Select Publications
Preprints
, 2026, Time-Varying Multi-Seasonal ARMA Models
, 2026, Analysing symbolic data by pseudo-marginal methods, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2408.04419
, 2026, Calibrated Generalized Bayesian Inference, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2311.15485
, 2025, Time-Varying Multi-Seasonal AR Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2409.18640
, 2025, A correlated pseudo-marginal approach to doubly intractable problems, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2210.02734
, 2025, Hidden Group Time Profiles: Heterogeneous Drawdown Behaviours in Retirement, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2009.01505
, 2025, Global Neural Networks and The Data Scaling Effect in Financial Time Series Forecasting, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2309.02072
, 2025, A Beta Cauchy-Cauchy (BECCA) shrinkage prior for Bayesian variable selection, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2501.07061
, 2023, Deep Learning Enhanced Realized GARCH, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2302.08002
, 2023, Flexible Variational Bayes based on a Copula of a Mixture, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2106.14392
, 2023, Adaptively switching between a particle marginal Metropolis-Hastings and a particle Gibbs kernel in SMC$^2$, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2307.11553
, 2023, Bayesian Inference for Evidence Accumulation Models with Regressors, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2302.10389
, 2023, Particle Mean Field Variational Bayes, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2303.13930
, 2023, The Block-Correlated Pseudo Marginal Sampler for State Space Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2109.14194
, 2023, Reliable Bayesian Inference in Misspecified Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2302.06031
, 2023, Structured variational approximations with skew normal decomposable graphical models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2302.03348
, 2023, The Contextual Lasso: Sparse Linear Models via Deep Neural Networks, https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.00878v4
, 2022, Automatically adapting the number of state particles in SMC$^2$, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2201.11354
, 2022, Dynamic Mixture of Experts Models for Online Prediction, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2109.11449
, 2022, Spectral Subsampling MCMC for Stationary Multivariate Time Series with Applications to Vector ARTFIMA Processes, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2104.02134
, 2022, Robust Particle Density Tempering for State Space Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1805.00649
, 2022, A Statistical Recurrent Stochastic Volatility Model for Stock Markets, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1906.02884
, 2021, Time-evolving psychological processes over repeated decisions, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1906.10838
, 2021, Efficient Selection Between Hierarchical Cognitive Models: Cross-validation With Variational Bayes, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2102.06814
, 2021, Modelling age-related changes in executive functions of soccer players, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2105.01226
, 2021, Variational Approximation of Factor Stochastic Volatility Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2010.06738
, 2021, Bayesian inference using synthetic likelihood: asymptotics and adjustments, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1902.04827
, 2020, The block-Poisson estimator for optimally tuned exact subsampling MCMC, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1603.08232
, 2020, Identifying relationships between cognitive processes across tasks, contexts, and time, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1910.07185
, 2020, Subsampling Sequential Monte Carlo for Static Bayesian Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1805.03317
, 2020, New Estimation Approaches for the Hierarchical Linear Ballistic Accumulator Model, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1806.10089
, 2020, Gaussian variational approximation for high-dimensional state space models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1801.07873
, 2020, Spectral Subsampling MCMC for Stationary Time Series, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1910.13627
, 2019, Robustly estimating the marginal likelihood for cognitive models via importance sampling, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1906.06020
, 2019, A flexible Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo method, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1401.1667
, 2019, Particle Methods for Stochastic Differential Equation Mixed Effects Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1907.11017
, 2019, Multiclass classification of growth curves using random change points and heterogeneous random effects, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1909.07550
, 2019, Efficient data augmentation for multivariate probit models with panel data: An application to general practitioner decision-making about contraceptives, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1806.07274
, 2019, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with Energy Conserving Subsampling, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1708.00955
, 2018, Variance reduction properties of the reparameterization trick, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1809.10330
, 2018, Subsampling MCMC - An introduction for the survey statistician, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1807.08409
, 2018, Bayesian Deep Net GLM and GLMM, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1805.10157
, 2018, Speeding Up MCMC by Efficient Data Subsampling, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1404.4178
, 2017, Mixed Marginal Copula Modeling, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1605.09101
, 2017, Scalable MCMC for Large Data Problems using Data Subsampling and the Difference Estimator, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1507.02971
, 2017, On approximating copulas by finite mixtures, https://arxiv.org/abs/1705.10440v3
, 2017, Fast Inference for Intractable Likelihood Problems using Variational Bayes, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1705.06679
, 2017, Speeding Up MCMC by Delayed Acceptance and Data Subsampling, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1507.06110
, 2016, Computationally Efficient Bayesian Estimation of High Dimensional Copulas with Discrete and Mixed Margins, https://arxiv.org/abs/1608.06174v3
, 2016, Variational Bayes with Intractable Likelihood, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1503.08621