Select Publications

Journal articles

Devanand A; Falster GM; Gillett ZE; Hobeichi S; Holgate CM; Jin C; Mu M; Parker T; Rifai SW; Rome KS; Stojanovic M; Vogel E; Abram NJ; Abramowitz G; Coats S; Evans JP; Gallant AJE; Pitman AJ; Power SB; Rauniyar SP; Taschetto AS; Ukkola AM, 2024, 'Australia's Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change', Science advances, 10, pp. eadj3460, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3460

Cranko Page J; Abramowitz G; De Kauwe MG; Pitman AJ, 2024, 'Are Plant Functional Types Fit for Purpose?', Geophysical Research Letters, 51, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104962

Lipson MJ; Grimmond S; Best M; Abramowitz G; Coutts A; Tapper N; Baik JJ; Beyers M; Blunn L; Boussetta S; Bou-Zeid E; De Kauwe MG; de Munck C; Demuzere M; Fatichi S; Fortuniak K; Han BS; Hendry MA; Kikegawa Y; Kondo H; Lee DI; Lee SH; Lemonsu A; Machado T; Manoli G; Martilli A; Masson V; McNorton J; Meili N; Meyer D; Nice KA; Oleson KW; Park SB; Roth M; Schoetter R; Simón-Moral A; Steeneveld GJ; Sun T; Takane Y; Thatcher M; Tsiringakis A; Varentsov M; Wang C; Wang ZH; Pitman AJ, 2024, 'Evaluation of 30 urban land surface models in the Urban-PLUMBER project: Phase 1 results', Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150, pp. 126 - 169, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.4589

Lane TP; King AD; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE; Pitman AJ; Alexander LV; Arblaster JM; Bindoff NL; Bishop CH; Black MT; Bradstock RA; Clarke HG; Gallant AJE; Grose MR; Holbrook NJ; Holland GJ; Hope PK; Karoly DJ; Raupach TH; Ukkola AM, 2023, 'Attribution of extreme events to climate change in the Australian region – A review', Weather and Climate Extremes, 42, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100622

Devanand A; Pitman AJ; Carvajal G; Khan SJ, 2023, 'Can climate knowledge enable Warragamba Dam, Sydney, Australia to be used to manage flood risk?', Environmental Research Letters, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad0afb

Richardson D; Pitman AJ; Ridder NN, 2023, 'Climate influence on compound solar and wind droughts in Australia', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00507-y

Jakob C; Gettelman A; Pitman A, 2023, 'The need to operationalize climate modelling', Nature Climate Change, 13, pp. 1158 - 1160, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01849-4

Nishant N; Hobeichi S; Sherwood S; Abramowitz G; Shao Y; Bishop C; Pitman A, 2023, 'Comparison of a novel machine learning approach with dynamical downscaling for Australian precipitation', Environmental Research Letters, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ace463

Devanand A; Evans JP; Abramowitz G; Hobeichi S; Pitman AJ, 2023, 'What is the probability that a drought will break in Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100598

Denissen JMC; Teuling AJ; Pitman AJ; Koirala S; Migliavacca M; Li W; Reichstein M; Winkler AJ; Zhan C; Orth R, 2023, 'Author Correction: Widespread shift from ecosystem energy to water limitation with climate change (Nature Climate Change, (2022), 12, 7, (677-684), 10.1038/s41558-022-01403-8)', Nature Climate Change, 13, pp. 871, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01729-x

Cranko Page J; De Kauwe MG; Abramowitz G; Pitman AJ, 2023, 'Non-Stationary Lags and Legacies in Ecosystem Flux Response to Antecedent Rainfall', Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 128, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022JG007144

Teckentrup L; De Kauwe MG; Abramowitz G; Pitman AJ; Ukkola AM; Hobeichi S; François B; Smith B, 2023, 'Opening Pandora's box: Reducing global circulation model uncertainty in Australian simulations of the carbon cycle', Earth System Dynamics, 14, pp. 549 - 576, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-549-2023

Hobeichi S; Nishant N; Shao Y; Abramowitz G; Pitman A; Sherwood S; Bishop C; Green S, 2023, 'Using Machine Learning to Cut the Cost of Dynamical Downscaling', Earth's Future, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003291

Pitman AJ; Fiedler T; Ranger N; Jakob C; Ridder N; Perkins-Kirkpatrick S; Wood N; Abramowitz G, 2022, 'Acute climate risks in the financial system: examining the utility of climate model projections', Environmental Research: Climate, 1, pp. 025002 - 025002, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ac856f

Ridder NN; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE, 2022, 'Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00224-4

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Ukkola AM; De Kauwe M; Pitman A; Evans JP; Beck H, 2022, 'Reconciling historical changes in the hydrological cycle over land', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00240-y

Li J; Lau C; Anderson N; Burrows F; Mirdad F; Carlos L; Pitman AJ; Muthiah K; Darley DR; Andresen D; Macdonald P; Marriott D; Dharan NJ, 2022, 'Multispecies Outbreak of Nocardia Infections in Heart Transplant Recipients and Association with Climate Conditions, Australia', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 28, pp. 2155 - 2164, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2811.220262

