Select Publications

Journal articles

Zhang Y; Muscatello D; Tian Y; Chen Y; Li S; Duan W; Ma C; Sun Y; Wu S; Ge L; Yang P; Jia L; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2021, 'Role of presymptomatic transmission of COVID-19: Evidence from Beijing, China', Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, vol. 75, pp. 84 - 87, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/jech-2020-214635

Newall AT; Leong RNF; Nazareno A; Muscatello DJ; Wood JG; Kim WJ, 2020, 'Delay-adjusted age- and sex-specific case fatality rates for COVID-19 in South Korea: Evolution in the estimated risk of mortality throughout the epidemic', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, vol. 101, pp. 306 - 311, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.09.1478

Muscatello DJ; McIntyre PB, 2020, 'Comparing mortalities of the first wave of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and of the 1918-19 winter pandemic influenza wave in the USA.', Int J Epidemiol, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyaa186

Manurung MK; Reo SE; Pardosi JF; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Evaluation of the Indonesian Early Warning Alert and Response System (EWARS) in West Papua, Indonesia', WHO South-East Asia journal of public health, vol. 9, pp. 111 - 117, http://dx.doi.org/10.4103/2224-3151.294304

Kunwar R; Vajdic CM; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Parental international migration is not associated with improved health care seeking for common childhood illnesses and nutritional status of young children left-behind in Nepal', Public Health, vol. 186, pp. 137 - 143, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.puhe.2020.06.049

Morgan DP; Muscatello D; Travaglia J; Hayen A, 2020, 'Retrospective observational cohort study of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest outcomes in Tasmania 2010–2014', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, vol. 32, pp. 631 - 637, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.13490

Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Cao Z; Chughtai AA; Costantino V; Zhang D; Yang P; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2020, 'A model of influenza infection and vaccination in children aged under 5 years in Beijing, China', Human Vaccines and Immunotherapeutics, vol. 16, pp. 1685 - 1690, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2019.1705692

Trevisan G; Linhares LCM; Crim B; Dubey P; Schwartz KJ; Burrough ER; Wang C; Main RG; Sundberg P; Thurn M; Lages PTF; Corzo CA; Torrison J; Henningson J; Herrman E; Hanzlicek GA; Raghavan R; Marthaler D; Greseth J; Clement T; Christopher-Hennings J; Muscatello D; Linhares DCL, 2020, 'Prediction of seasonal patterns of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus RNA detection in the U.S. swine industry', Journal of Veterinary Diagnostic Investigation, vol. 32, pp. 394 - 400, http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1040638720912406

Moa A; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre R, 2020, 'Estimated hospitalisations attributable to seasonal and pandemic influenza in Australia: 2001- 2013.', PLoS One, vol. 15, pp. e0230705. - e0230705., http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0230705

Morgan DP; Muscatello D; Hayen A; Travaglia J, 2019, 'Human factors influencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, vol. 31, pp. 600 - 604, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.13222

Hauser MI; Muscatello DJ; Soh ACY; Dwyer DE; Turner RM, 2019, 'An indirect comparison meta-analysis of AS03 and MF59 adjuvants in pandemic influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 vaccines', Vaccine, vol. 37, pp. 4246 - 4255, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.039

Moa A; Muscatello D; Chughtai A; Chen X; Raina MacIntyre C, 2019, 'Flucast: A real-time tool to predict severity of an influenza season', Journal of Medical Internet Research, vol. 21, pp. e11780, http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/11780

Muscatello DJ; Leong RNF; Turner RM; Newall AT, 2019, 'Rapid mapping of the spatial and temporal intensity of influenza', European Journal of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, vol. 38, pp. 1307 - 1312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10096-019-03554-7

Muscatello DJ, 2019, 'Redefining influenza seasonality at a global scale and aligning it to the influenza vaccine manufacturing cycle: A descriptive time series analysis', Journal of Infection, vol. 78, pp. 140 - 149, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2018.10.006

Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Wang Q; Yang P; Pan Y; Huo D; Liu Z; Zhao X; Tang Y; Li C; Chughtai AA; Macintyre CR, 2018, 'Hospitalizations for influenza-associatesevere acute respiratory infection, Beijing, China, 2014–2016', Emerging Infectious Diseases, vol. 24, pp. 2098 - 2102, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2411.171410

Zhang Y; Cao Z; Costantino V; Muscatello DJ; Chughtai AA; Yang P; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2018, 'Influenza illness averted by influenza vaccination among school year children in Beijing, 2013-2016', Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses, vol. 12, pp. 687 - 694, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12585

Karki S; Muscatello DJ; Banks E; MacIntyre CR; McIntyre P; Liu B, 2018, 'Association between body mass index and laboratory-confirmed influenza in middle aged and older adults: a prospective cohort study', International Journal of Obesity, vol. 42, pp. 1480 - 1488, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41366-018-0029-x

Sagna T; Ilboudo AK; Wandaogo C; Cissé A; Sana M; Tialla D; Sanou AM; Muscatello DJ; Tarnagda Z, 2018, 'Preliminary results of official influenza and acute respiratory infection surveillance in two towns of Burkina Faso, 2013-2015', BMC Infectious Diseases, vol. 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-018-3241-3

Putri WCWS; Muscatello DJ; Stockwell MS; Newall AT, 2018, 'Economic burden of seasonal influenza in the United States', Vaccine, vol. 36, pp. 3960 - 3966, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.05.057

Atkinson JA; Knowles D; Wiggers J; Livingston M; Room R; Prodan A; Mcdonnell G; O’Donnell E; Jones S; Haber PS; Muscatello D; Ezard N; Phung N; Freebairn L; Indig D; Rychetnik L; Ananthapavan J; Wutzke S; Conigrave K; Rissel C; Coates P; Moore R; Gupta L; Renshaw F; Price K; Mitchell J; Whitlam G; Lewis N; Heffernan M; Lambert M; Redman S; Shiell A; Penza L; Wilson A, 2018, 'Harnessing advances in computer simulation to inform policy and planning to reduce alcohol-related harms', International Journal of Public Health, vol. 63, pp. 537 - 546, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00038-017-1041-y

Iuliano AD; Roguski KM; Chang HH; Muscatello DJ; Palekar R; Tempia S; Cohen C; Gran JM; Schanzer D; Cowling BJ; Wu P; Kyncl J; Ang LW; Park M; Redlberger-Fritz M; Yu H; Espenhain L; Krishnan A; Emukule G; van Asten L; Pereira da Silva S; Aungkulanon S; Buchholz U; Widdowson MA; Bresee JS; Azziz-Baumgartner E; Cheng PY; Dawood F; Foppa I; Olsen S; Haber M; Jeffers C; MacIntyre CR; Newall AT; Wood JG; Kundi M; Popow-Kraupp T; Ahmed M; Rahman M; Marinho F; Sotomayor Proschle CV; Vergara Mallegas N; Luzhao F; Sa L; Barbosa-Ramírez J; Sanchez DM; Gomez LA; Vargas XB; Acosta Herrera AB; Llanés MJ; Fischer TK; Krause TG; Mølbak K; Nielsen J; Trebbien R; Bruno A; Ojeda J; Ramos H; an der Heiden M; del Carmen Castillo Signor L; Serrano CE; Bhardwaj R; Chadha M; Narayan V; Kosen S; Bromberg M; Glatman-Freedman A; Kaufman Z; Arima Y; Oishi K; Chaves S; Nyawanda B; Al-Jarallah RA; Kuri-Morales PA; Matus CR; Corona MEJ; Burmaa A; Darmaa O; Obtel M; Cherkaoui I; van den Wijngaard CC; van der Hoek W; Baker M; Bandaranayake D; Bissielo A; Huang S; Lopez L; Newbern C; Flem E; Grøneng GM; Hauge S; de Cosío FG; de Moltó Y; Castillo LM; Cabello MA; von Horoch M; Medina Osis J; Machado A; Nunes B; Rodrigues AP, 2018, 'Estimates of global seasonal influenza-associated respiratory mortality: a modelling study', The Lancet, vol. 391, pp. 1285 - 1300, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)33293-2

