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Select Publications

Journal articles

Stammer D; van de Wal RSW; Nicholls RJ; Church JA; Le Cozannet G; Lowe JA; Horton BP; White K; Behar D; Hinkel J, 2019, 'Framework for High-End Estimates of Sea Level Rise for Stakeholder Applications', Earth's Future, 7, pp. 923 - 938, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001163

Irving DB; Wijffels S; Church JA, 2019, 'Anthropogenic Aerosols, Greenhouse Gases, and the Uptake, Transport, and Storage of Excess Heat in the Climate System', Geophysical Research Letters, 46, pp. 4894 - 4903, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082015

Hinkel J; Church JA; Gregory JM; Lambert E; Le Cozannet G; Lowe J; McInnes KL; Nicholls RJ; van der Pol TD; van de Wal R, 2019, 'Meeting User Needs for Sea Level Rise Information: A Decision Analysis Perspective', Earth's Future, 7, pp. 320 - 337, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001071

Palmer MD; Durack P; Chidichimo MP; Church J; Cravatte SE; Hill KL; Johannessen J; Karstensen J; Lee T; Legler D; Mazloff M; Oka E; Purkey S; Rabe B; Sallée JB; Sloyan BM; Speich S; von Schuckmann K; Willis J; Wijffels SE, 2019, 'Adequacy of the ocean observation system for quantifying regional heat and freshwater storage and change', Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00416

Wu Q; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J, 2019, 'ENSO-Related global ocean heat content variations', Journal of Climate, 32, pp. 45 - 68, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0861.1

Meyssignac B; Boyer T; Zhao Z; Hakuba MZ; Landerer FW; Stammer D; Köhl A; Kato S; L'Ecuyer T; Ablain M; Abraham JP; Blazquez A; Cazenave A; Church JA; Cowley R; Cheng L; Domingues C; Giglio D; Gouretski V; Ishii M; Johnson GC; Killick RE; Legler D; Llovel W; Lyman J; Palmer MD; Piotrowicz S; Purkey S; Roemmich D; Roca R; Savita A; Schuckmann KV; Speich S; Stephens G; Wang GG; Wijffels SE; Zilberman N, 2019, 'Measuring global ocean heat content to estimate the earth energy imbalance', Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00432

Cazenave A; Meyssignac B; Ablain M; Balmaseda M; Bamber J; Barletta V; Beckley B; Benveniste J; Berthier E; Blazquez A; Boyer T; Caceres D; Chambers D; Champollion N; Chao B; Chen J; Cheng L; Church JA; Chuter S; Cogley JG; Dangendorf S; Desbruyères D; Döll P; Domingues C; Falk U; Famiglietti J; Fenoglio-Marc L; Forsberg R; Galassi G; Gardner A; Groh A; Hamlington B; Hogg A; Horwath M; Humphrey V; Husson L; Ishii M; Jaeggi A; Jevrejeva S; Johnson G; Kolodziejczyk N; Kusche J; Lambeck K; Landerer F; Leclercq P; Legresy B; Leuliette E; Llovel W; Longuevergne L; Loomis BD; Luthcke SB; Marcos M; Marzeion B; Merchant C; Merrifield M; Milne G; Mitchum G; Mohajerani Y; Monier M; Monselesan D; Nerem S; Palanisamy H; Paul F; Perez B; Piecuch CG; Ponte RM; Purkey SG; Reager JT; Rietbroek R; Rignot E; Riva R; Roemmich DH; Sørensen LS; Sasgen I; Schrama EJO; Seneviratne SI; Shum CK; Spada G; Stammer D; van de Wal R; Velicogna I; Schuckmann KV; Wada Y; Wang Y; Watson C; Wiese D; Wijffels S; Westaway R; Woppelmann G; Wouters B, 2018, 'Global sea-level budget 1993-present', Earth System Science Data, 10, pp. 1551 - 1590, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-1551-2018

