By Dr Anna Maria Ukkola

Journal articles

Teckentrup L; De Kauwe MG; Pitman AJ; Wårlind D; Ukkola AM; Smith B, 2024, 'Resolving Uncertainty in the Response of Australia's Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Projected Climate Change', Geophysical Research Letters, 51, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024gl111398

Mu M; Sabot MEB; Ukkola AM; Rifai SW; De Kauwe MG; Hobeichi S; Pitman AJ, 2024, 'Examining the role of biophysical feedbacks on simulated temperature extremes during the Tinderbox Drought and Black Summer bushfires in southeast Australia', Weather and Climate Extremes, 45, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100703

Falster GM; Wright NM; Abram NJ; Ukkola AM; Henley BJ, 2024, 'Potential for historically unprecedented Australian droughts from natural variability and climate change', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, pp. 1383 - 1401, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1383-2024

Devanand A; Falster GM; Gillett ZE; Hobeichi S; Holgate CM; Jin C; Mu M; Parker T; Rifai SW; Rome KS; Stojanovic M; Vogel E; Abram NJ; Abramowitz G; Coats S; Evans JP; Gallant AJE; Pitman AJ; Power SB; Rauniyar SP; Taschetto AS; Ukkola AM, 2024, 'Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3460

Lane TP; King AD; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE; Pitman AJ; Alexander LV; Arblaster JM; Bindoff NL; Bishop CH; Black MT; Bradstock RA; Clarke HG; Gallant AJE; Grose MR; Holbrook NJ; Holland GJ; Hope PK; Karoly DJ; Raupach TH; Ukkola AM, 2023, 'Attribution of extreme events to climate change in the Australian region – A review', Weather and Climate Extremes, 42, pp. 100622, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100622

Stephens CM; Band LE; Johnson FM; Marshall LA; Medlyn BE; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM, 2023, 'Changes in Blue/Green Water Partitioning Under Severe Drought', Water Resources Research, 59, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022WR033449

Teckentrup L; De Kauwe MG; Abramowitz G; Pitman AJ; Ukkola AM; Hobeichi S; François B; Smith B, 2023, 'Opening Pandora's box: Reducing global circulation model uncertainty in Australian simulations of the carbon cycle', Earth System Dynamics, 14, pp. 549 - 576, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-549-2023

Fowler K; Peel M; Saft M; Peterson TJ; Western A; Band L; Petheram C; Dharmadi S; Tan KS; Zhang L; Lane P; Kiem A; Marshall L; Griebel A; Medlyn BE; Ryu D; Bonotto G; Wasko C; Ukkola A; Stephens C; Frost A; Gardiya Weligamage H; Saco P; Zheng H; Chiew F; Daly E; Walker G; Vervoort RW; Hughes J; Trotter L; Neal B; Cartwright I; Nathan R, 2022, 'Explaining changes in rainfall-runoff relationships during and after Australia's Millennium Drought: a community perspective', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26, pp. 6073 - 6120, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6073-2022

Ridder NN; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE, 2022, 'Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00224-4

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Ukkola AM; De Kauwe M; Pitman A; Evans JP; Beck H, 2022, 'Reconciling historical changes in the hydrological cycle over land', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00240-y

Mu M; Pitman AJ; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Ge J, 2022, 'How do groundwater dynamics influence heatwaves in southeast Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100479

De Kauwe MG; Sabot MEB; Medlyn BE; Pitman AJ; Meir P; Cernusak LA; Gallagher RV; Ukkola AM; Rifai SW; Choat B, 2022, 'Towards species-level forecasts of drought-induced tree mortality risk', New Phytologist, 235, pp. 94 - 110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nph.18129

