Select Publications
Books
, 2011, The Copenhagen Diagnosis: updating the world on the latest climate science, Elsevier, Burlington MA, http://dx.doi.org/10.5860/choice.49-6301
Book Chapters
, 2012, 'Chapter 4 Human Effects on Climate Through Land-Use-Induced Land-Cover Change', in The Future of the World's Climate, Elsevier, pp. 77 - 95, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-386917-3.00004-x
, 2011, 'Using the Alpert-Stein factor separation methodology for land-use land-cover change impacts on weather and climate process with the regional atmospheric modeling system', in Factor Separation in the Atmosphere Applications and Future Prospects, pp. 67 - 86, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511921414.008
, 2007, 'Climate Models and Their Evaluation', in Climate change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, Cambridge University Press, cambridge, UK and New York
, 2007, 'Coupling between changes in the climate system and biogeochemistry', in Climate change 2007: The scientific Basis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York
, 2007, 'Reducing uncertainty in selecting climate models for hydrological impact assessments', in Quantification and Reduction of Predictive Uncertainty for Sustainable Water Resources Management, IAHS Press, Perugia, pp. 3 - 15
, 2005, 'Greenhouse effect and greenhouse gases', in In the Encyclopedia of World Climates, pp. 391 - 397
, 1991, 'Sensitivity of the land surface to sub-grid scale processes: implications for climate simulations', in Vegetation and climate interactions in semi-arid regions, Springer Netherlands, pp. 121 - 134, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-3264-0_10
Journal articles
, 2025, 'Urbanisation as an amplifier of an extreme rainfall event over Jakarta, Indonesia', Environmental Research Climate, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae1b2f
, 2025, 'Physical mechanisms of meteorological drought development, intensification and termination: an Australian review', Communications Earth and Environment, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02179-3
, 2025, 'Historical trends of seasonal droughts in Australia', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29, pp. 5555 - 5573, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5555-2025
, 2025, 'The influence of lateral flow on land surface fluxes in southeast Australia varies with model resolution', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29, pp. 4491 - 4513, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4491-2025
, 2025, 'Mapping urban dynamics in Greater Sydney – A scalable multi-decadal local climate zone classification approach', Plos Climate, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000677
, 2025, 'Storylines: A science-based method for assessing and measuring future physical climate-related financial risk', Accounting and Finance, 65, pp. 1908 - 1931, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/acfi.13295
, 2025, 'Understanding Urbanization’s Influence on Rainfall in Sydney Through High-Resolution Modeling and Storm Analysis', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-1115
, 2025, 'Increasing Fire Weather Season Overlap Between North America and Australia Challenges Firefighting Cooperation', Earth S Future, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005030
, 2025, 'Reconsidering the macroeconomic damage of severe warming', Environmental Research Letters, 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adbd58
, 2025, 'Challenges and opportunities in building a global model of plant hydraulics', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12285
, 2025, 'Why mechanistic models perform poorly in global soil organic carbon prediction', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-14630
, 2025, 'Assessing the risk of climate change to a business', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-2056
, 2025, 'Predicting Australian energy demand variability using weather data and machine learning', Environmental Research Letters, 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad9b3b
, 2025, 'Simulated Terrestrial Warming at the Last Interglacial Due to Vegetation Change', Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 40, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025pa005225
, 2024, 'How well do climate modes explain precipitation variability?', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00853-5
, 2024, 'Resolving Uncertainty in the Response of Australia's Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Projected Climate Change', Geophysical Research Letters, 51, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111398
, 2024, 'An ensemble estimate of Australian soil organic carbon using machine learning and process-based modelling', Soil, 10, pp. 619 - 636, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/soil-10-619-2024
, 2024, 'Examining the role of biophysical feedbacks on simulated temperature extremes during the Tinderbox Drought and Black Summer bushfires in southeast Australia', Weather and Climate Extremes, 45, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100703
, 2024, 'Integration of urban climate research within the global climate change discourse', Plos Climate, 3, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000473
, 2024, 'Linking physical climate risk with mandatory business risk disclosure requirements', Environmental Research Letters, 19, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad4377
, 2024, 'Burn Severity and Post-Fire Weather Are Key to Predicting Time-To-Recover From Australian Forest Fires', Earth S Future, 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003780
, 2024, 'Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3460
, 2024, 'Are Plant Functional Types Fit for Purpose?', Geophysical Research Letters, 51, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104962
, 2024, 'Evaluation of 30 urban land surface models in the Urban-PLUMBER project: Phase 1 results', Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150, pp. 126 - 169, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.4589
, 2023, 'Attribution of extreme events to climate change in the Australian region – A review', Weather and Climate Extremes, 42, pp. 100622, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100622
, 2023, 'Can climate knowledge enable Warragamba Dam, Sydney, Australia to be used to manage flood risk?', Environmental Research Letters, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad0afb
, 2023, 'Climate influence on compound solar and wind droughts in Australia', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00507-y
, 2023, 'The need to operationalize climate modelling', Nature Climate Change, 13, pp. 1158 - 1160, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01849-4
, 2023, 'Comparison of a novel machine learning approach with dynamical downscaling for Australian precipitation', Environmental Research Letters, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ace463
, 2023, 'What is the probability that a drought will break in Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100598
, 2023, 'Author Correction: Widespread shift from ecosystem energy to water limitation with climate change (Nature Climate Change, (2022), 12, 7, (677-684), 10.1038/s41558-022-01403-8)', Nature Climate Change, 13, pp. 871, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01729-x
, 2023, 'Non-Stationary Lags and Legacies in Ecosystem Flux Response to Antecedent Rainfall', Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences, 128, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022JG007144
, 2023, 'Opening Pandora's box: Reducing global circulation model uncertainty in Australian simulations of the carbon cycle', Earth System Dynamics, 14, pp. 549 - 576, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-549-2023
, 2023, 'Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling', Earth S Future, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003291
, 2022, 'Acute climate risks in the financial system: examining the utility of climate model projections', Environmental Research Climate, 1, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ac856f
, 2022, 'Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00224-4
, 2022, 'Reconciling historical changes in the hydrological cycle over land', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00240-y
, 2022, 'Multispecies Outbreak of Nocardia Infections in Heart Transplant Recipients and Association with Climate Conditions, Australia', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 28, pp. 2155 - 2164, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2811.220262
, 2022, 'How do groundwater dynamics influence heatwaves in southeast Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100479
, 2022, 'Predicting resilience through the lens of competing adjustments to vegetation function', Plant Cell and Environment, 45, pp. 2744 - 2761, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/pce.14376
, 2022, 'Towards species-level forecasts of drought-induced tree mortality risk', New Phytologist, 235, pp. 94 - 110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nph.18129
, 2022, 'Widespread shift from ecosystem energy to water limitation with climate change', Nature Climate Change, 12, pp. 677 - 684, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01403-8