Royston S; Watson CS; Legrésy B; King MA; Church JA; Bos MS, 2018, 'Sea-Level Trend Uncertainty With Pacific Climatic Variability and Temporally-Correlated Noise', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123, pp. 1978 - 1993, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013655

Slangen ABA; Meyssignac B; Agosta C; Champollion N; Church JA; Fettweis X; Ligtenberg SRM; Marzeion B; Melet A; Palmer MD; Richter K; Roberts CD; Spada G, 2017, 'Evaluating model simulations of twentieth-century sea level rise. Part I: Global mean sea level change', Journal of Climate, 30, pp. 8539 - 8563, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0110.1

Meyssignac B; Slangen ABA; Melet A; Church JA; Fettweis X; Marzeion B; Agosta C; Ligtenberg SRM; Spada G; Richter K; Palmer MD; Roberts CD; Champollion N, 2017, 'Evaluating model simulations of twentieth-century sea-level rise. Part II: Regional sea-level changes', Journal of Climate, 30, pp. 8565 - 8593, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0112.1

Carson M; Köhl A; Stammer D; Meyssignac B; Church J; Schröter J; Wenzel M; Hamlington B, 2017, 'Regional Sea Level Variability and Trends, 1960–2007: A Comparison of Sea Level Reconstructions and Ocean Syntheses', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 122, pp. 9068 - 9091, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017JC012992

Nerem RS; Cazenave A; Church J, 2017, 'Sea-level rise: No chaos in the satellite-data record', Nature, 549, pp. 334, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/549334d

Zhang X; Church JA; Monselesan D; McInnes KL, 2017, 'Sea level projections for the Australian region in the 21st century', Geophysical Research Letters, 44, pp. 8481 - 8491, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074176

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J; Yu JY, 2017, 'Distinguishing the Quasi-decadal and multidecadal sea level and climate variations in the pacific: Implications for the ENSO-like low-frequency variability', Journal of Climate, 30, pp. 5097 - 5117, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0004.1

Chen X; Zhang X; Church JA; Watson CS; King MA; Monselesan D; Legresy B; Harig C, 2017, 'The increasing rate of global mean sea-level rise during 1993-2014', Nature Climate Change, 7, pp. 492 - 495, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3325

Wu Q; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J, 2017, 'Variability and change of sea level and its components in the Indo-Pacific region during the altimetry era', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 122, pp. 1862 - 1881, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016JC012345

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J, 2016, 'Evaluation of the interdecadal variability of sea surface temperature and sea level in the Pacific in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models', International Journal of Climatology, 36, pp. 3723 - 3740, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4587

Slangen ABA; Church JA; Agosta C; Fettweis X; Marzeion B; Richter K, 2016, 'Anthropogenic forcing dominates global mean sea-level rise since 1970', Nature Climate Change, 6, pp. 701 - 705, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2991

Slangen ABA; Church JA; Agosta C; Fettweis X; Marzeion B; Richter K, 2016, 'Anthropogenic forcing dominates global mean sea-level rise since 1970 (vol 11, pg 1, 2016)', NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 6, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000378608900027&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1

Herraiz-Borreguero L; Church JA; Allison I; Peña-Molino B; Coleman R; Tomczak M; Craven M, 2016, 'Basal melt, seasonal water mass transformation, ocean current variability, and deep convection processes along the Amery Ice Shelf calving front, East Antarctica', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121, pp. 4946 - 4965, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016JC011858

Albert S; Leon JX; Grinham AR; Church JA; Gibbes BR; Woodroffe CD, 2016, 'Interactions between sea-level rise and wave exposure on reef island dynamics in the Solomon Islands', Environmental Research Letters, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054011

Wijffels S; Roemmich D; Monselesan D; Church J; Gilson J, 2016, 'Ocean temperatures chronicle the ongoing warming of Earth', Nature Climate Change, 6, pp. 116 - 118, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2924

Carson M; Köhl A; Stammer D; A. Slangen AB; Katsman CA; W. van de Wal RS; Church J; White N, 2016, 'Coastal sea level changes, observed and projected during the 20th and 21st century', Climatic Change, 134, pp. 269 - 281, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1520-1

