By Associate Professor Richard Thomas Gray

Reports

Gray RT; Murray J; Wilson DP; Vallely A; Kaldor J, 2011, The Papua New Guinea HIV Model: Explaining the past, describing the present, and forecasting the future of the HIV Epidemic in PNG Volume 1-3, The Kirby Institute, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

Wilson DP; Gray R; Heymer K; Hoare A; Kwon A; Thein H; Worth H; Kaldor JM; Heymer K, 2009, Evaluation of the potential impact of the global economic crisis on HIV epidemics in Southeast Asia (prepared for AusAID), National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

Wilson DP; Prestage G; Donovan B; Gray RT; Hoare A; McCann P; Down I, 2009, Final Technical Report – Phase A of the National Gay Men’s Syphilis Action Plan: Modelling evidence and research on acceptability of interventions for controlling syphilis in Australia., National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, UNSW, Sydney, https://kirby.unsw.edu.au/sites/default/files/hiv/attachment/SyphilisPhaseAReport.pdf

Preprints

Paul K; Regan D; Green D; Macadam I; Gray R, 2025, A Climate-Driven Mechanistic Transmission Model to Characterize Dengue Epidemiology in Dhaka, Bangladesh, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.19.25322534

Hui B; Medland N; Ryder N; Wareing H; Regan D; Gray R, 2025, Reducing STI Burden in MSM with Doxy-PEP: Evidence from Individual-Based Modelling in Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.06.24.25330172

Weng R; Kwon J; Hammoud M; Clifton B; Scott N; McGregor S; Gray R, 2024, Evaluating the impact of COVID-19 on the HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Australia: A modelling study, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.12.15.24318054

Kwon J; Bretaña N; Kronfli N; Dussault C; Grant L; Galouzis J; Hoey W; Blogg J; Lloyd A; Gray R, 2023, Preparing correctional settings for the next pandemic: a modelling study of COVID-19 outbreaks in two high-income countries, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2023.05.08.23289690

King J; Petoumenos K; Dobbins T; Guy RJ; Gray RT; Nigro SJ; Si D; Minas B; McGregor S, 2022, A population level application of a novel method for estimating the timing of HIV acquisition among migrants to Australia (Preprint), http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/preprints.40543

Gray R; Camara H; Khawar L; Grulich A; Guy R; McGregor S; Medland N, 2022, National trends in rates of undiagnosed HIV in key populations in Australia: a retrospective observational analysis from 2008 to 2019, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2022.09.23.22280259

Paul K; Macadam I; Green D; Regan D; Gray R, 2021, Dengue transmission risk in a changing climate: Bangladesh could experience a longer dengue fever season in the future, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.24.443300

Hui B; Ward J; Guy R; Law M; Gray R; Regan D, 2021, Evaluating strategies to combat a major syphilis outbreak in Australia among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples in remote and regional Australia through mathematical modelling, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.07.21253089

Kwon J; Bretaña N; Grant L; Galouzis J; Hoey W; Blogg J; Lloyd A; Gray R, 2021, The COVID-19 Incarceration Model: a tool for corrections staff to analyze outbreaks of COVID-19, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.18.21252032

Caldwell J; Lara-Tuprio ED; Teng TR; Estuar RJ; Sarmiento RF; Abayawardana M; Leong RN; Gray R; Wood J; McBryde E; Ragonnet R; Trauer J, 2021, Understanding COVID-19 Dynamics and the Effects of Interventions in the Philippines: A Mathematical Modelling Study, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3754804

Caldwell J; Lara-Tuprio ED; Teng TR; Estuar MRJ; Sarmiento RF; Abayawardana M; Leong RN; Gray R; Wood J; McBryde E; Ragonnet R; Trauer J, 2021, Understanding COVID-19 dynamics and the effects of interventions in the Philippines: A mathematical modelling study, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.14.21249848

Stuart RM; Abeysuriya R; Kerr C; Mistry D; Klein D; Gray R; Hellard M; Scott N, 2020, The role of masks in reducing the risk of new waves of COVID-19 in low transmission settings: a modeling study, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.02.20186742

Stuart RM; Abeysuriya R; Kerr C; Mistry D; Klein D; Gray R; Hellard M; Scott N, 2020, The role of masks, testing and contact tracing in preventing COVID-19 resurgences: a case study from New South Wales, Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.09.20209429

Albada SJV; Gray RT; Drysdale PM; Robinson PA, 2018, Mean-field modeling of the basal ganglia-thalamocortical system. II. Dynamics of parkinsonian oscillations, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.12.013

Kwon J; Dore GJ; Grebely J; Hajarizadeh B; Guy R; Cunningham EB; Power C; Estes C; Razavi H; Gray RT, Australia on Track to Achieve Who HCV Elimination Targets Following Rapid Initial DAA Treatment Uptake: A Modelling Study, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3213670

Lim M; Devine A; Gray RT; Kwon J; Hutchinson J; Ong J, Lifetime Cost of HIV Management in Australia: An Economic Model, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3868096

Shih STF; Cheng Q; Carson J; Valerio H; Sheehan Y; Gray RT; Cunningham EB; Kwon J; Lloyd AR; Dore GJ; Wiseman V; Grebely J, Optimizing Point-of-Care Testing Strategies for Diagnosis and Treatment of Hepatitis C Virus Infection in Australia: A Model-Based Cost-Effectiveness Analysis, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4267510

Shih STF; Cheng Q; Carson J; Valerio H; Sheehan Y; Gray RT; Cunningham EB; Kwon J; Lloyd AR; Dore GJ; Wiseman V; Grebely J, Optimizing Point-of-Care Testing Strategies for Diagnosis and Treatment of Hepatitis C Virus Infection in Australia: A Model-Based Cost-Effectiveness Analysis, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4267527

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