac B; Loeb NG; Hakuba M; Pilewskie P; Cole J; Suzuki K; Ackerman TP; Allan RP; Andrews T; Bender FAM; Bloch-Johnson J; Bodas-Salcedo A; Brookshaw A; Ceppi P; Clerbaux N; Dessler AE; Donohoe A; Dufresne JL; Eyring V; Findell KL; Gettelman A; Gristey JJ; Hawkins E; Heimbach P; Hewitt HT; Jeevanjee N; Jones C; Kang SM; Kato S; Kay JE; Klein SA; Knutti R; Kramer R; Lee JY; McCoy DT; Medeiros B; Megner L; Modak A; Ogura T; Palmer MD; Paynter D; Quaas J; Ramanathan V; Ringer M; von Schuckmann K; Sherwood S; Stevens B; Tan I; Tselioudis G; Sutton R; Voigt A; Watanabe M; Webb MJ; Wild M; Zelinka MD, 2025, 'Earth's Energy Imbalance More Than Doubled in Recent Decades', Agu Advances, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024AV001636

Rampal N; Gibson PB; Sherwood S; Abramowitz G; Hobeichi S, 2025, 'A Reliable Generative Adversarial Network Approach for Climate Downscaling and Weather Generation', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004668

Matthews T; Ramsay EE; Saeed F; Sherwood S; Jay O; Raymond C; Abram N; Lee JKW; Barley S; Perkins-Kirkpatrick S; Khan MS; Meissner KJ; Roberts C; Mavalankar D; Smith KGC; Ullah A; Sadad A; Turner V; Forrest A, 2025, 'Humid heat exceeds human tolerance limits and causes mass mortality', Nature Climate Change, 15, pp. 4 - 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02215-8

Blanco JE; Caballero R; Sherwood S; Alexander L, 2025, 'Insights into Cloud Albedo Biases from a Cloud-Controlling Factor Framework', Journal of Climate, 38, pp. 563 - 581, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0260.1

Robinson F; Kirshbaum DJ; Sherwood SC; Cahill L; Juliano E; Liu C, 2025, 'Investigating the Effects of Orography and Ambient Wind on Deep Convection over Tropical Islands', Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 82, pp. 139 - 157, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-23-0204.1

Rampal N; Gibson PB; Sherwood S; Abramowitz G, 2024, 'On the Extrapolation of Generative Adversarial Networks for Downscaling Precipitation Extremes in Warmer Climates', Geophysical Research Letters, 51, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112492

Greco IC; Sherwood SC; Raupach TH; Abramowitz AG, 2024, 'A Bayesian Framework for the Probabilistic Interpretation of Radar Observations and Severe Hailstorm Reports', Weather and Forecasting, 39, pp. 1959 - 1976, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0019.1

Byrne MP; Hegerl GC; Scheff J; Adam O; Berg A; Biasutti M; Bordoni S; Dai A; Geen R; Henry M; Hill SA; Hohenegger C; Humphrey V; Joshi M; Konings AG; Laguë MM; Lambert FH; Lehner F; Mankin JS; McColl KA; McKinnon KA; Pendergrass AG; Pietschnig M; Schmidt L; Schurer AP; Scott EM; Sexton D; Sherwood SC; Vargas Zeppetello LR; Zhang Y, 2024, 'Theory and the future of land-climate science', Nature Geoscience, 17, pp. 1079 - 1086, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01553-8

Fuchs D; Sherwood SC; Prasad A; Trapeznikov K; Gimlett J, 2024, 'TorchClim v1.0: a deep-learning plugin for climate model physics', Geoscientific Model Development, 17, pp. 5459 - 5475, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5459-2024

Ortiz-Guzmán V; Jucker M; Sherwood SC; Ortiz Guzman V, 2024, 'Zonal Wavenumber 3 Forces Extreme Precipitation in South America', Journal of Climate, 37, pp. 3649 - 3660, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0739.1

Dutta D; Sherwood SC; Meissner KJ; Jucker M, 2024, 'Low latitude mesospheric clouds in a warmer climate', Atmospheric Science Letters, 25, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asl.1209

Sherwood SC; Hegerl G; Braconnot P; Friedlingstein P; Goelzer H; Harris NRP; Holland E; Kim H; Mitchell M; Naish T; Nobre P; Otto-Bliesner BL; Reed KA; Renwick J; van der Wel NPM, 2024, 'Uncertain Pathways to a Future Safe Climate', Earth S Future, 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004297

Sherwood SC; Forest CE, 2024, 'Opinion: Can uncertainty in climate sensitivity be narrowed further?', Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24, pp. 2679 - 2686, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-2679-2024

Shao Y; Bishop CH; Hobeichi S; Nishant N; Abramowitz G; Sherwood S, 2024, 'Time Variability Correction of CMIP6 Climate Change Projections', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003640