Mu M; Pitman AJ; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Ge J, 2022, 'How do groundwater dynamics influence heatwaves in southeast Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100479

Sabot MEB; De Kauwe MG; Pitman AJ; Ellsworth DS; Medlyn BE; Caldararu S; Zaehle S; Crous KY; Gimeno TE; Wujeska-Klause A; Mu M; Yang J, 2022, 'Predicting resilience through the lens of competing adjustments to vegetation function', Plant Cell and Environment, 45, pp. 2744 - 2761, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/pce.14376

De Kauwe MG; Sabot MEB; Medlyn BE; Pitman AJ; Meir P; Cernusak LA; Gallagher RV; Ukkola AM; Rifai SW; Choat B, 2022, 'Towards species-level forecasts of drought-induced tree mortality risk', New Phytologist, 235, pp. 94 - 110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nph.18129

Denissen JMC; Teuling AJ; Pitman AJ; Koirala S; Migliavacca M; Li W; Reichstein M; Winkler AJ; Zhan C; Orth R, 2022, 'Widespread shift from ecosystem energy to water limitation with climate change', Nature Climate Change, 12, pp. 677 - 684, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01403-8

Beringer J; Moore CE; Cleverly J; Campbell DI; Cleugh H; De Kauwe MG; Kirschbaum MUF; Griebel A; Grover S; Huete A; Hutley LB; Laubach J; Van Niel T; Arndt SK; Bennett AC; Cernusak LA; Eamus D; Ewenz CM; Goodrich JP; Jiang M; Hinko-Najera N; Isaac P; Hobeichi S; Knauer J; Koerber GR; Liddell M; Ma X; Macfarlane C; McHugh ID; Medlyn BE; Meyer WS; Norton AJ; Owens J; Pitman A; Pendall E; Prober SM; Ray RL; Restrepo-Coupe N; Rifai SW; Rowlings D; Schipper L; Silberstein RP; Teckentrup L; Thompson SE; Ukkola AM; Wall A; Wang YP; Wardlaw TJ; Woodgate W, 2022, 'Bridge to the future: Important lessons from 20 years of ecosystem observations made by the OzFlux network', Global Change Biology, 28, pp. 3489 - 3514, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16141

Kala J; Hirsch AL; Ziehn T; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE; De Kauwe MG; Pitman A, 2022, 'Corrigendum to “Assessing the potential for crop albedo enhancement in reducing heatwave frequency, duration, and intensity under future climate change” [Weather Clim. Extrem. 35 (2022) 100415] (Weather and Climate Extremes (2022) 35, (S2212094722000081), (10.1016/j.wace.2022.100415))', Weather and Climate Extremes, 36, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100428

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Ukkola AM, 2022, 'High impact compound events in Australia', Weather and Climate Extremes, 36, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100457

Page JC; De Kauwe MG; Abramowitz G; Cleverly J; Hinko-Najera N; Hovenden MJ; Liu Y; Pitman AJ; Ogle K, 2022, 'Examining the role of environmental memory in the predictability of carbon and water fluxes across Australian ecosystems', Biogeosciences, 19, pp. 1913 - 1932, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-1913-2022

Sabot MEB; De Kauwe MG; Pitman AJ; Medlyn BE; Ellsworth DS; Martin-StPaul NK; Wu J; Choat B; Limousin JM; Mitchell PJ; Rogers A; Serbin SP, 2022, 'One Stomatal Model to Rule Them All? Toward Improved Representation of Carbon and Water Exchange in Global Models', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002761

Kala J; Hirsch AL; Ziehn T; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE; De Kauwe MG; Pitman A, 2022, 'Assessing the potential for crop albedo enhancement in reducing heatwave frequency, duration, and intensity under future climate change', Weather and Climate Extremes, 35, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100415

Rifai SW; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Cernusak LA; Meir P; Medlyn BE; Pitman AJ, 2022, 'Thirty-eight years of CO2 fertilization has outpaced growing aridity to drive greening of Australian woody ecosystems', Biogeosciences, 19, pp. 491 - 515, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-491-2022

Teckentrup L; De Kauwe MG; Pitman AJ; Goll DS; Haverd V; Jain AK; Joetzjer E; Kato E; Lienert S; Lombardozzi D; McGuire PC; Melton JR; Nabel JEMS; Pongratz J; Sitch S; Walker AP; Zaehle S, 2021, 'Assessing the representation of the Australian carbon cycle in global vegetation models', Biogeosciences, 18, pp. 5639 - 5668, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5639-2021

Mu M; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Guo W; Hobeichi S; Briggs PR, 2021, 'Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts', Earth System Dynamics, 12, pp. 919 - 938, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-919-2021

Ukkola AM; De Kauwe MG; Roderick ML; Burrell A; Lehmann P; Pitman AJ, 2021, 'Annual precipitation explains variability in dryland vegetation greenness globally but not locally', Global Change Biology, 27, pp. 4367 - 4380, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15729

