Select Publications
Journal articles
2024, 'Cohort trends in intrinsic capacity in England and China', Nature Aging, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43587-024-00741-w
,2024, 'Social Environment, Lifestyle, and Genetic Predisposition With Dementia Risk: A Long-Term Longitudinal Study Among Older Adults', Journals of Gerontology - Series A Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences, 79, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/gerona/glae128
,2023, 'Association between multimorbidity and informal long-term care use in China: a nationwide cohort study', BMC Geriatrics, 23, pp. 700, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12877-023-04371-6
,2023, 'Delay the Pension Age or Adjust the Pension Benefit? Implications for Labor Supply and Individual Welfare in China', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 212, pp. 1192 - 1215, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2023.06.025
,2023, 'Life-course inequalities in intrinsic capacity and healthy ageing, China', Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 101, pp. 307 - 316C, http://dx.doi.org/10.2471/BLT.22.288888
,2023, 'Quantifying the financial impact of overuse in primary care in China: A standardised patient study', Social Science and Medicine, 320, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2023.115670
,2023, 'The impact of expected pensions on consumption: Evidence from China', Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 22, pp. 69 - 87, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S147474722100041X
,2022, 'Disease burden of ageing, sex and regional disparities and health resources allocation: a longitudinal analysis of 31 provinces in Mainland China', BMJ Open, 12, pp. e064641, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2022-064641
,2022, 'Multistate health transition modeling using neural networks', Journal of Risk and Insurance, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jori.12364
,2022, 'Life Satisfaction of Middle-Aged and Older Chinese: The Role of Health and Health Insurance', Social Indicators Research, 160, pp. 601 - 624, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11205-020-02390-z
,2022, 'Intrinsic Capacity: Validation of a New WHO Concept for Healthy Aging in a Longitudinal Chinese Study', Journals of Gerontology - Series A Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences, 77, pp. 94 - 100, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/gerona/glab226
,2021, 'Willingness to take financial risks and insurance holdings: A European survey', Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 95, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.socec.2021.101781
,2021, 'Subnational mortality modelling: A bayesian hierarchical model with common factors', Risks, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks9110203
,2021, 'Why is inequality higher among the old? Evidence from China', China Economic Review, 66, pp. 1 - 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2021.101592
,2021, 'Healthy life expectancy in China: Modelling and implications for public and private insurance', Annals of Actuarial Science, 15, pp. 40 - 56, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1748499520000135
,2020, 'Is there a demand for reverse mortgages in China? Evidence from two online surveys', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 169, pp. 19 - 37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2019.10.023
,2019, 'Modelling multi-state health transitions in China: a generalised linear model with time trends', Annals of Actuarial Science, 13, pp. 145 - 165, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1748499518000167
,2018, 'House Price Models for Banking and Insurance Applications: The Impact of Property Characteristics', Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, 12, pp. 20170003, http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/apjri-2017-0003
,2018, 'House Price Models for Banking and Insurance Applications: The Impact of Property Characteristics', Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, 12, pp. 26 - 26
,2017, 'King William's Tontine: Why the Retirement Annuity of the Future Should Resemble its Past', JOURNAL OF PENSION ECONOMICS & FINANCE, 16, pp. 267 - 269, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1474747217000075
,2017, 'Longevity Risk Management and Shareholder Value for a Life Annuity Business', ASTIN Bulletin - The Journal of the International Actuarial Association, 47, pp. 43 - 77, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/asb.2016.32
,2016, 'Portfolio Choice in Retirement - What is the Optimal Home Equity Release Product?', Journal of Risk and Insurance, 83, pp. 421 - 446, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jori.12068
,2015, 'Reverse mortgage pricing and risk analysis allowing for idiosyncratic house price risk and longevity risk', Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 63, pp. 76 - 90, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.03.026
,2015, 'King William's Tontine', , http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781139879316
,2015, 'Risk Analysis for Reverse Mortgages with Different Payout Designs', Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, 9, pp. 77 - 105, http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/apjri-2014-0012
