Select Publications

Journal articles

Gebremedhin AT; Hogan AB; Blyth CC; Glass K; Moore HC, 2022, 'Developing a prediction model to estimate the true burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in hospitalised children in Western Australia', Scientific Reports, vol. 12,

Watson OJ; Barnsley G; Toor J; Hogan AB; Winskill P; Ghani AC, 2022, 'Global impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination: a mathematical modelling study', The Lancet Infectious Diseases, vol. 22, pp. 1293 - 1302,

Haw DJ; Forchini G; Doohan P; Christen P; Pianella M; Johnson R; Bajaj S; Hogan AB; Winskill P; Miraldo M; White PJ; Ghani AC; Ferguson NM; Smith PC; Hauck KD, 2022, 'Optimizing social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission using DAEDALUS', Nature Computational Science, vol. 2, pp. 223 - 233,

Olivera Mesa D; Hogan AB; Watson OJ; Charles GD; Hauck K; Ghani AC; Winskill P, 2022, 'Modelling the impact of vaccine hesitancy in prolonging the need for Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions to control the COVID-19 pandemic.', Commun Med (Lond), vol. 2, pp. 14,

Unwin HJT; Mwandigha L; Winskill P; Ghani AC; Hogan AB, 2021, 'Analysis of the potential for a malaria vaccine to reduce gaps in malaria intervention coverage', Malaria Journal, vol. 20,

Winskill P; Hogan AB; Thwing J; Mwandigha L; Walker PGT; Lambert B, 2021, 'Health inequities and clustering of fever, acute respiratory infection, diarrhoea and wasting in children under five in low- and middle-income countries: a Demographic and Health Surveys analysis', BMC Medicine, vol. 19,

Skarp JE; Downey LE; Ohrnberger JWE; Cilloni L; Hogan AB; Sykes AL; Wang SS; Shah HA; Xiao M; Hauck K, 2021, 'A Systematic Review of the Costs Relating to Non-pharmaceutical Interventions Against Infectious Disease Outbreaks', Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, vol. 19, pp. 673 - 697,

Imai N; Hogan AB; Williams L; Cori A; Mangal TD; Winskill P; Whittles LK; Watson OJ; Knock ES; Baguelin M; Perez-Guzman PN; Gaythorpe KAM; Sonabend R; Ghani AC; Ferguson NM, 2021, 'Interpreting estimates of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine efficacy and effectiveness to inform simulation studies of vaccine impact: a systematic review', Wellcome Open Research, vol. 6, pp. 185 - 185,

Prasad N; Read JM; Jewell C; Waite B; Trenholme AA; Huang QS; Grant CC; Newbern EC; Hogan AB, 2021, 'Modelling the impact of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine and immunoprophylaxis strategies in New Zealand', Vaccine, vol. 39, pp. 4383 - 4390,

Hogan AB; Winskill P; Watson OJ; Walker PGT; Whittaker C; Baguelin M; Brazeau NF; Charles GD; Gaythorpe KAM; Hamlet A; Knock E; Laydon DJ; Lees JA; Løchen A; Verity R; Whittles LK; Muhib F; Hauck K; Ferguson NM; Ghani AC, 2021, 'Within-country age-based prioritisation, global allocation, and public health impact of a vaccine against SARS-CoV-2: A mathematical modelling analysis', Vaccine, vol. 39, pp. 2995 - 3006,

Campbell PT; Geard N; Hogan AB, 2020, 'Modelling the household-level impact of a maternal respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine in a high-income setting', BMC Medicine, vol. 18,

Hogan AB; Winskill P; Ghani AC, 2020, 'Estimated impact of RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine allocation strategies in sub-Saharan Africa: A modelling study', PLoS Medicine, vol. 17,

Thompson HA; Hogan AB; Walker PGT; White MT; Cunnington AJ; Ockenhouse CF; Ghani AC, 2020, 'Modelling the roles of antibody titre and avidity in protection from Plasmodium falciparum malaria infection following RTS,S/AS01 vaccination', Vaccine, vol. 38, pp. 7498 - 7507,

Hogan AB; Jewell BL; Sherrard-Smith E; Vesga JF; Watson OJ; Whittaker C; Hamlet A; Smith JA; Winskill P; Verity R; Baguelin M; Lees JA; Whittles LK; Ainslie KEC; Bhatt S; Boonyasiri A; Brazeau NF; Cattarino L; Cooper LV; Coupland H; Cuomo-Dannenburg G; Dighe A; Djaafara BA; Donnelly CA; Eaton JW; van Elsland SL; FitzJohn RG; Fu H; Gaythorpe KAM; Green W; Haw DJ; Hayes S; Hinsley W; Imai N; Laydon DJ; Mangal TD; Mellan TA; Mishra S; Nedjati-Gilani G; Parag KV; Thompson HA; Unwin HJT; Vollmer MAC; Walters CE; Wang H; Wang Y; Xi X; Ferguson NM; Okell LC; Churcher TS; Arinaminpathy N; Ghani AC; Walker PGT; Hallett TB, 2020, 'Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study', The Lancet Global Health, vol. 8, pp. e1132 - e1141,

Sherrard-Smith E; Hogan AB; Hamlet A; Watson OJ; Whittaker C; Winskill P; Ali F; Mohammad AB; Uhomoibhi P; Maikore I; Ogbulafor N; Nikau J; Kont MD; Challenger JD; Verity R; Lambert B; Cairns M; Rao B; Baguelin M; Whittles LK; Lees JA; Bhatia S; Knock ES; Okell L; Slater HC; Ghani AC; Walker PGT; Okoko OO; Churcher TS, 2020, 'The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa', Nature Medicine, vol. 26, pp. 1411 - 1416,

Hogan AB; Winskill P; Verity R; Griffin JT; Ghani AC, 2018, 'Modelling population-level impact to inform target product profiles for childhood malaria vaccines', BMC Medicine, vol. 16,

Hogan AB; Campbell PT; Blyth CC; Lim FJ; Fathima P; Davis S; Moore HC; Glass K, 2017, 'Potential impact of a maternal vaccine for RSV: A mathematical modelling study', Vaccine, vol. 35, pp. 6172 - 6179,

Hogan AB; Glass K; Anderssen RS, 2017, 'Complex demodulation: a novel time series method for analysing seasonal infectious diseases', ANZIAM Journal, vol. 59, pp. 51 - 51,


Hogan AB; Myerscough MR, 2017, 'A Model for the Spread of an Invasive Weed, Tradescantia fluminensis', Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, vol. 79, pp. 1201 - 1217,

Smith RJ; Hogan AB; Mercer GN, 2017, 'Unexpected infection spikes in a model of respiratory syncytial virus vaccination', Vaccines, vol. 5,

Hogan AB; Anderssen RS; Davis S; Moore HC; Lim FJ; Fathima P; Glass K, 2016, 'Time series analysis of RSV and bronchiolitis seasonality in temperate and tropical Western Australia', Epidemics, vol. 16, pp. 49 - 55,

Hogan AB; Glass K; Moore HC; Anderssen RS, 2016, 'Exploring the dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) transmission in children', Theoretical Population Biology, vol. 110, pp. 78 - 85,

Moore HC; Jacoby P; Hogan AB; Blyth CC; Mercer GN, 2014, 'Modelling the seasonal epidemics of respiratory syncytial virus in young children', PLoS ONE, vol. 9,

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