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Select Publications

Reports

Gray RT; Reyes J; Nadjib M; Harimurti P; Wilson DP, 2012, Assessment of the allocation of HIV funding in Indonesia. (Prepared for the Global HIV/AIDS Program of the World Bank), The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales and School of Public Health, University of Indonesia

Wilson DP; Gray RT; Razali K; Hoare A; Cheah J; Kerr C; Jamaludin A, 2012, Determine cost-effective and efficient allocation of HIV resources for the Republic of Armenia. (Prepared for the Global HIV/AIDS Program of the World Bank.), The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, and HART Consultancy, Kuala Lumpur, Sydney / Malaysia

Wilson DP; Gray RT; Hoare A, 2012, Getting to Zero: HIV prevention resource needs and optimal allocations in Armenia. (Prepared for The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria.), The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales

Wilson DP; Zhang L; Loo V; Thein HH; Gray RT; Kwon AJ, 2011, Evaluation of the epidemiological impact of harm reduction programs on HIV in Vietnam, The National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, UNSW, Sydney Australia

Reyes J; Gray RT; Wilson DP, 2011, HIV in Indonesia: Data Triangulation Report. MSM, waria, FSW, male clients of FSW, and IDU. (Prepared for the Global HIV/AIDS Program of the World Bank.), The Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney

Wilson DP; Prestage G; Gray RT; Ghaus H; Hoare A; Down I; Bradley J, 2011, NSW HIV Modelling & Acceptability Project: Effectiveness and acceptability of HIV interventions in NSW., National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, The University of New South Wales, Sydney Australia

Gray RT; Murray J; Wilson DP; Vallely A; Kaldor J, 2011, The Papua New Guinea HIV Model: Explaining the past, describing the present, and forecasting the future of the HIV Epidemic in PNG Volume 1-3, The Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

Wilson DP; Gray R; Heymer K; Hoare A; Kwon A; Thein H; Worth H; Kaldor JM; Heymer K, 2009, Evaluation of the potential impact of the global economic crisis on HIV epidemics in Southeast Asia (prepared for AusAID), National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

Wilson DP; Prestage G; Donovan B; Gray RT; Hoare A; McCann P; Down I, 2009, Final Technical Report – Phase A of the National Gay Men’s Syphilis Action Plan: Modelling evidence and research on acceptability of interventions for controlling syphilis in Australia., National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, UNSW, Sydney, https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/sites/default/files/hiv/attachment/SyphilisPhaseAReport.pdf

Preprints

Shih ST; Cheng Q; Carson J; Valerio H; Sheehan Y; Gray RT; Cunningham EB; Kwon J; Lloyd AR; Dore GJ; Wiseman V; Grebely J, 2022, Optimizing Point-of-Care Testing Strategies for Diagnosis and Treatment of Hepatitis C Virus Infection in Australia: A Model-Based Cost-Effectiveness Analysis, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4267510

Shih ST; Cheng Q; Carson J; Valerio H; Sheehan Y; Gray RT; Cunningham EB; Kwon J; Lloyd AR; Dore GJ; Wiseman V; Grebely J, 2022, Optimizing Point-of-Care Testing Strategies for Diagnosis and Treatment of Hepatitis C Virus Infection in Australia: A Model-Based Cost-Effectiveness Analysis, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4267527

Gray R; Camara H; Khawar L; Grulich A; Guy R; McGregor S; Medland N, 2022, National trends in rates of undiagnosed HIV in key populations in Australia: a retrospective observational analysis from 2008 to 2019, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2022.09.23.22280259

Lim M; Devine A; Gray RT; Kwon J; Hutchinson J; Ong J, 2021, Lifetime Cost of HIV Management in Australia: An Economic Model, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3868096

Caldwell J; de Lara-Tuprio E; Teng TR; Estuar RJ; Sarmiento RFR; Abayawardana M; Leong RNF; Gray RT; Wood J; McBryde ES; Ragonnet R; Trauer JM, 2020, Understanding COVID-19 Dynamics and the Effects of Interventions in the Philippines: A Mathematical Modelling Study, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3754804

van Albada SJ; Gray RT; Drysdale PM; Robinson PA, 2018, Mean-field modeling of the basal ganglia-thalamocortical system. II. Dynamics of parkinsonian oscillations, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1801.01821

Kwon J; Dore GJ; Grebely J; Hajarizadeh B; Guy R; Cunningham EB; Power C; Estes C; Razavi H; Gray RT, 2018, Australia on Track to Achieve Who HCV Elimination Targets Following Rapid Initial DAA Treatment Uptake: A Modelling Study, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3213670

Paul KK; Regan DG; Green D; Macadam I; Gray RT, A Climate-Driven Mechanistic Transmission Model to Characterize Dengue Epidemiology in Dhaka, Bangladesh, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.19.25322534

King J; Petoumenos K; Dobbins T; Guy RJ; Gray RT; Nigro SJ; Si D; Minas B; McGregor S, A population level application of a novel method for estimating the timing of HIV acquisition among migrants to Australia (Preprint), http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/preprints.40543

Paul KK; Macadam I; Green D; Regan DG; Gray RT, Dengue transmission risk in a changing climate: Bangladesh could experience a longer dengue fever season in the future, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.24.443300

Keno H; Silim S; Nano G; Boas P; Ripa P; Badman SG; Nguyen QD; Shih ST; Gare J; Pekon S; Porau W; Schulz M; Vallely AJ; Kelleher A; Kelly-Hanku A; Gray RT, Evaluating Impact of Scaling-Up Point-of-Care HIV Viral Load Testing on the HIV Epidemic and Drug Resistance in Papua New Guinea, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4654898

Hui BB; Ward JS; Guy R; Law MG; Gray RT; Regan DG, Evaluating strategies to combat a major syphilis outbreak in Australia among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples in remote and regional Australia through mathematical modelling, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.07.21253089

Weng R; Kwon JA; Hammoud M; Clifton B; Scott N; McGregor S; Gray RT, Evaluating the impact of COVID-19 on the HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Australia: A modelling study, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.12.15.24318054

Kwon JA; Bretaña NA; Kronfli N; Dussault C; Grant L; Galouzis J; Hoey W; Blogg J; Lloyd AR; Gray RT, Preparing correctional settings for the next pandemic: a modelling study of COVID-19 outbreaks in two high-income countries, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2023.05.08.23289690

Hui B; Medland N; Ryder N; Wareing H; Regan D; Gray RT, Reducing STI Burden in MSM with Doxy-PEP: Evidence from Individual-Based Modelling in Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.06.24.25330172

Kwon JA; Bretaña NA; Grant L; Galouzis J; Hoey W; Blogg J; Lloyd AR; Gray RT, The COVID-19 Incarceration Model: a tool for corrections staff to analyze outbreaks of COVID-19, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.18.21252032

Stuart R; Abeysuriya RG; Kerr CC; Mistry D; Klein DJ; Gray R; Hellard M; Scott N, The role of masks in reducing the risk of new waves of COVID-19 in low transmission settings: a modeling study, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.02.20186742

Stuart R; Abeysuriya RG; Kerr CC; Mistry D; Klein DJ; Gray R; Hellard M; Scott N, The role of masks, testing and contact tracing in preventing COVID-19 resurgences: a case study from New South Wales, Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.09.20209429

Caldwell JM; de Lara-Tuprio E; Teng TR; Estuar MRJE; Sarmiento RFR; Abayawardana M; Leong RNF; Gray RT; Wood JG; McBryde ES; Ragonnet R; Trauer JM, Understanding COVID-19 dynamics and the effects of interventions in the Philippines: A mathematical modelling study, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.14.21249848


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