,2014, 'Developing Equity Release Markets: Risk Analysis for Reverse Mortgages and Home Reversions', North American Actuarial Journal, 18, pp. 217 - 241, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2014.882252
,2014, 'Pricing and solvency of value-maximizing life annuity providers', ASTIN Bulletin, 44, pp. 39 - 61, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/asb.2013.25
,2013, 'Individual post-retirement longevity risk management under systematic mortality risk', Insurance Mathematics and Economics, 52, pp. 87 - 97, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.11.002
,2013, 'Longevity risk, subjective survival expectations, and individual saving behavior', Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 86, pp. 200 - 220, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2012.11.012
,2013, 'Postcode-Level House Price Models for Banking and Insurance Applications', Economic Record, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1475-4932.12045
,2012, 'Who Responds to Tax Reforms? Evidence from the Life Insurance Market', Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 37, pp. 5 - 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/gpp.2011.31
,2011, 'Explaining Mortality Dynamics: The Role of Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Cause of Death Trends', North American Actuarial Journal, 15, pp. 290 - 314, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2011.10597622
,2011, 'Stochastic Mortality, Macroeconomic Risks and Life Insurer Solvency', Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 36, pp. 458 - 475, http://www.palgrave-journals.com/gpp/journal/v36/n3/full/gpp201114a.html
,2010, 'Factors Driving Aggregate Mortality Rates in Postwar Germany', Zeitschrift für die gesamte Versicherungswissenschaft, 99, pp. 211 - 229, http://www.springerlink.com/content/3470xx23387708mu/
,Reports
2020, CEPAR submission to the DFAT consultation on new international development policy, ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), http://dx.doi.org/10.26190/unsworks/27565, https://www.cepar.edu.au/publications/reports-government-submissions/cepar-submission-dfat-consultation-new-international-development-policy
,2019, Constructing occupation-specific life tables for China, Society of Actuaries, https://www.soa.org/resources/research-reports/2019/occupation-specific-life-tables-china/
,Working Papers
2023, Aggregate social factors, genetic predispositions, and lifestyle with risk of dementia: A long-term cohort study, http://dx.doi.org
,2021, Delay the Pension Age or Adjust the Pension Benefit? Implications for Labor Supply and Individual Welfare in China, 28897, http://dx.doi.org10.3386/w28897, https://www.nber.org/papers/w28897
,2021, Willingness to take financial risks and insurance holdings: A European survey, No. 2021/04, http://dx.doi.org, https://www.cepar.edu.au/publications/working-papers/willingness-take-financial-risks-and-insurance-holdings-european-survey
,2020, Multi-State Health Transition Modeling Using Neural Networks, Wiley, No. 2020/25, http://dx.doi.org10.1111/jori.12364, https://www.cepar.edu.au/publications/working-papers/multi-state-health-transition-modeling-using-neural-networks
,2020, Subnational old-age mortality modeling: Accounting for underreporting in a Bayesian framework, 2020/23, http://dx.doi.org10.26190/unsworks/27736, https://www.cepar.edu.au/publications/working-papers/subnational-old-age-mortality-modeling-accounting-underreporting-bayesian-framework
,2020, The impact of expected pensions on consumption: Evidence from China, ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), No. 2020/03, http://dx.doi.org, https://cepar.edu.au/publications/working-papers/impact-expected-pensions-consumption-evidence-china
,2020, Healthy Life Expectancy in China: Modeling and Implications for Public and Private Insurance, SSRN, http://dx.doi.org10.2139/ssrn.3550682, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3550682
,2019, Bayesian hierarchical multi-population mortality modelling for China's provinces, 2019/17, http://dx.doi.org10.26190/unsworks/27500, https://www.cepar.edu.au/publications/working-papers/bayesian-hierarchical-multi-population-mortality-modelling-chinas-provinces
,2019, Life Satisfaction of Older Chinese: The Role of Health and Health Insurance, Elsevier BV, 2019/16, http://dx.doi.org10.2139/ssrn.3476458, https://www.cepar.edu.au/publications/working-papers/life-satisfaction-older-chinese-role-health-and-health-insurance
,2019, Why is inequality higher among the old? Evidence from China, Elsevier, 2019/10, http://dx.doi.org10.1016/j.chieco.2021.101592, https://www.cepar.edu.au/publications/working-papers/why-inequality-higher-among-old-evidence-china
,2018, Is There a Demand for Reverse Mortgages in China? Evidence from Two Online Surveys, Elsevier, 2018/22, http://dx.doi.org10.1016/j.jebo.2019.10.023, https://www.cepar.edu.au/publications/working-papers
,2017, Estimating Healthy Life Expectancy: A Province-by-Province Study for China, 2017/14, http://dx.doi.org10.26190/unsworks/26327, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3027825
,2017, Modeling Multi-State Health Transitions in China: A Generalized Linear Model with Time Trends, http://dx.doi.org, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2971798
,2014, The Impact of Family Structure on Risk Attitudes and Financial Decisions during the Financial Crisis, http://dx.doi.org
,