Select Publications

Book Chapters

Pečerska J; Wood J; Tanaka MM; Stadler T, 2017, 'Mathematical models for the epidemiology and evolution of mycobacterium tuberculosis', in Gagneux S (ed.), Strain Variation in the Mycobacterium tuberculosis Complex: Its Role in Biology, Epidemiology and Control, Springer, pp. 281 - 307, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-64371-7_15

Journal articles

Jayasundara P; Regan DG; Kuchel P; Wood JG, 2026, 'Simulating treatment effects for gonorrhoea using a within-host mathematical model', Infectious Disease Modelling, 11, pp. 840 - 853, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2026.01.002

Paul KK; Torres M; Shih STF; Gray RT; Wood JG; Nazareno AL; Jan S; Newall AT, 2026, 'Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination program for older Australians reduces health inequalities: a distributional cost-effectiveness analysis', Vaccine, 83, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2026.128644

Paul KK; Torres M; Shih STF; Gray RT; Wood JG; Nazareno AL; Jan S; Newall AT, 2026, 'Estimating the cost-effectiveness of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination program for older Australian adults', Vaccine, 82, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2026.128591

Standen C; Tordjmann E; Wood J; Haigh F, 2026, 'Associations between area-level socioeconomic disadvantage and COVID-19 disease consequences in Sydney, Australia: A retrospective cohort analysis', Plos One, 21, pp. e0334206, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0334206

Moss R; Tobin RJ; O'Hara-Wild M; Adekunle AI; Liu D; South T; Morris DJ; Ryan GE; Hao T; Babu A; Senior KL; Wood JG; Golding N; Ross JV; Dawson P; Hyndman RJ; Price DJ; McCaw JM; Shearer FM, 2026, 'Ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 activity to support Australia's pandemic response: 2020-22', Plos Computational Biology, 22, pp. e1014199, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014199

Qian J; Stepien S; Cheng A; Shaw JE; Macartney K; Rowe SL; Thompson K; Dore GJ; Kaldor J; Newall AT; Wood J; Sparke C; O’Donnell B; Lambert SB; Matthews GV; Abbenbroek B; Liu B, 2026, 'New-onset diabetes following SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Omicron era: a matched cohort study', International Journal of Epidemiology, 55, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyag009

Hogan AB; Muscatello DJ; Liu B; Nedjati-Gilani G; Wood JG, 2026, 'Capturing SARS-CoV-2 immune landscapes to inform future strategies for COVID-19 vaccination in a high-income setting: a mathematical modelling study.', BMC Infect Dis, 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-026-13074-3

Eales O; Senior K; Windecker S; Tobin R; Strachan J; Robinson E; Golding N; Wood J; McCaw J; Shearer F, 2026, 'Temporal analysis of respiratory virus epidemics in Victoria over winter 2024', Communicable Diseases Intelligence 2018, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.33321/cdi.2026.50.015

Muscatello DJ; Rose N; Paul KK; Hogan AB; Dyda A; Dinh MM; Kok J; Ware S; Craig AT; Wood JG, 2026, 'An adaptive method of emergency department syndromic surveillance to nowcast the frequency of presentations that will have a severe 28-day outcome following influenza or COVID-19 infection: a retrospective analytical record linkage study', AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwag028

Bicego A; Wood JG; Newall AT; Hogan AB, 2025, 'Effectiveness of maternal vaccines and long-acting monoclonal antibodies against respiratory syncytial virus disease burden in early life: a scoping review of dynamic modelling studies', Vaccine, 68, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.127868

Hao T; Ryan GE; Lydeamore MJ; Cromer D; Wood JG; McVernon J; McCaw JM; Shearer FM; Golding N, 2025, 'Predicting immune protection against outcomes of infectious disease from population-level effectiveness data with application to COVID-19', Vaccine, 55, pp. 126987, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.126987

Nazareno AL; Wood JG; Muscatello DJ; Homaira N; Hogan AB; Newall AT, 2025, 'Estimating the cost-effectiveness of maternal respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination in Australia: A dynamic and economic modelling analysis', Vaccine, 46, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.126651