Bui HX; Li YX; Sherwood SC; Reid KJ; Dommenget D, 2024, 'Assessing the soil moisture-precipitation feedback in Australia: CYGNSS observations', Environmental Research Letters, 19, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad15b7

Hwong YL; Colin M; Aglas-Leitner P; Muller CJ; Sherwood SC, 2023, 'Assessing Memory in Convection Schemes Using Idealized Tests', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003726

Raupach TH; Soderholm JS; Warren RA; Sherwood SC, 2023, 'Changes in hail hazard across Australia: 1979–2021', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6, pp. 143, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00454-8

Dutta D; Jucker M; Sherwood SC; Meissner KJ; Sen Gupta A; Zhu J, 2023, 'Early Eocene low orography and high methane enhance Arctic warming via polar stratospheric clouds', Nature Geoscience, 16, pp. 1027 - 1032, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01298-w

Nishant N; Hobeichi S; Sherwood S; Abramowitz G; Shao Y; Bishop C; Pitman A, 2023, 'Comparison of a novel machine learning approach with dynamical downscaling for Australian precipitation', Environmental Research Letters, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ace463

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A; Ji F, 2023, 'Biases in Estimating Long-Term Recurrence Intervals of Extreme Events Due To Regionalized Sampling', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105286

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A, 2023, 'Analysis and characterisation of extreme wind gust hazards in New South Wales, Australia', Natural Hazards, 117, pp. 875 - 895, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05887-1

Dutta D; Sherwood SC; Jucker M; Gupta AS; Meissner KJ, 2023, 'Can Polar Stratospheric Clouds Explain Arctic Amplification?', Journal of Climate, 36, pp. 2313 - 2332, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0497.1

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood SC; Soderholm J, 2023, 'An object-based climatology of precipitation systems in Sydney, Australia', Climate Dynamics, 60, pp. 1669 - 1688, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06404-z

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans JP; Ji F, 2023, 'Analysis of extreme wind gusts using a high-resolution Australian Regional Reanalysis', Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, pp. 100537, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100537

Windmiller JM; Bao J; Sherwood SC; Schanzer TD; Fuchs D, 2023, 'Predicting Convective Downdrafts From Updrafts and Environmental Conditions in a Global Storm Resolving Simulation', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003048

Hobeichi S; Nishant N; Shao Y; Abramowitz G; Pitman A; Sherwood S; Bishop C; Green S, 2023, 'Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling', Earth S Future, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003291

Fuchs D; Sherwood SC; Waugh D; Dixit V; England MH; Hwong YL; Geoffroy O, 2023, 'Midlatitude Jet Position Spread Linked to Atmospheric Convective Types', Journal of Climate, 36, pp. 1247 - 1265, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0992.1

Seltzer AM; Blard PH; Sherwood SC; Kageyama M, 2023, 'Terrestrial amplification of past, present, and future climate change', Science Advances, 9, pp. eadf8119, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adf8119

Raupach TH; Soderholm J; Protat A; Sherwood SC, 2023, 'An Improved Instability–Shear Hail Proxy for Australia', Monthly Weather Review, 151, pp. 545 - 567, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0127.1

Sherwood SC; Ramsay EE, 2023, 'Closer limits to human tolerance of global heat', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 120, pp. e2316003120, http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2316003120

Nishant N; Sherwood S; Prasad A; Ji F; Singh A, 2022, 'Impact of Higher Spatial Resolution on Precipitation Properties Over Australia', Geophysical Research Letters, 49, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100717

Bao J; Dixit V; Sherwood SC, 2022, 'Zonal Temperature Gradients in the Tropical Free Troposphere', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 4337 - 4348, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0145.1

Waudby CM; Sherwood SC; Osborne NJ; Beggs PJ; Al-Kouba J; Ebert EE; Muscatello DJ, 2022, 'Combined synoptic and regional weather patterns affecting atmospheric Poaceae pollen concentrations in Sydney, Australia', Aerobiologia, 38, pp. 533 - 555, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10453-022-09764-5

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood SC; Soderholm J, 2022, 'Intensification of subhourly heavy rainfall', Science, 378, pp. 655 - 659, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abn8657

Hwong YL; Sherwood SC; Fuchs D, 2022, 'Can We Use 1D Models to Predict 3D Model Response to Forcing in an Idealized Framework?', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002785

muller C; Yang D; Craig G; Cronin T; Fildier B; Haerter J; Hohenegger C; Mapes B; Randall D; Shamekh S; Sherwood S, 2022, 'Spontaneous aggregation of convective storms', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11607

Bao J; Dixit V; Sherwood S, 2022, 'Substantial zonal temperature gradients in the tropical free troposphere', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12348

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