By Dr David John Muscatello

Journal articles

Gul D; Cohen C; Tempia S; Newall AT; Muscatello DJ, 2018, 'Influenza-associated mortality in South Africa, 2009-2013: The importance of choices related to influenza infection proxies', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 12, pp. 54 - 64, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12498

Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Wang Q; Yang P; Wu J; MacIntyre CR, 2017, 'Overview of influenza vaccination policy in Beijing, China: Current status and future prospects', Journal of Public Health Policy, 38, pp. 366 - 379, http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41271-017-0079-7

Rosewell A; Makita L; Muscatello D; John LN; Bieb S; Hutton R; Ramamurthy S; Shearman P, 2017, 'Health information system strengthening and malaria elimination in Papua New Guinea', Malaria Journal, 16, pp. 278, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12936-017-1910-0

Muscatello DJ; Chughtai AA; Heywood A; Gardner LJ; Heslop DJ; Macintyre CR, 2017, 'Translating real-time infectious disease modeling into routine public health practice', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 23, pp. e1 - e6, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2305.161720

Zhang Y; Wu P; Feng L; Yang P; Pan Y; Feng S; Qin Y; Zheng J; Puig-Barberà J; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Cowling BJ; Yu H; Wang Q, 2017, 'Influenza vaccine effectiveness against influenza-associated hospitalization in 2015/16 season, Beijing, China.', Vaccine, 35, pp. 3129 - 3134, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.03.084

Bein KJ; Berendsen Russell S; Muscatello D; Chalkley D; Ivers R; Dinh MM, 2017, 'Feeling the HEAT: Using Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking to demonstrate a novel method of describing activity and patient flow', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 29, pp. 173 - 177, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12712

Moa AM; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre CR, 2017, 'Epidemiology of influenza B in Australia: 2001-2014 influenza seasons', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 11, pp. 102 - 109, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12432

Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Vallmuur K; Muscatello D; Chalkley D; Ivers R, 2017, 'Age-related trends in injury and injury severity presenting to emergency departments in New South Wales Australia: Implications for major injury surveillance and trauma systems', Injury, 48, pp. 171 - 176, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.injury.2016.08.005

Muscatello DJ; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2017, 'Emergency Department demand associated with seasonal influenza, 2010 through 2014, New South Wales, Australia', Western Pacific Surveillance and Response, 8, pp. 11 - 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2017.8.2.002

Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Rogers K; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Hayman J; Chalkley DR; Ivers R, 2016, 'The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (START) to predict Emergency Department Disposition: A derivation and internal validation study using retrospective state-wide data from New South Wales, Australia', BMC Emergency Medicine, 16, pp. 46, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12873-016-0111-4

Dinh MM; Muecke S; Berendsen Russell S; Chalkley D; Bein KJ; Muscatello D; Nagaraj G; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Demand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010–2014 (DESTINY): Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments', Prehospital Emergency Care, 20, pp. 776 - 782, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10903127.2016.1182603

Sullivan SG; Franklin LJ; Raupach J; Pennington K; Bareja C; de Kluyver R; National Influenza Surveillance Committee (inc. DJ Muscatello) , 2016, 'A brief overview of influenza surveillance systems in Australia, 2015', Communicable Diseases Intelligence, 40, pp. E347 - E351, http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/cda-cdi4003f.htm

Moa AM; Chughtai AA; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre CR, 2016, 'Immunogenicity and safety of inactivated quadrivalent influenza vaccine in adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials', Vaccine, 34, pp. 4092 - 4102, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.06.064

Norton S; Cordery DV; Abbenbroek BJ; Ryan AC; Muscatello DJ, 2016, 'Towards public health surveillance of intensive care services in NSW, Australia', Public Health Research and Practice, 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.17061/phrp2631633

Dinh MM; Berendsen Russell S; Bein KJ; Chalkley D; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Trends and characteristics of short-term and frequent representations to emergency departments: A population-based study from New South Wales, Australia', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 28, pp. 307 - 312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12582

Dinh MM; Berendsen Russell S; Bein KJ; Chalkley D; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Understanding drivers of Demand for Emergency Service Trends in Years 2010-2014 in New South Wales: An initial overview of the DESTINY project', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 28, pp. 179 - 186, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12542

Whitlam G; Dinh M; Rodgers C; Muscatello DJ; McGuire R; Ryan T; Thackway S, 2016, 'Diagnosis-based emergency department alcohol harm surveillance: What can it tell us about acute alcohol harms at the population level?', Drug and Alcohol Review, pp. n/a - n/a, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/dar.12458

Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Chalkley DR; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales, Australia: Who, what, where and why?', BMJ Open, 6, pp. e010964, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010964

Gale M; Muscatello DJ; Dinh M; Byrnes J; Shakeshaft A; Hayen A; MacIntyre CR; Haber P; Cretikos M; Morton P, 2015, 'Alcopops, taxation and harm: A segmented time series analysis of emergency department presentations', BMC Public Health, 15, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-1769-3