Nazareno AL; Newall AT; Muscatello DJ; Hogan AB; Wood JG, 2024, 'Modelling the epidemiological impact of maternal respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination in Australia', Vaccine, 42, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.126418

Akerman A; Fichter C; Milogiannakis V; Esneau C; Silva MR; Ison T; Lopez JA; Naing Z; Caguicla J; Amatayakul-Chantler S; Roth N; Manni S; Hauser T; Barnes T; Boss T; Condylios A; Yeang M; Sato K; Bartlett NN; Darley D; Matthews G; Stark DJ; Promsri S; Rawlinson WD; Murrell B; Kelleher AD; Dwyer D; Sintchenko V; Kok J; Ellis S; Marris K; Knight E; Hoad VC; Irving DO; Gosbell I; Brilot F; Wood J; Aggarwal A; Turville SG, 2024, 'Cross-sectional and longitudinal genotype to phenotype surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 variants over the first four years of the COVID-19 pandemic', Ebiomedicine, 110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ebiom.2024.105415

Padeniya TN; Hui BB; Wood JG; Regan DG; Seib KL, 2024, 'Review of mathematical models of Neisseria gonorrhoeae vaccine impact: Implications for vaccine development', Vaccine, 42, pp. S70 - S81, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.03.068

Shearer FM; Edwards L; Kirk M; Eales O; Golding N; Hassall J; Liu B; Lydeamore M; Miller C; Moss R; Price DJ; Ryan GE; Sullivan S; Tobin R; Ward K; Kaldor J; Cheng AC; Wood J; McCaw JM, 2024, 'Opportunities to strengthen respiratory virus surveillance systems in Australia: lessons learned from the COVID-19 response', Communicable Diseases Intelligence 2018, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.33321/cdi.2024.48.47

Shearer FM; McCaw JM; Ryan GE; Hao T; Tierney NJ; Lydeamore MJ; Wu L; Ward K; Ellis S; Wood J; McVernon J; Golding N, 2024, 'Estimating the impact of test–trace–isolate–quarantine systems on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Australia', Epidemics, 47, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100764

Vogt F; Rebuli N; Cretikos M; Liu B; Macartney K; Kaldor J; Wood J, 2024, 'Assessing the effects of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination on the risk of household transmission during delta variant circulation: a population-based data linkage cohort study', Lancet Regional Health Western Pacific, 42, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2023.100930

Wood JG; Heywood AE; Dennington PM; Lloyd AR; Ziegler JB, 2024, 'Trends in intravenous immunoglobulin use in New South Wales, Australia', Internal Medicine Journal, 54, pp. 149 - 156, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/imj.16175

Flanagan KL; Wood JG, 2024, 'Unlocking the value of Shingrix: how vaccination empowers older adults', MICROBIOLOGY AUSTRALIA, 45, pp. 184 - 187, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/MA24051

Tobin RJ; Wood JG; Jayasundara D; Sara G; Walker CR; Martin GE; McCaw JM; Shearer FM; Price DJ, 2023, 'Real-time analysis of hospital length of stay in a mixed SARS-CoV-2 Omicron and Delta epidemic in New South Wales, Australia', BMC Infectious Diseases, 23, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07971-6

Padeniya TN; Hui BB; Wood JG; Seib KL; Regan DG, 2023, 'The potential impact of a vaccine on Neisseria gonorrhoeae prevalence among heterosexuals living in a high prevalence setting', Vaccine, 41, pp. 5553 - 5561, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.07.048

Conway E; Walker CR; Baker C; Lydeamore MJ; Ryan GE; Campbell T; Miller JC; Rebuli N; Yeung M; Kabashima G; Geard N; Wood J; McCaw JM; McVernon J; Golding N; Price DJ; Shearer FM, 2023, 'COVID-19 vaccine coverage targets to inform reopening plans in a low incidence setting', Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences, 290, http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2023.1437

