Select Publications
Journal articles
2024, 'Probabilistic analysis of drought impact on wheat yield and climate change implications', Weather and Climate Extremes, 45, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100708
,2024, 'Changes in moisture sources contributed to the onset and development of the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, pp. 100672, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100672
,2024, 'Australian Rainfall Increases During Multi-Year La Niña', Geophysical Research Letters, 51, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106939
,2024, 'Combined Impacts of Southern Annular Mode and Zonal Wave 3 on Antarctic Sea Ice Variability', Journal of Climate, 37, pp. 1759 - 1775, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0516.1
,2024, 'Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3460
,2024, 'Corrigendum to: Evaluation of seasonal teleconnections to remote drivers of Australian rainfall in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models', Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 74, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/es23002_co
,2024, 'Understanding Biases in Indian Ocean Seasonal SST in CMIP6 Models', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020330
,2024, 'Editorial: Pacific multi-decadal variability and Enso impact on South American climate', Frontiers in Earth Science, 12, pp. 1430406, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1430406
,2023, 'Mechanisms of tropical Pacific decadal variability', Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 4, pp. 754 - 769, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43017-023-00486-x
,2023, 'Coupled Feedbacks From the Tropical Pacific to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103250
,2023, 'Evaluation of seasonal teleconnections to remote drivers of Australian rainfall in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models', Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 73, pp. 219 - 261, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/ES23002
,2023, 'Linking ENSO to Synoptic Weather Systems in Eastern Australia', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104814
,2023, 'Global climate teleconnections into and out of the North Atlantic Ocean', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10569
,2023, 'Reduced moisture sources contributed to the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4681
,2023, 'Editorial: Dynamics and impacts of tropical climate variability: Understanding trends and future projections', Frontiers in Climate, 5, pp. 1148145, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1148145
,2022, 'Climate and agricultural risk: Assessing the impacts of major climate drivers on Australian cotton production', European Journal of Agronomy, 140, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2022.126604
,2022, 'Increasing dominance of Indian Ocean variability impacts Australian wheat yields', Nature Food, 3, pp. 862 - 870, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00613-9
,2022, 'Mid-Pliocene El Niño/Southern Oscillation suppressed by Pacific intertropical convergence zone shift', Nature Geoscience, 15, pp. 726 - 734, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00999-y
,2022, 'Reduced ENSO Variability due to a Collapsed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 5307 - 5320, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0293.1
,2022, 'Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent: Mean state, sources, and future changes across models', Frontiers in Climate, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.933091
,2022, 'Interbasin and interhemispheric impacts of a collapsed Atlantic Overturning Circulation', Nature Climate Change, 12, pp. 558 - 565, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01380-y
,2022, 'Phase Coherence Between Surrounding Oceans Enhances Precipitation Shortages in Northeast Brazil', Geophysical Research Letters, 49, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097647
,2022, 'The Impact of Interacting Climate Modes on East Australian Precipitation Moisture Sources', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 3147 - 3159, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0750.1
,2021, 'Future changes to the upper ocean Western Boundary Currents across two generations of climate models', Scientific Reports, 11, pp. 9538, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-88934-w
,2021, 'Changing El Niño–Southern Oscillation in a warming climate', Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 2, pp. 628 - 644, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43017-021-00199-z
,2021, 'Nonlinearity in the Pathway of El Ninõ-Southern Oscillation to the Tropical North Atlantic', Journal of Climate, 34, pp. 7277 - 7296, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0952.1
,2021, 'CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections', Earth's Future, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001873
,2021, 'Land-sea temperature contrasts at the Last Interglacial and their impact on the hydrological cycle', Climate of the Past, 17, pp. 869 - 885, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-869-2021
,2021, 'What Determines the Lagged ENSO Response in the South-West Indian Ocean?', Geophysical Research Letters, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091958
,2021, 'Non-linearity in the pathway of El Niño-Southern Oscillation to the tropical North Atlantic', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-7483
,2021, 'Warming of the Indian Ocean weakens the Atlantic Niño - El Niño Southern Oscillation connection ', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-13911
,2021, 'An Automated Climatology of Cool-Season Cutoff Lows over Southeastern Australia and Relationships with the Remote Climate Drivers', Monthly Weather Review, 149, pp. 4167 - 4181, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0142.1
,2021, 'Northward ITCZ shift drives reduced ENSO activity in the Mid-Pliocene Warm Period', , http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-402220/v1
,2020, 'Drier tropical and subtropical Southern Hemisphere in the mid-Pliocene Warm Period', Scientific Reports, 10, pp. 13458, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-68884-5
,2020, 'Drivers and impacts of the most extreme marine heatwaves events', Scientific Reports, 10, pp. 19359, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-75445-3
,2020, 'Indian Ocean Dipole in CMIP5 and CMIP6: characteristics, biases, and links to ENSO', Scientific Reports, 10, pp. 11500, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-68268-9
,2020, 'Revisiting remote drivers of the 2014 drought in South-Eastern Brazil', Climate Dynamics, 55, pp. 3197 - 3211, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05442-9
,2020, 'Weak Southern Hemispheric monsoons during the Last Interglacial period', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-2020-149
,2020, 'Intermodel CMIP5 relationships in the baseline Southern Ocean climate system and with future projections', , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10504633.1
,2020, 'Temperature and precipitation responses to El Niño-Southern Oscillation in a hierarchy of datasets with different levels of observational constraints', Climate Dynamics, 55, pp. 2351 - 2376, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05389-x
,2020, 'Indian Ocean warming modulates global atmospheric circulation trends', Climate Dynamics, 55, pp. 2053 - 2073, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05369-1
,2020, 'Assessing the role of the ocean–atmosphere coupling frequency in the western Maritime Continent rainfall', Climate Dynamics, 54, pp. 4935 - 4952, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05266-7
,2020, 'Climate impacts of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation on South America', Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 1, pp. 215 - 231, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-0040-3
,2020, 'Revisiting ENSO Atmospheric Teleconnections and Challenges', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-16656
,2020, 'Weather and climate extremes: Current developments', Atmosphere, 11, pp. 24, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ATMOS11010024
,2019, 'Projected slow down of South Indian Ocean circulation', Scientific Reports, 9, pp. 17705, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-54092-3
,2019, 'Uncertainty in near-term global surface warming linked to tropical Pacific climate variability', Nature Communications, 10, pp. 1990, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09761-2
,2019, 'Common cause for severe droughts in South America and marine heatwaves in the South Atlantic', Nature Geoscience, 12, pp. 620 - 626, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0393-8
,2019, 'A Framework to Determine the Limits of Achievable Skill for Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictions', Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, pp. 2882 - 2896, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029541
,2019, 'Dynamics and predictability of El Niño-Southern oscillation: An Australian perspective on progress and challenges', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100, pp. 403 - 420, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0057.1
,