Select Publications
Books
2016, Stochastic loss reserving using Generalized Linear Models, Casualty Actuarial Society, Arlington, Virginia, http://www.casact.org/pubs/monographs/papers/03-Taylor.pdf
,2000, Loss Reserving: an Actuarial Perspective, Kluwer Academic Publishers , (ed.)
,1986, Claims reserving in non-life insurance, North Holland , (ed.), Elsevier Science Ltd
,Book Chapters
2016, 'GLMs as predictive claim models', in Frees EW; Meyers G; Derrig RA (ed.), Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, pp. 60 - 99
,2014, 'Claims Triangle/Loss Reserves', in Frees EW; Derrig RA; Meyers G (ed.), Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, pp. 449 - 480, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139342674.018
,1979, 'Rating a motor insurance portfolio by statistical techniques', in McNeil D (ed.), Interactive statistics, North Holland
,1975, 'Credibility for time-heterogeneous loss ratios', in Kahn PM (ed.), Credibility - Theory and Applications, pp. 363 - 389
,1975, 'Credibility under conditions of imperfect persistency', in Kahn PM (ed.), Credibility - Theory and Applications, pp. 391 - 400
,1975, 'In search of a general parameter-free credibility formula', in Kahn PM (ed.), Credibility - Theory and Applications, pp. 401 - 408
,Journal articles
2024, 'On the impact of outliers in loss reserving', European Actuarial Journal, 14, pp. 257 - 296, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13385-023-00356-2
,2024, 'Detection and treatment of outliers for multivariate robust loss reserving', Annals of Actuarial Science, 18, pp. 102 - 125, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1748499523000155
,2024, 'In practice and in principle: ‘Free market’ discourses and container port reform in Australia', Competition and Change, 28, pp. 67 - 92, http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/10245294231181967
,2023, 'Auto-balanced common shock claim models', Annals of Actuarial Science, 17, pp. 580 - 605, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1748499523000064
,2023, 'Model Error (or Ambiguity) and Its Estimation, with Particular Application to Loss Reserving', Risks, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks11110185
,2023, 'SPLICE: A synthetic paid loss and incurred cost experience simulator', Annals of Actuarial Science, 17, pp. 7 - 35, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1748499522000057
,2022, 'Stochastic loss reserving with mixture density neural networks', Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 105, pp. 144 - 174, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2022.03.010
,2021, 'A special Tweedie sub-family with application to loss reserving prediction error', Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 101, pp. 262 - 288, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.08.002
,2021, 'On the modelling of multivariate counts with Cox processes and dependent shot noise intensities', Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 99, pp. 9 - 24, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.01.002
,2021, 'Modelling and understanding count processes through a Markov-modulated non-homogeneous Poisson process framework', European Journal of Operational Research, 290, pp. 177 - 195, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.07.022
,2021, 'On unbalanced data and common shock models in stochastic loss reserving', Annals of Actuarial Science, 15, pp. 173 - 203, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1748499520000196
,2021, 'SynthETIC: An individual insurance claim simulator with feature control', Insurance Mathematics and Economics, 100, pp. 296 - 308, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.06.004
,2020, 'Risks special issue on “granular models and machine learning models”', Risks, 8, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks8010001
,2020, 'A multivariate evolutionary generalised linear model framework with adaptive estimation for claims reserving', Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 93, pp. 50 - 71, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.04.007
,2019, 'Loss reserving models: Granular and machine learning forms', Risks, 7, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks7030082
,2019, 'A Cape Cod model for the exponential dispersion family', Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 85, pp. 126 - 137, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2018.11.008
,2018, 'Observations on industry practice in the construction of large correlation structures for risk and capital margins', European Actuarial Journal, 8, pp. 517 - 543, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13385-018-0173-7
,2018, 'Common shock models for claim arrays', ASTIN Bulletin, 48, pp. 1109 - 1136, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/asb.2018.18
,2016, 'Existence and uniqueness of chain ladder solutions', ASTIN Bulletin, 47, pp. 1 - 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/asb.2016.23
,2016, 'Correlations between insurance lines of business: An illusion or a real phenomenon? Some methodological considerations', ASTIN Bulletin, 46, pp. 225 - 263, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/asb.2015.31
,2016, 'Comment on the paper “The impact of covariates on a bonus–malus system: an application of Taylor’s model” by Lemaire, Park & Wang', European Actuarial Journal, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13385-016-0126-y
,2016, 'Stochastic Loss Reserving with Dependence: A Flexible Multivariate Tweedie Approach', Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 71, pp. 63 - 78, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.08.006
,2014, 'Bayesian chain ladder models', ASTIN Bulletin, 45, pp. 75 - 99, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/asb.2014.25
,2011, 'A statistical basis for claims experience monitoring', North American Actuarial Journal, 15, pp. 535 - 552
,2011, 'Chain-Ladder Correlations', Variance: advancing the science of risk, 5, pp. 115 - 123
,2011, 'Maximum likelihood and estimation efficiency of the chain ladder', ASTIN Bulletin, 41, pp. 131 - 155, http://dx.doi.org/10.2143/AST.41.1.2084389
,2009, 'Adaptive Reserving Using Bayesian Revision for the Exponential Dispersion Family', Variance, 3, pp. 105 - 130
,2009, 'The Chain Ladder and Tweedie Distributed Claims Data', Variance, 3, pp. 96 - 104
,2008, 'Second-order Bayesian revision of a generalized linear model', Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, pp. 202 - 242, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03461230701287517
,2008, 'A Simple Model of Insurance Market Dynamics', North American Actuarial Journal, 12, pp. 242 - 262
,2008, 'Credibility, Hypothesis Testing and Regression Software', ASTIN Bulletin, 37, pp. 517 - 535
,2008, 'Individual Claim Loss Reserving Conditioned by Case Estimates', Annals of Actuarial Science, 3, pp. 215 - 256, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1748499500000518
,2007, 'A Synchronous Bootstrap to Account for Dependencies Between Lines of Business in the Estimation of Loss Reserve Prediction Error', North American Actuarial Journal, 11, pp. 70 - 88, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2007.10597467
,2007, 'Modeling Mortgage Insurance as a Multistate Process', Variance, 1, pp. 81 - 102
,2006, 'APRA general insurance risk margins', Australian Actuarial Journal, 12, pp. 367 - 397
,2004, 'Risk and Discounted Loss Reserves', North American Actuarial Journal, 8, pp. 37 - 44, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2004.10596127
,2003, 'Chain Ladder Bias', ASTIN Bulletin, 33, pp. 313 - 330
,2002, 'Guest Editorial', British Actuarial Journal, 8, pp. 835 - 841, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1357321700003949
,2002, 'Stochastic control of funding systems', Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 30, pp. 323 - 350, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0167-6687(02)00107-5
,2001, 'Geographic Premium Rating by Whittaker-Spatial Smoothing', ASTIN Bulletin, 31, pp. 147 - 160, http://dx.doi.org/10.2143/AST.31.1.999
,1999, 'Sub-direct sums and positivity classes of matrices.', Mathematical Reviews, http://www.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=1670523
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