McHugh L; Dyda A; Guglielmino C; Buckley C; Lau CL; Jennison AV; Regan DG; Wood J; Whiley D; Trembizki E, 2023, 'The changing epidemiology of Neisseria gonorrhoeae genogroups and antimicrobial resistance in Queensland, Australia, 2010-15: A case series analysis of unique Neisseria gonorrhoeae isolates', Sexual Health, 20, pp. 296 - 302, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/SH22118

Jayasundara D; Randall D; Sheridan S; Sheppeard V; Liu B; Richmond PC; Blyth CC; Wood JG; Moore HC; McIntyre PB; Gidding HF, 2023, 'Estimating the excess burden of pertussis disease in Australia within the first year of life, that might have been prevented through timely vaccination', International journal of epidemiology, 52, pp. 250 - 259, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyac175

Nazareno AL; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; Wood JG; Moore HC; Newall AT, 2022, 'Modelled estimates of hospitalisations attributable to respiratory syncytial virus and influenza in Australia, 2009–2017', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 16, pp. 1082 - 1090, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.13003

Thompson R; Wood JG; Tempia S; Muscatello DJ, 2022, 'Global variation in early epidemic growth rates and reproduction number of seasonal influenza', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 122, pp. 382 - 388, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2022.06.022

Lin J; Dobbins T; Wood JG; Bernardo C; Stocks NP; Liu B, 2022, 'Impact of a national immunisation program on herpes zoster incidence in Australia', Journal of Infection, 84, pp. 537 - 541, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2022.01.011

Hui BB; Padeniya TN; Rebuli N; Gray RT; Wood JG; Donovan B; Duan Q; Guy R; Hocking JS; Lahra MM; Lewis DA; Whiley DM; Regan DG; Seib KL, 2022, 'A Gonococcal Vaccine Has the Potential to Rapidly Reduce the Incidence of Neisseria gonorrhoeae Infection among Urban Men Who Have Sex with Men', Journal of Infectious Diseases, 225, pp. 983 - 993, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiab581

Lin J; Dobbins T; Wood JG; Hall JJ; Liu B, 2022, 'Impact of a structured older persons health assessment on herpes zoster vaccine uptake in Australian primary care', Preventive Medicine, 155, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2021.106946

Duan Q; Carmody C; Donovan B; Guy RJ; Hui BB; Kaldor JM; Lahra MM; Law MG; Lewis DA; Maley M; McGregor S; McNulty A; Selvey C; Templeton DJ; Whiley DM; Regan DG; Wood JG, 2021, 'Modelling response strategies for controlling gonorrhoea outbreaks in men who have sex with men in Australia', Plos Computational Biology, 17, pp. e1009385, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009385

Jayasundara D; Sheridan S; Randall D; Campbell P; Edmond K; Liu B; McIntyre PB; Gidding HF; Wood JG, 2021, '472Long-term effectiveness of 3-dose primary course and 4-year booster dose of pertussis vaccine in Australia', International Journal of Epidemiology, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab168.321

Jayasundara D; Randall D; Sheridan S; Sheppeard V; Liu B; Richmond P; Blyth C; Wood JG; Moore HC; McIntyre PB; Gidding HF, 2021, '473Preventable pertussis burden in Australia within the first year of life by improving vaccination timeliness', International Journal of Epidemiology, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab168.322

Caldwell JM; de Lara-Tuprio E; Teng TR; Estuar MRJE; Sarmiento RFR; Abayawardana M; Leong RNF; Gray RT; Wood JG; Le LV; McBryde ES; Ragonnet R; Trauer JM, 2021, 'Understanding COVID-19 dynamics and the effects of interventions in the Philippines: A mathematical modelling study', Lancet Regional Health Western Pacific, 14, pp. 100211, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2021.100211

Leong RNF; Wood JG; Liu B; Menzies R; Newall AT, 2021, 'Estimating pertussis incidence in general practice using a large Australian primary care database', Vaccine, 39, pp. 4153 - 4159, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.05.079