Muscatello DJ; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2018, 'Influenza-associated delays in patient throughput and premature patient departure in emergency departments in New South Wales, Australia: A time series analysis', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, vol. 30, pp. 77 - 80, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12808

Tarnagda Z; Cissé A; Bicaba BW; Diagbouga S; Sagna T; Ilboudo AK; Tialla D; Lingani M; Sondo KA; Yougbaré I; Yaméogo I; Sow HE; Sakandé J; Sangaré L; Greco R; Muscatello DJ, 2018, 'Dengue fever in Burkina faso, 2016', Emerging Infectious Diseases, vol. 24, pp. 170 - 172, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2401.170973

Kunwar R; Lamichhane P; Vajdic C; Muscatello DJ, 2018, 'Effect of overseas parental employment migration on healthcare seeking for common childhood illnesses and nutritional status among left-behind young children: A systematic review', Journal of Child Health Care, http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1367493518787326

Gul D; Cohen C; Tempia S; Newall AT; Muscatello DJ, 2018, 'Influenza-associated mortality in South Africa, 2009-2013: The importance of choices related to influenza infection proxies', Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses, vol. 12, pp. 54 - 64, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12498

Bresee J; Fitzner J; Campbell H; Cohen C; Cozza V; Jara J; Krishnan A; Lee V; WHO Working Group on the Burden of Influenza Disease , 2018, 'Progress and Remaining Gaps in Estimating the Global Disease Burden of Influenza', Emerging infectious diseases, vol. 24, pp. 1173 - 1177, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2407.171270

Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Wang Q; Yang P; Wu J; MacIntyre CR, 2017, 'Overview of influenza vaccination policy in Beijing, China: Current status and future prospects', Journal of Public Health Policy, vol. 38, pp. 366 - 379, http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41271-017-0079-7

Rosewell A; Makita L; Muscatello D; John LN; Bieb S; Hutton R; Ramamurthy S; Shearman P, 2017, 'Health information system strengthening and malaria elimination in Papua New Guinea', Malaria Journal, vol. 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12936-017-1910-0

Muscatello DJ; Chughtai AA; Heywood A; Gardner LJ; Heslop DJ; Macintyre CR, 2017, 'Translating real-time infectious disease modeling into routine public health practice', Emerging Infectious Diseases, vol. 23, pp. e1 - e6, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2305.161720

Zhang Y; Wu P; Feng L; Yang P; Pan Y; Feng S; Qin Y; Zheng J; Puig-Barberà J; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Cowling BJ; Yu H; Wang Q, 2017, 'Influenza vaccine effectiveness against influenza-associated hospitalization in 2015/16 season, Beijing, China.', Vaccine, vol. 35, pp. 3129 - 3134, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.03.084

Bein KJ; Berendsen Russell S; Muscatello D; Chalkley D; Ivers R; Dinh MM, 2017, 'Feeling the HEAT: Using Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking to demonstrate a novel method of describing activity and patient flow', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, vol. 29, pp. 173 - 177, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12712

Moa AM; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre CR, 2017, 'Epidemiology of influenza B in Australia: 2001-2014 influenza seasons', Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses, vol. 11, pp. 102 - 109, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12432

Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Vallmuur K; Muscatello D; Chalkley D; Ivers R, 2017, 'Age-related trends in injury and injury severity presenting to emergency departments in New South Wales Australia: Implications for major injury surveillance and trauma systems', Injury, vol. 48, pp. 171 - 176, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.injury.2016.08.005

Muscatello DJ; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2017, 'Emergency Department demand associated with seasonal influenza, 2010 through 2014, New South Wales, Australia', Western Pacific Surveillance and Response, vol. 8, pp. 11 - 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2017.8.2.002

Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Rogers K; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Hayman J; Chalkley DR; Ivers R, 2016, 'The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (START) to predict Emergency Department Disposition: A derivation and internal validation study using retrospective state-wide data from New South Wales, Australia', BMC Emergency Medicine, vol. 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12873-016-0111-4