Beringer J; Moore CE; Cleverly J; Campbell DI; Cleugh H; De Kauwe MG; Kirschbaum MUF; Griebel A; Grover S; Huete A; Hutley LB; Laubach J; Van Niel T; Arndt SK; Bennett AC; Cernusak LA; Eamus D; Ewenz CM; Goodrich JP; Jiang M; Hinko-Najera N; Isaac P; Hobeichi S; Knauer J; Koerber GR; Liddell M; Ma X; Macfarlane C; McHugh ID; Medlyn BE; Meyer WS; Norton AJ; Owens J; Pitman A; Pendall E; Prober SM; Ray RL; Restrepo-Coupe N; Rifai SW; Rowlings D; Schipper L; Silberstein RP; Teckentrup L; Thompson SE; Ukkola AM; Wall A; Wang YP; Wardlaw TJ; Woodgate W, 2022, 'Bridge to the future: Important lessons from 20 years of ecosystem observations made by the OzFlux network', Global Change Biology, 28, pp. 3489 - 3514, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16141

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Ukkola AM, 2022, 'High impact compound events in Australia', Weather and Climate Extremes, 36, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100457

Ukkola AM; Abramowitz G; De Kauwe MG, 2022, 'A flux tower dataset tailored for land model evaluation', Earth System Science Data, 14, pp. 449 - 461, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-449-2022

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans JP; Ukkola A, 2022, 'Toward a Robust, Impact-Based, Predictive Drought Metric', Water Resources Research, 58, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021WR031829

Rifai SW; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Cernusak LA; Meir P; Medlyn BE; Pitman AJ, 2022, 'Thirty-eight years of CO2 fertilization has outpaced growing aridity to drive greening of Australian woody ecosystems', Biogeosciences, 19, pp. 491 - 515, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-491-2022

Hirsch AL; Ridder NN; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE; Ukkola A, 2021, 'CMIP6 MultiModel Evaluation of Present-Day Heatwave Attributes', Geophysical Research Letters, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095161

Mu M; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Guo W; Hobeichi S; Briggs PR, 2021, 'Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts', Earth System Dynamics, 12, pp. 919 - 938, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-919-2021

Ukkola AM; De Kauwe MG; Roderick ML; Burrell A; Lehmann P; Pitman AJ, 2021, 'Annual precipitation explains variability in dryland vegetation greenness globally but not locally', Global Change Biology, 27, pp. 4367 - 4380, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15729

Rifai SW; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Cernusak LA; Meir P; Medlyn BE; Pitman AJ, 2021, 'Thirty-eight years of CO<sub>2</sub> fertilization have outpaced growing aridity to drive greening of Australian woody ecosystems', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-2021-218

Ukkola AM; Abramowitz G; De Kauwe MG, 2021, 'A flux tower dataset tailored for land model evaluation', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-2021-181

Mu M; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Guo W; Hobeichi S; Briggs PR, 2021, 'Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-31

De Kauwe M; Sabot M; Pitman A; Rifai S; Meir P; Cernusak L; Medlyn B; Ukkola A, 2021, 'Examining the vulnerability of Australian eucalypts to future drought-induced tree mortality', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-14527

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Ukkola AM, 2021, 'Do CMIP6 Climate Models Simulate Global or Regional Compound Events Skillfully?', Geophysical Research Letters, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091152

Mu M; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Gimeno TE; Medlyn BE; Or D; Yang J; Ellsworth DS, 2021, 'Evaluating a land surface model at a water-limited site: implications for land surface contributions to droughts and heatwaves', HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 25, pp. 447 - 471, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-447-2021

Pihl E; Alfredsson E; Bengtsson M; Bowen KJ; Cástan Broto V; Chou KT; Cleugh H; Ebi K; Edwards CM; Fisher E; Friedlingstein P; Godoy-Faúndez A; Gupta M; Harrington AR; Hayes K; Hayward BM; Hebden SR; Hickmann T; Hugelius G; Ilyina T; Jackson RB; Keenan TF; Lambino RA; Leuzinger S; Malmaeus M; McDonald RI; McMichael C; Miller CA; Muratori M; Nagabhatla N; Nagendra H; Passarello C; Penuelas J; Pongratz J; Rockström J; Romero-Lankao P; Roy J; Scaife AA; Schlosser P; Schuur E; Scobie M; Sherwood SC; Sioen GB; Skovgaard J; Sobenes Obregon EA; Sonntag S; Spangenberg JH; Spijkers O; Srivastava L; Stammer DB; Torres PHC; Turetsky MR; Ukkola AM; Van Vuuren DP; Voigt C; Wannous C; Zelinka MD, 2021, 'Ten new insights in climate science 2020-a horizon scan', Global Sustainability, 4, pp. e5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/sus.2021.2