Leung K; Ringland C; Salmon A; Chessman J; Muscatello D, 2015, 'That’s entertainment: Trends in late-night assaults and acute alcohol illness in Sydney's Entertainment Precinct', Crime and Justice Bulletin, http://www.bocsar.nsw.gov.au/Pages/bocsar_news/cjb185-Trends-in-late-night-assaults.aspx

Dinh MM; Bein KJ; Latt M; Chalkley D; Muscatello D, 2015, 'Age before acuity: The drivers of demand for emergency department services in the Greater Sydney Area', Emergency Medicine Journal, 32, pp. 708 - 711, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/emermed-2014-204174

Koopman B; Karimi S; Nguyen A; McGuire R; Muscatello D; Kemp M; Truran D; Zhang M; Thackway S, 2015, 'Automatic classification of diseases from free-text death certificates for real-time surveillance', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 15, pp. 53, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12911-015-0174-2

Davey HM; Muscatello DJ; Wood JG; Snelling TL; Ferson MJ; Macartney KK, 2015, 'Impact of high coverage of monovalent human rotavirus vaccine on Emergency Department presentations for rotavirus gastroenteritis', Vaccine, 33, pp. 1726 - 1730, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.01.082

Liljeqvist HTG; Muscatello D; Sara G; Dinh M; Lawrence GL, 2014, 'Accuracy of automatic syndromic classification of coded emergency department diagnoses in identifying mental health-related presentations for public health surveillance', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-14-84

Muscatello DJ; Amin J; MacIntyre CR; Newall AT; Rawlinson WD; Sintchenko V; Gilmour R; Thackway S, 2014, 'Inaccurate ascertainment of morbidity and mortality due to influenza in administrative databases: A population-based record linkage study', Plos One, 9, pp. e98446, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0098446

Leonard C; Bein KJ; Latt M; Muscatello D; Veillard AS; Dinh MM, 2014, 'Demand for emergency department services in the elderly: An 11 year analysis of the Greater Sydney Area', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 26, pp. 356 - 360, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12250

Simonsen L; Spreeuwenberg P; Lustig R; Taylor RJ; Fleming DM; Kroneman M; Van Kerkhove MD; Mounts AW; Paget WJ; Echenique H; Savy V; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Dwyer DE; Azziz-Baumgartner E; Homaira N; Moura FEA; Schuck C; Akwar H; Schanzer D; Fuentes R; Olea A; Sotomayor V; Feng L; Yu H; Mazick A; Mølbak K; Nielsen J; Carrat F; Lemaitre M; Buchholz U; Schweiger B; Höhle M; Vesenbeckh S; Cowling B; Leung G; Tsang T; Chuang SK; Bromberg M; Kaufman Z; Sugaya N; Oka Ezoe K; Hayashi S; Matsuda M; Lopez-Gatell H; Alpuche-Aranda C; Noyola D; Chowell G; van Asten L; Meijer A; van den Wijngaard K; van der Sande M; Baker M; Zhang J; Benavides JG; Munayco C; Laguna-Torres A; Rabczenko D; Wojtyniak B; Park SH; Lee YK; Zolotusca L; Popovici O; Popescu R; Ang LW; Cutter J; Lin R; Ma S; Chen M; Lee VJ; Prosenc K; Socan M; Cohen C; Larrauri A; de Mateo S; Méndez LS; Sanz CD; Andrews N; Green HK; Pebody R; Saei A; Shay D; Viboud C, 2013, 'Global Mortality Estimates for the 2009 Influenza Pandemic from the GLaMOR Project: A Modeling Study', Plos Medicine, 10, pp. e1001558, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001558

Muscatello DJ; Newall AT; Dwyer DE; MacIntyre CR, 2013, 'Mortality Attributable to Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza, Australia, 2003 to 2009, Using a Novel Time Series Smoothing Approach', PLoS ONE, 8, pp. e64734 - e64734, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0064734

Mitchell RJ; Bambach M; Muscatello D; McKenzie K; Balogh ZJ, 2013, 'Can SNOMED CT as implemented in New South Wales, Australia be used for road trauma injury surveillance in emergency departments?', Health Information Management Journal, 42, pp. 4 - 8, http://search.informit.com.au/documentSummary;dn=353339589984122;res=IELHEA

Cashmore AW; Muscatello DJ; Merrifield A; Spokes P; Macartney K; Jalaludin BB, 2013, 'Relationship between the population incidence of pertussis in children in New South Wales, Australia and emergency department visits with cough: a time series analysis', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 13, pp. 1 - 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-13-40

Schaffer A; Muscatello D; Cretikos M; Gilmour R; Tobin S; Ward J, 2012, 'The impact of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 compared with seasonal influenza on intensive care admissions in New South Wales, Australia, 2007 to 2010: A time series analysis', BMC Public Health, 12, pp. 869, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-869

Schaffer A; Muscatello D; Broome R; Corbett S; Smith W, 2012, 'Emergency department visits, ambulance calls, and mortality associated with an exceptional heat wave in Sydney, Australia, 2011: A time-series analysis', Environmental Health A Global Access Science Source, 11, pp. 3, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1476-069X-11-3