Boyer T; Domingues CM; Good SA; Johnson GC; Lyman JM; Ishii M; Gouretski V; Willis JK; Antonov J; Wijffels S; Church JA; Cowley R; Bindoff NL, 2016, 'Sensitivity of global upper-ocean heat content estimates to mapping methods, XBT bias corrections, and baseline climatologies', Journal of Climate, 29, pp. 4817 - 4842, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0801.1

Lago V; Wijffels SE; Durack PJ; Church JA; Bindoff NL; Marsland SJ, 2016, 'Simulating the role of surface forcing on observed multidecadal upper-ocean salinity changes', Journal of Climate, 29, pp. 5575 - 5588, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0519.1

Clark PU; Church JA; Gregory JM; Payne AJ, 2015, 'Recent Progress in Understanding and Projecting Regional and Global Mean Sea Level Change', Current Climate Change Reports, 1, pp. 224 - 246, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40641-015-0024-4

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA; Hu J, 2015, 'Quantifying internally generated and externally forced climate signals at regional scales in CMIP5 models', Geophysical Research Letters, 42, pp. 9394 - 9403, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065508

McIntosh PC; Church JA; Miles ER; Ridgway K; Spillman CM, 2015, 'Seasonal coastal sea level prediction using a dynamical model', Geophysical Research Letters, 42, pp. 6747 - 6753, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065091

Watson CS; White NJ; Church JA; King MA; Burgette RJ; Legresy B, 2015, 'Unabated global mean sea-level rise over the satellite altimeter era', Nature Climate Change, 5, pp. 565 - 568, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2635

Monselesan DP; O'Kane TJ; Risbey JS; Church J, 2015, 'Internal climate memory in observations and models', Geophysical Research Letters, 42, pp. 1232 - 1242, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062765

Roemmich D; Church J; Gilson J; Monselesan D; Sutton P; Wijffels S, 2015, 'Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006', Nature Climate Change, 5, pp. 240 - 245, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2513

McInnes KL; Church J; Monselesan D; Hunter JR; O'Grady JG; Haigh ID; Zhang X, 2015, 'Information for Australian Impact and Adaptation Planning in response to Sea-level Rise', Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 65, pp. 127 - 149, http://dx.doi.org/10.22499/2.6501.009

Slangen ABA; Church JA; Zhang X; Monselesan DP, 2015, 'The sea level response to external forcings in historical simulations of CMIP5 climate models', Journal of Climate, 28, pp. 8521 - 8539, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0376.1

Lyu K; Zhang X; Church JA; Slangen ABA; Hu J, 2014, 'Time of emergence for regional sea-level change', Nature Climate Change, 4, pp. 1006 - 1010, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2397

Miles ER; Spillman CM; Church JA; McIntosh PC, 2014, 'Seasonal prediction of global sea level anomalies using an ocean–atmosphere dynamical model', Climate Dynamics, 43, pp. 2131 - 2145, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-2039-7

Slangen ABA; Church JA; Zhang X; Monselesan D, 2014, 'Detection and attribution of globalmean thermosteric sea level change', Geophysical Research Letters, 41, pp. 5951 - 5959, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061356

Gregory JM; Church JA; Clark PU; Payne AJ; Merrifield MA; Nerem RS; Nunn PD; Pfeffer WT; Stammer D, 2014, 'Comment on "Expert assessment of sea-level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300", by Horton etal. (2014)', Quaternary Science Reviews, 97, pp. 193 - 194, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.05.024

White NJ; Haigh ID; Church JA; Koen T; Watson CS; Pritchard TR; Watson PJ; Burgette RJ; McInnes KL; You ZJ; Zhang X; Tregoning P, 2014, 'Australian sea levels-Trends, regional variability and influencing factors', Earth-Science Reviews, 136, pp. 155 - 174, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2014.05.011

Zhang X; Church JA; Platten SM; Monselesan D, 2014, 'Projection of subtropical gyre circulation and associated sea level changes in the Pacific based on CMIP3 climate models', Climate Dynamics, 43, pp. 131 - 144, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1902-x