Abram NJ; Henley BJ; Gupta AS; Lippmann TJR; Clarke H; Dowdy AJ; Sharples JJ; Nolan RH; Zhang T; Wooster MJ; Wurtzel JB; Meissner KJ; Pitman AJ; Ukkola AM; Murphy BP; Tapper NJ; Boer MM, 2021, 'Connections of climate change and variability to large and extreme forest fires in southeast Australia', Communications Earth and Environment, 2, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00065-8

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Westra S; Ukkola A; Hong XD; Bador M; Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Zscheischler J, 2020, 'Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events', Nature Communications, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19639-3

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Westra S; Ukkola A; Do HX; Bador M; Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Zscheischler J, 2020, 'Publisher Correction: Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events (Nature Communications, (2020), 11, 1, (5956), 10.1038/s41467-020-19639-3)', Nature Communications, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20502-8

De Kauwe MG; Medlyn BE; Ukkola AM; Mu M; Sabot MEB; Pitman AJ; Meir P; Cernusak LA; Rifai SW; Choat B; Tissue DT; Blackman CJ; Li X; Roderick M; Briggs PR, 2020, 'Identifying areas at risk of drought-induced tree mortality across South-Eastern Australia', Global Change Biology, 26, pp. 5716 - 5733, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15215

Mu M; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Gimeno TE; Medlyn BE; Or D; Yang J; Ellsworth DS, 2020, 'Evaluating a land surface model at a water-limited site: implications for land surface contributions to droughts and heatwaves', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-339

Ukkola AM; De Kauwe MG; Roderick ML; Abramowitz G; Pitman AJ, 2020, 'Robust Future Changes in Meteorological Drought in CMIP6 Projections Despite Uncertainty in Precipitation', Geophysical Research Letters, 47, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087820

Sabot MEB; De Kauwe MG; Pitman AJ; Medlyn BE; Verhoef A; Ukkola AM; Abramowitz G, 2020, 'Plant profit maximization improves predictions of European forest responses to drought', New Phytologist, 226, pp. 1638 - 1655, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nph.16376

Paschalis A; Fatichi S; Zscheischler J; Ciais P; Bahn M; Boysen L; Chang J; De Kauwe M; Estiarte M; Goll D; Hanson PJ; Harper AB; Hou E; Kigel J; Knapp AK; Larsen KS; Li W; Lienert S; Luo Y; Meir P; Nabel JEMS; Ogaya R; Parolari AJ; Peng C; Peñuelas J; Pongratz J; Rambal S; Schmidt IK; Shi H; Sternberg M; Tian H; Tschumi E; Ukkola A; Vicca S; Viovy N; Wang YP; Wang Z; Williams K; Wu D; Zhu Q, 2020, 'Rainfall manipulation experiments as simulated by terrestrial biosphere models: Where do we stand?', Global Change Biology, 26, pp. 3336 - 3355, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15024

Ukkola AM; De Kauwe MG; Roderick ML; Abramowitz G; Pitman AJ, 2020, 'Robust future changes in meteorological drought in CMIP6 projections despite uncertainty in precipitation', , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10502465.1

King AD; Pitman AJ; Henley BJ; Ukkola AM; Brown JR, 2020, 'The role of climate variability in Australian drought', Nature Climate Change, 10, pp. 177 - 179, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0718-z

Hirsch AL; Kala J; Carouge CC; De Kauwe MG; Di Virgilio G; Ukkola AM; Evans JP; Abramowitz G, 2019, 'Evaluation of the CABLEv2.3.4 Land Surface Model Coupled to NU-WRFv3.9.1.1 in Simulating Temperature and Precipitation Means and Extremes Over CORDEX AustralAsia Within a WRF Physics Ensemble', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, pp. 4466 - 4488, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001845

Greve P; Roderick ML; Ukkola AM; Wada Y, 2019, 'The aridity Index under global warming', Environmental Research Letters, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab5046

