Select Publications
Journal articles
1974, 'Hardy's formula via King's formula', Actuarial Research Clearing House
,1974, 'Symmetry between components of an analysis of surplus', Transactions of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia and New Zealand
,1973, 'Optimising the term of an investigation into decremental rates', Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, 99, pp. 69 - 83
,1972, 'Comments on Aitken's theorem for polynomial interpolation', Bulletin of the institute of Actuaries of Australia and New Zealand, pp. 161 - 166
,1972, 'On calculation of the moments of the value of a life assurance liability', Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, 98, pp. 157 - 164, http://www.jstor.org/stable/41140242
,1971, 'Moments in markovian systems with lumped states', Journal of Applied Probability, 8, pp. 599 - 605, http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3212182
,1971, 'Sickness: a stochastic process', Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, 97, pp. 69 - 83, http://www.jstor.org/stable/41140172
,1969, 'Accuracy of the census formula', Bulletin of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia and New Zealand, pp. 233 - 238
,Conference Papers
2018, 'How to proxy the unmodellable: Analysing granular insurance claims in the presence of unobservable or complex drivers', Sydney, Australia, presented at Australian Actuaries Institute General Insurance Seminar 2018, Sydney, Australia, 12 November 2018 - 13 November 2018, http://dx.doi.org/10.26190/unsworks/26969
,2016, 'On the Impact, Detection and Treatment of Outliers in Robust Loss Reserving', in Proceedings of the Actuaries Institute 2016 General Insurance Seminar, 13-15 November 2016 (Melbourne, Australia), Melbourne, presented at General Insurance Seminar, Melbourne, 13 November 2016 - 15 November 2016, http://dx.doi.org/10.26190/unsworks/26149
,2004, 'Loss reserving with GLMs: a case study', pp. 327 - 392, presented at Casualty Actuarial Society 2004 Discussion Paper Program, -
,1999, 'Hierarchical credibility and industry risk relativities', presented at Institute of Actuaries of Australia General Insurance Seminar 12, - , http://dx.doi.org/10.26190/unsworks/25711
,1995, 'Models of the World for the next 50 years', Newcastle, Australia, presented at 1995 ANZAAS Congress, Newcastle, Australia, -
,1990, 'The rate of return for discounting non-life insurance loss reserves', pp. 295 - 348, presented at 1st International AFIR Colloquium, -
,1989, 'Application of options pricing to general insurance', Cairns, presented at Institute of Actuaries of Australia Biennial Convention, Cairns, -
,1986, 'Regression models in claims analysis I: theory', in Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society, Crystal City, Virginia (US), pp. 354 - 383, presented at Casualty Loss Reserve Seminar of the Casualty Actuarial Society and American Academy of Actuaries, Crystal City, Virginia (US), 29 September 1986 - 30 September 1986
,1980, 'A reduced Reid method of estimation of outstanding claims', Institute of Actuaries of Australia, presented at 2nd General Insurance Seminar, -
,1980, 'No-claim discount systems and their determination', Institute of Actuaries of Australia, Broadbeach, presented at 2nd General Insurance Seminar, Broadbeach, -
,Reports
2005, The analysis and estimation of loss & ALAE variability: a summary report, Casualty Actuarial Society Forum
,1979, Statistical testing of a non-life insurance model, Instituut voor Actuariele Wetenschappen, Katholieke Universiteit te Leuven, Belguim
,Working Papers
2016, Evolutionary Hierarchical Credibility, Cambridge University Press (CUP), http://dx.doi.org10.1017/asb.2017.31
,2016, Comment on the paper “The impact of covariates on a bonus–malus system: an application of Taylor’s model” by Lemaire, Park & Wang, European Actuarial Journal, http://dx.doi.org10.1007/s13385-016-0126-y
,2015, An empirical investigation of the value of finalisation count information to loss reserving, Elsevier, http://dx.doi.org10.2139/ssrn.2613255, http://ssrn.com/abstract=2613255
,2015, Correlations between Insurance Lines of Business: An Illusion or a Real Phenomenon? Some Methodological Considerations, 2015ACTL11, http://dx.doi.org10.2139/ssrn.2597405, http://ssrn.com/abstract=2597405
,2009, A hierarchical Kalman filter, 180, http://dx.doi.org
,1997, Technical aspects of domestic lines pricing, 45, http://dx.doi.org, http://fbe.unimelb.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0009/806904/45.pdf
,1996, Risk, capital and profit in insurance, Parkville, Victoria, 39, http://dx.doi.org
,1981, A comparison of methods of estimation of third party motor outstanding claims, 23, http://dx.doi.org
,Media
2016, Construction of detailed correlation structures across GI business segments, http://dx.doi.org/10.26190/unsworks/26148
,2015, Are correlations real or imagined?, The Institute of Actuaries of Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.26190/unsworks/25689
,Preprints
2021, Stochastic loss reserving with mixture density neural networks, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2108.07924
,2020, Modelling and understanding count processes through a Markov-modulated non-homogeneous Poisson process framework, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2003.13888
,A Multivariate Evolutionary Generalised Linear Model Framework with Adaptive Estimation for Claims Reserving, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3413016
,A Multivariate Micro-Level Insurance Counts Model With a Cox Process Approach, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3354434
,Common Shock Models for Claim Arrays, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2881058
,Inference of Counts Using Markov-Modulated Non-Homogeneous Poisson Processes, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3354342
,On Unbalanced Data and Common Shock Models in Stochastic Loss Reserving, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3303255
,Stochastic Loss Reserving with Dependence: A Flexible Multivariate Tweedie Approach, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2753540
,Other
2014, Research into claim dependencies: an industry and academic collaboration, Actuaries Institute, http://www.actuaries.digital/2014/08/15/research-into-claim-dependencies-an-industry-and-academic-collaboration/
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