Abraham JP; Baringer M; Bindoff NL; Boyer T; Cheng LJ; Church JA; Conroy JL; Domingues CM; Fasullo JT; Gilson J; Goni G; Good SA; Gorman JM; Gouretski V; Ishii M; Johnson GC; Kizu S; Lyman JM; Macdonald AM; Minkowycz WJ; Moffitt SE; Palmer MD; Piola AR; Reseghetti F; Schuckmann K; Trenberth KE; Velicogna I; Willis JK, 2013, 'A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change', Reviews of Geophysics, 51, pp. 450 - 483, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/rog.20022

Church JA; White NJ; Konikow LF; Domingues CM; Graham Cogley J; Rignot E; Gregory JM; Van Den Broeke MR; Monaghan AJ; Velicogna I, 2013, 'Erratum: Revisiting the Earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008 (Geophysical Research Letters (2013) 40 (4066) doi:10.1002/grl.50752)', Geophysical Research Letters, 40, pp. 4066, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50752

Burgette RJ; Watson CS; Church JA; White NJ; Tregoning P; Coleman R, 2013, 'Characterizing and minimizing the effects of noise in tide gauge time series: Relative and geocentric sea level rise around Australia', Geophysical Journal International, 194, pp. 719 - 736, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt131

Gregory JM; White NJ; Church JA; Bierkens MFP; Box JE; Van Den Broeke MR; Cogley JG; Fettweis X; Hanna E; Huybrechts P; Konikow LF; Leclercq PW; Marzeion B; Oerlemans J; Tamisiea ME; Wada Y; Wake LM; Van De Wal RSW, 2013, 'Twentieth-century global-mean sea level rise: Is the whole greater than the sum of the parts?', Journal of Climate, 26, pp. 4476 - 4499, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00319.1

Otto A; Otto FEL; Boucher O; Church J; Hegerl G; Forster PM; Gillett NP; Gregory J; Johnson GC; Knutti R; Lewis N; Lohmann U; Marotzke J; Myhre G; Shindell D; Stevens B; Allen MR, 2013, 'Energy budget constraints on climate response', Nature Geoscience, 6, pp. 415 - 416, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1836

Gregory JM; Bi D; Collier MA; Dix MR; Hirst AC; Hu A; Huber M; Knutti R; Marsland SJ; Meinshausen M; Rashid HA; Rotstayn LD; Schurer A; Church JA, 2013, 'Climate models without preindustrial volcanic forcing underestimate historical ocean thermal expansion', Geophysical Research Letters, 40, pp. 1600 - 1604, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50339

Church JA; Monselesan D; Gregory JM; Marzeion B, 2013, 'Evaluating the ability of process based models to project sea-level change', Environmental Research Letters, 8, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014051

Hunter JR; Church JA; White NJ; Zhang X, 2013, 'Replyto "discussion of 'Towards a global regionally varying allowance for sea-levelrise' by J.R. Hunter, J.A. Church, N.J. White, X. Zhang [Ocean Engineering 71(1)17-27 (10 ctober 2013)]"', Ocean Engineering, 72, pp. 473, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2013.03.013

Church JA; White NJ; Domingues CM; Monselesan DP; Miles ER, 2013, 'Sea-level and ocean heat-content change', , 103, pp. 697 - 725, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-391851-2.00027-1

Church JA; Clark PU; Cazenave A; Gregory JM; Jevrejeva S; Levermann A; Merrifield MA; Milne GA; Nerem RS; Nunn PD; Payne AJ; Pfeffer WT; Stammer D; Unnikrishnan AS, 2013, 'Sea-level rise by 2100', Science, 342, pp. 1445, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.342.6165.1445-a

Hunter JR; Church JA; White NJ; Zhang X, 2013, 'Towards a global regionally varying allowance for sea-level rise', Ocean Engineering, 71, pp. 17 - 27, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2012.12.041


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