Henley BJ; Peel MC; Nathan R; King AD; Ukkola AM; Karoly DJ; Tan KS, 2019, 'Amplification of risks to water supply at 1.5 °c and 2 °c in drying climates: A case study for Melbourne, Australia', Environmental Research Letters, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab26ef

Donat MG; Angélil O; Ukkola AM, 2019, 'Intensification of precipitation extremes in the world's humid and water-limited regions', Environmental Research Letters, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab1c8e

Van Der Horst SVJ; Pitman AJ; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola A; Abramowitz G; Isaac P, 2019, 'How representative are FLUXNET measurements of surface fluxes during temperature extremes?', Biogeosciences, 16, pp. 1829 - 1844, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-1829-2019

De Kauwe MG; Medlyn BE; Pitman AJ; Drake JE; Ukkola A; Griebel A; Pendall E; Prober S; Roderick M, 2019, 'Examining the evidence for decoupling between photosynthesis and transpiration during heat extremes', Biogeosciences, 16, pp. 903 - 916, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-16-903-2019

De Kauwe MG; Medlyn BE; Pitman AJ; Drake JE; Ukkola A; Griebal A; Pendall E; Prober S; Roderick M, 2018, 'Examining the evidence for sustained transpiration during heat extremes', Biogeosciences Discussions, pp. 1 - 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-2018-399

Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Donat MG; De Kauwe MG; Angélil O; Angelil O, 2018, 'Evaluating the Contribution of Land-Atmosphere Coupling to Heat Extremes in CMIP5 Models', Geophysical Research Letters, 45, pp. 9003 - 9012, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079102

Wu D; Ciais P; Viovy N; Knapp AK; Wilcox K; Bahn M; Smith MD; Vicca S; Fatichi S; Zscheischler J; He Y; Li X; Ito A; Arneth A; Harper A; Ukkola A; Paschalis A; Poulter B; Peng C; Ricciuto D; Reinthaler D; Chen G; Tian H; Genet H; Mao J; Ingrisch J; Nabel JESM; Pongratz J; Boysen LR; Kautz M; Schmitt M; Meir P; Zhu Q; Hasibeder R; Sippel S; Dangal SRS; Sitch S; Shi X; Wang Y; Luo Y; Liu Y; Piao S, 2018, 'Asymmetric responses of primary productivity to altered precipitation simulated by ecosystem models across three long-term grassland sites', Biogeosciences, 15, pp. 3421 - 3437, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-3421-2018

Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; De Kauwe MG; Abramowitz G; Herger N; Evans JP; Decker M, 2018, 'Evaluating CMIP5 model agreement for multiple drought metrics', Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, pp. 969 - 988, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0099.1

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans J; Ukkola A, 2018, 'Derived Optimal Linear Combination Evapotranspiration (DOLCE): A global gridded synthesis et estimate', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, pp. 1317 - 1336, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1317-2018

Wu D; Ciais P; Viovy N; Knapp AK; Wilcox K; Bahn M; Smith MD; Vicca S; Fatichi S; Zscheischler J; He Y; Li X; Ito A; Arneth A; Harper A; Ukkola A; Paschalis A; Poulter B; Peng C; Ricciuto D; Reinthaler D; Chen G; Tian H; Genet H; Mao J; Ingrisch J; Nabel JESM; Pongratz J; Boysen LR; Kautz M; Schmitt M; Meir P; Zhu Q; Hasibeder R; Sippel S; Dangal SRS; Sitch S; Shi X; Wang Y; Luo Y; Liu Y; Piao S, 2018, 'Asymmetric Responses of Primary Productivity to Altered Precipitation Simulated by Ecosystem Models across Three Longterm Grassland Sites', Biogeosciences Discussions, pp. 1 - 27, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-2018-53

Ukkola AM; Haughton N; De Kauwe MG; Abramowitz G; Pitman AJ, 2017, 'FluxnetLSM R package (v1.0): A community tool for processing FLUXNET data for use in land surface modelling', Geoscientific Model Development, 10, pp. 3379 - 3390, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-3379-2017

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