Chen H-Y; Jan S; Boufous S; Martiniuk A; Ivers R; Senserrick T; Norton R; Muscatello D, 2012, 'Variations in car crash-related hospitalization costs amongst young adults in New South Wales, Australia', Injury : International Journal of the Care of the Injured, 43, pp. 1593 - 1599, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020138311002531

Sparks RS; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2011, 'Optimal exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) plans for detecting seasonal epidemics when faced with non-homogeneous negative binomial counts', Journal of Applied Statistics, 38, pp. 2165 - 2181, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2010.545184

Thomas SL; Muscatello DJ; Middleton PM; Zheng W, 2011, 'Characteristics of fall-related injuries attended by an ambulance in Sydney, Australia: a surveillance summary.', New South Wales Public Health Bulletin, 22, pp. 49 - 54, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb09034

Hayden TJ; Muscatello DJ, 2011, 'Increased presentations to emergency departments for asthma associated with rye grass pollen season in inland NSW.', New South Wales Public Health Bulletin, 22, pp. 154 - 158, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb10035

Muscatello D; Barr M; Thackway S; MacIntyre CR, 2011, 'Epidemiology of influenza-like illness during pandemic (H1N1) 2009, New South Wales, Australia', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 17, pp. 1240 - 1247, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1707.101173

Polkinghorne B; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Lawrence GL; Middleton PM; Torvaldsen S, 2011, 'Relationship between the population incidence of febrile convulsions in young children in Sydney, Australia and seasonal epidemics of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus, 2003-2010: a time series analysis', BMC Infectious Diseases, 11, pp. 1 - 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-11-291

Descallar J; Muscatello D; Weatherburn D; Chu M; Moffatt S, 2011, 'The association between the incidence of emergency department attendances for alcohol problems and assault incidents attended by police in New South Wales, Australia, 2003-2008: a time series analysis', Addiction, 107, pp. 549 - 556, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2011.03623.x

Sparks RS; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2010, 'Early warning CUSUM plans for surveillance of negative binomial daily disease counts', Journal of Applied Statistics, 37, pp. 1911 - 1929, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664760903186056

O'Toole L; Muscatello DJ; Zheng W; Churches T, 2010, 'Can near real-time monitoring of emergency department diagnoses facilitate early response to sporadic meningococcal infection? - prospective and retrospective evaluations', BMC Infectious Diseases, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-10-309

Sparks R; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2010, 'Exponentially weighted moving average plans for detecting unusual negative binomial counts', IIE Transactions Institute of Industrial Engineers, 42, pp. 721 - 733, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07408170903468597

Churches T; Conaty SJ; Gilmour RE; Muscatello DJ, 2010, 'Reflections on public health surveillance of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 influenza in NSW.', New South Wales Public Health Bulletin, 21, pp. 19 - 25, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb09046

Earnest A; Beard JR; Morgan G; Lincoln D; Summerhayes R; Donoghue D; Dunn T; Muscatello D; Mengersen K, 2010, 'Small area estimation of sparse disease counts using shared component models-application to birth defect registry data in New South Wales, Australia', Health and Place, 16, pp. 684 - 693, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.healthplace.2010.02.006

Muscatello D; Cretikos M; MacIntyre CR, 2010, 'All-cause mortality during first wave of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, New South Wales, Australia, 2009', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 16, pp. 1 - 7, http://www.cdc.gov/EID/content/16/9/1396.htm

Carter CK; Sparks R; Graham P; Muscatello D; Churches T; Kaldor J; Turner R; Zheng W; Ryan L, 2010, 'Understanding sources of variation in syndromic surveillance for early warning of natural or intentional disease outbreaks', IIE Transactions, 42, pp. 613 - 631, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07408170902942667

Thackway S; Churches T; Fizzell J; Muscatello D; Armstrong P, 2009, 'Should cities hosting mass gatherings invest in public health surveillance and planning? Reflections from a decade of mass gatherings in Sydney, Australia', BMC Public Health, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-9-324

Cretikos MA; Muscatello DJ; Patterson J; Conaty S; Churches T; Fizzell J; Chant KG; McAnulty JM; Thackway S, 2009, 'Progression and impact of the first winter wave of the 2009 pandemic H1N1 influenza in New South Wales, Australia.', Eurosurveillance, 14, pp. 28 - 36

Sparks RS; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2009, 'Improving EWMA Plans for Detecting Unusual Increases in Poisson Counts', Journal of Applied Mathematics and Decision Sciences, 2009, pp. 1 - 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2009/512356

Carlson SJ; Dalton CB; Tuyl FA; Durrheim DN; Fejsa J; Muscatello DJ; Francis JL; d'Espaignet ET, 2009, 'Flutracking surveillance: comparing 2007 New South Wales results with laboratory confirmed influenza notifications.', Communicable Diseases Intelligence, 33, pp. 323 - 327

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