Rifai SW; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Cernusak LA; Meir P; Medlyn BE; Pitman AJ, 2021, 'Thirty-eight years of CO<sub>2</sub> fertilization have outpaced growing aridity to drive greening of Australian woody ecosystems', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-2021-218

Barker A; Pitman A; Evans JP; Spaninks F; Uthayakumaran L, 2021, 'Drivers of future water demand in Sydney, Australia: Examining the contribution from population and climate change', Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12, pp. 1168 - 1183, http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.230

Mu M; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Guo W; Hobeichi S; Briggs PR, 2021, 'Exploring how groundwater buffers the influence of heatwaves on vegetation function during multi-year droughts', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-31

Teckentrup L; De Kauwe MG; J. Pitman A; Smith B, 2021, 'Examining the sensitivity of the terrestrial carbon cycle to the expression of El Niño', Biogeosciences, 18, pp. 2181 - 2203, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-2181-2021

Teckentrup L; De Kauwe MG; Pitman AJ; Goll D; Haverd V; Jain AK; Joetzjer E; Kato E; Lienert S; Lombardozzi D; McGuire PC; Melton JR; Nabel JEMS; Pongratz J; Sitch S; Walker AP; Zaehle S, 2021, 'Assessing the representation of the Australian carbon cycle in global vegetation models', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-2021-66

Fiedler T; Pitman AJ; Mackenzie K; Wood N; Jakob C; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE, 2021, 'Business risk and the emergence of climate analytics', Nature Climate Change, 11, pp. 87 - 94, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00984-6

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Ukkola AM, 2021, 'Do CMIP6 Climate Models Simulate Global or Regional Compound Events Skillfully?', Geophysical Research Letters, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091152

Mu M; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Gimeno TE; Medlyn BE; Or D; Yang J; Ellsworth DS, 2021, 'Evaluating a land surface model at a water-limited site: implications for land surface contributions to droughts and heatwaves', HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 25, pp. 447 - 471, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-447-2021

Abram NJ; Henley BJ; Gupta AS; Lippmann TJR; Clarke H; Dowdy AJ; Sharples JJ; Nolan RH; Zhang T; Wooster MJ; Wurtzel JB; Meissner KJ; Pitman AJ; Ukkola AM; Murphy BP; Tapper NJ; Boer MM, 2021, 'Connections of climate change and variability to large and extreme forest fires in southeast Australia', Communications Earth and Environment, 2, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00065-8

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Westra S; Ukkola A; Hong XD; Bador M; Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Zscheischler J, 2020, 'Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events', Nature Communications, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19639-3

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Westra S; Ukkola A; Do HX; Bador M; Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Zscheischler J, 2020, 'Publisher Correction: Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events (Nature Communications, (2020), 11, 1, (5956), 10.1038/s41467-020-19639-3)', Nature Communications, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20502-8

De Kauwe MG; Medlyn BE; Ukkola AM; Mu M; Sabot MEB; Pitman AJ; Meir P; Cernusak LA; Rifai SW; Choat B; Tissue DT; Blackman CJ; Li X; Roderick M; Briggs PR, 2020, 'Identifying areas at risk of drought-induced tree mortality across South-Eastern Australia', Global Change Biology, 26, pp. 5716 - 5733, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15215

Holgate CM; Van Dijk AIJM; Evans JP; Pitman AJ, 2020, 'Local and Remote Drivers of Southeast Australian Drought', Geophysical Research Letters, 47, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090238

Holgate CM; Evans JP; Dijk IJMV; Pitman J; Virgilio GDI, 2020, 'Australian Precipitation Recycling and Evaporative Source Regions', Journal of Climate, 33, pp. 8721 - 8735, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0926.1

Teckentrup L; De Kauwe MG; Pitman AJ; Smith B, 2020, 'Examining the sensitivity of the terrestrial carbon cycle to the expression of El Niño', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-2020-299

Di Luca A; Pitman AJ; de Elía R, 2020, 'Decomposing Temperature Extremes Errors in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models', Geophysical Research Letters, 47, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088031

Mu M; De Kauwe MG; Ukkola AM; Pitman AJ; Gimeno TE; Medlyn BE; Or D; Yang J; Ellsworth DS, 2020, 'Evaluating a land surface model at a water-limited site: implications for land surface contributions to droughts and heatwaves', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-339

Ukkola AM; De Kauwe MG; Roderick ML; Abramowitz G; Pitman AJ, 2020, 'Robust Future Changes in Meteorological Drought in CMIP6 Projections Despite Uncertainty in Precipitation', Geophysical Research Letters, 47, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087820

Sabot MEB; De Kauwe MG; Pitman AJ; Medlyn BE; Verhoef A; Ukkola AM; Abramowitz G, 2020, 'Plant profit maximization improves predictions of European forest responses to drought', New Phytologist, 226, pp. 1638 - 1655, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nph.16376


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