Dinh MM; Muecke S; Berendsen Russell S; Chalkley D; Bein KJ; Muscatello D; Nagaraj G; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Demand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010–2014 (DESTINY): Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments', Prehospital Emergency Care, vol. 20, pp. 776 - 782, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10903127.2016.1182603

Sullivan SG; Franklin LJ; Raupach J; Pennington K; Bareja C; de Kluyver R; National Influenza Surveillance Committee (inc. DJ Muscatello) , 2016, 'A brief overview of influenza surveillance systems in Australia, 2015', Communicable Diseases Intelligence, vol. 40, pp. E347 - E351, http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/cda-cdi4003f.htm

Moa AM; Chughtai AA; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre CR, 2016, 'Immunogenicity and safety of inactivated quadrivalent influenza vaccine in adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials', Vaccine, vol. 34, pp. 4092 - 4102, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.06.064

Norton S; Cordery DV; Abbenbroek BJ; Ryan AC; Muscatello DJ, 2016, 'Towards public health surveillance of intensive care services in NSW, Australia', Public Health Research and Practice, vol. 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.17061/phrp2631633

Dinh MM; Berendsen Russell S; Bein KJ; Chalkley D; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Trends and characteristics of short-term and frequent representations to emergency departments: A population-based study from New South Wales, Australia', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, vol. 28, pp. 307 - 312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12582

Dinh MM; Berendsen Russell S; Bein KJ; Chalkley D; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Understanding drivers of Demand for Emergency Service Trends in Years 2010-2014 in New South Wales: An initial overview of the DESTINY project', EMA - Emergency Medicine Australasia, vol. 28, pp. 179 - 186, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12542

Whitlam G; Dinh M; Rodgers C; Muscatello DJ; McGuire R; Ryan T; Thackway S, 2016, 'Diagnosis-based emergency department alcohol harm surveillance: What can it tell us about acute alcohol harms at the population level?', Drug and Alcohol Review, vol. 35, pp. n/a - n/a, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/dar.12458

Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Chalkley DR; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales, Australia: Who, what, where and why?', BMJ Open, vol. 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010964

Gale M; Muscatello DJ; Dinh M; Byrnes J; Shakeshaft A; Hayen A; MacIntyre CR; Haber P; Cretikos M; Morton P, 2015, 'Alcopops, taxation and harm: A segmented time series analysis of emergency department presentations', BMC Public Health, vol. 15, pp. 468, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-1769-3

Leung K; Ringland C; Salmon A; Chessman J; Muscatello D, 2015, 'That’s entertainment: Trends in late-night assaults and acute alcohol illness in Sydney's Entertainment Precinct', Crime and Justice Bulletin, http://www.bocsar.nsw.gov.au/Pages/bocsar_news/cjb185-Trends-in-late-night-assaults.aspx

Koopman B; Karimi S; Nguyen A; McGuire R; Muscatello D; Kemp M; Truran D; Zhang M; Thackway S, 2015, 'Automatic classification of diseases from free-text death certificates for real-time surveillance', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, vol. 15, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12911-015-0174-2

Davey HM; Muscatello DJ; Wood JG; Snelling TL; Ferson MJ; Macartney KK, 2015, 'Impact of high coverage of monovalent human rotavirus vaccine on Emergency Department presentations for rotavirus gastroenteritis', Vaccine, vol. 33, pp. 1726 - 1730, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.01.082

Dinh MM; Bein KJ; Latt M; Chalkley D; Muscatello D, 2015, 'Age before acuity: The drivers of demand for emergency department services in the Greater Sydney Area', Emergency Medicine Journal, vol. 32, pp. 708 - 711, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/emermed-2014-204174

Liljeqvist HTG; Muscatello D; Sara G; Dinh M; Lawrence GL, 2014, 'Accuracy of automatic syndromic classification of coded emergency department diagnoses in identifying mental health-related presentations for public health surveillance', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, vol. 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-14-84

Muscatello DJ; Amin J; MacIntyre CR; Newall AT; Rawlinson WD; Sintchenko V; Gilmour R; Thackway S, 2014, 'Inaccurate ascertainment of morbidity and mortality due to influenza in administrative databases: A population-based record linkage study', PLoS ONE, vol. 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0098446


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