Lin J; Dobbins T; Wood JG; Bernardo C; Stocks NP; Liu B, 2021, 'Effectiveness of the live-attenuated herpes zoster vaccine 2 years after its introduction in Australia', Vaccine, 39, pp. 1493 - 1498, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.01.067

Torneri A; Libin P; Tomba GS; Faes C; Wood JG; Hens N, 2021, 'On realized serial and generation intervals given control measures: The COVID-19 pandemic case', Plos Computational Biology, 17, pp. e1008892, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008892

Sparrow E; Wood JG; Chadwick C; Newall AT; Torvaldsen S; Moen A; Torelli G, 2021, 'Global production capacity of seasonal and pandemic influenza vaccines in 2019', Vaccine, 39, pp. 512 - 520, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.12.018

Moss R; Wood J; Brown D; Shearer FM; Black AJ; Glass K; Cheng AC; McCaw JM; McVernon J, 2020, 'Coronavirus disease model to inform transmission reducing measures and health system preparedness, Australia', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 26, pp. 2844 - 2853, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/EID2612.202530

Newall AT; Leong RNF; Nazareno A; Muscatello DJ; Wood JG; Kim WJ, 2020, 'Delay-adjusted age- and sex-specific case fatality rates for COVID-19 in South Korea: Evolution in the estimated risk of mortality throughout the epidemic', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 101, pp. 306 - 311, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.09.1478

Price DJ; Shearer FM; Meehan MT; McBryde E; Moss R; Golding N; Conway EJ; Dawson P; Cromer D; Wood J; Abbott S; McVernon J; McCaw JM, 2020, 'Early analysis of the australian covid-19 epidemic', Elife, 9, pp. 1 - 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/ELIFE.58785

Jayasundara D; Lee E; Octavia S; Lan R; Tanaka MM; Wood JG, 2020, 'Emergence of pertactin-deficient pertussis strains in Australia can be explained by models of vaccine escape', Epidemics, 31, pp. 100388, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2020.100388

Lin J; Wood JG; Bernardo C; Stocks NP; Liu B, 2020, 'Herpes zoster vaccine coverage in Australia before and after introduction of a national vaccination program', Vaccine, 38, pp. 3646 - 3652, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.03.036

Leong RNF; Wood JG; Liu B; McIntyre PB; Newall AT, 2020, 'High healthcare resource utilisation due to pertussis in Australian adults aged 65 years and over', Vaccine, 38, pp. 3553 - 3559, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.03.021

Chan J; Wu Y; Wood J; Muhit M; Mahmood MK; Karim TN; Moushumi F; Jones CA; Snelling T; Khan-Daker G, 2020, 'Burden of congenital rubella syndrome (Crs) in Bangladesh: Systematic review of existing literature and transmission modelling of seroprevalence studies', Infectious Disorders Drug Targets, 20, pp. 284 - 290, http://dx.doi.org/10.2174/1871526518666181004092758

He WQ; Duong MC; Gidding H; MacLachlan J; Wood J; Kaldor JM; Liu B, 2020, 'Trends in chronic hepatitis B prevalence in Australian women by country of birth, 2000 to 2016', Journal of Viral Hepatitis, 27, pp. 74 - 80, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jvh.13202

Newall AT; Wood JG; Chen C; McIntyre P; Beutels P, 2019, 'Reply to letter: Retrospective cost-effectiveness of the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccination program in Australia', Vaccine, 37, pp. 7534, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.09.108

Jayasundara P; Regan DG; Seib KL; Jayasundara D; Wood JG, 2019, 'Modelling the in-host dynamics of Neisseria gonorrhoeae infection', Pathogens and Disease, 77, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/femspd/ftz008

Leong RNF; Wood JG; Turner RM; Newall AT, 2019, 'Estimating seasonal variation in Australian pertussis notifications from 1991 to 2016: Evidence of spring to summer peaks', Epidemiology and Infection, 147, pp. 1 - 8, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268818003680


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