By Professor Raina MacIntyre

Preprints

Khaokaew Y; Kong R; Zufle A; Xue H; Anderson T; MacIntyre CR; Scotch M; Salim FD; Heslop DJ, 2026, An Infectious Disease Spread Simulation Based on Large Language Model Decision Making, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2606.06360

Stone H; MacIntyre CR; Kunasekaran M; Poulos C; Heslop D, 2026, Generating a Contact Matrix for Aged Care Settings in Australia: an agent-based model study, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2512.03866

Du J; Stone H; Yang Y; Desai A; Xue H; Züfle A; MacIntyre CR; Salim FD, 2026, Genomic-Informed Heterogeneous Graph Learning for Spatiotemporal Avian Influenza Outbreak Forecasting, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2505.22692

Stone H; Du J; Yang Y; Desai A; Dawson R; Xue H; Heslop D; Scotch M; Züfle A; MacIntyre CR; Salim F, 2026, From Ecological Connectivity to Outbreak Risk: A Heterogeneous Graph Network for Epidemiological Reasoning under Sparse Spatiotemporal Data, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2601.09738

Dhawan S; Lim PL; Pan-ngum W; MacIntyre CR; Blacksell S, 2026, Determinants of Fatality and Secondary Transmission Following Accidental Laboratory-Associated Pathogen Incidents: A Global Risk Modelling Study (1900–2025), http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6348568

Kolawole O; Quigley A; Chughtai A; Macintyre C, 2025, Early Detection and Surveillance of Infectious Disease Outbreaks in Nigeria: Integrating Nigerian Pidgin English (Npe) Into the Epiwatch® Platform, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5066946/v1

Stone H; Du J; Xue H; Scotch M; Heslop D; Züfle A; MacIntyre CR; Salim F, 2025, A Probabilistic Framework for Imputing Genetic Distances in Spatiotemporal Pathogen Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2506.09076

Khaokaew Y; Salim FD; Züfle A; Xue H; Anderson T; MacIntyre CR; Scotch M; Heslop DJ, 2025, Evaluating the Bias in LLMs for Surveying Opinion and Decision Making in Healthcare, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2504.08260

Hammoud M; Smith AKJ; Sachs O; Bavinton B; Holt M; Giles M; MacGibbon J; Read P; Fairley CK; Jin F; Kelleher A; Delpech V; Keane R; MacIntyre CR; Grulich AE, 2025, Drivers, Barriers, and Implications of Mpox Vaccine Uptake in Australia Among Gay, Bisexual, and Other Men Who Have Sex with Men: Results from a Prospective Observational Mixed-Methods Study (2022-2024), http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5290952

Moa A; Vargas-Zambrano J; Maruszak H; Costantino V; MacIntyre R, 2025, The burden of pertussis disease and vaccination coverage in Australian adults attending primary health care, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2025.08.09.25333139

Body A; Lal L; Srihari S; MacIntyre CR; Buttery J; Ahern ES; Opat S; Leahy M; Hamad N; Milch V; Turville S; Smith C; Lineburg KE; Naing Z; Rawlinson W; Segelov E, 2024, Comprehensive Humoral and Cellular Immune Responses to Covid-19 Vaccination In Adults with Cancer, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4951802

Body A; Lal L; Downie PA; Anazodo A; O' Brien T; Padhye B; Fuentes Bolanos N; Srihari S; Ahern ES; Haber M; Smith C; Lineburg KE; Turville S; Naing Z; Rawlinson W; Buttery J; MacIntyre CR; Milch V; Segelov E, 2024, Humoral and Cellular Immune Responses to BNT162b2 COVID-19 Vaccination in Children with Cancer, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5025909

Akhtar Z; Moa AM; Tan T; Fröbert O; Menzies R; MacIntyre CR, 2024, Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases (CVD) with Standard-Dose Influenza Vaccine in People Aged ≥50 Years in Australia During the 2017 A/H3N2 Epidemic, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4941324

Hong J; Dung D; Hutchinson D; Akhtar Z; Chen R; Dawson R; Joshi A; Lim S; MacIntyre CR; Gurdasani D, 2023, Relation Extraction from News Articles (RENA): A Tool for Epidemic Surveillance, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2311.01472

Body A; Martin C; Busija L; Lal L; Ahern E; MacIntyre R; Segelov E, 2023, SARS-CoV-2 post-vaccine surveillance studies in Australian children and adults with cancer: SerOzNET Statistical Analysis Plan, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2023.02.26.23286261

Li M; Chong KL; Ng CS; Bahl P; de Silva CM; Verzicco R; Doolan C; MacIntyre CR; Lohse D, 2022, Towards realistic simulations of human cough: effect of droplet emission duration and spread angle, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2210.00534

NWACHUKWU C; MacIntyre CR; Stone H, 2021, Epidemiological and phylogenetic analyses of COVID-19 in Africa using open-source sequence data., http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/au.161160186.62286068/v1

Ngonghala CN; Iboi E; Eikenberry S; Scotch M; MacIntyre CR; Bonds MH; Gumel AB, 2020, Mathematical assessment of the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on curtailing the 2019 novel Coronavirus, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2004.07391

Quigley AL; Nguyen PY; Stone H; Heslop DJ; Chughtai AA; MacIntyre CR, 2020, Estimated Mask Use and Temporal Relationship to COVID-19 Epidemiology of Black Lives Matter Protests in 12 Cities, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3712951

Scott N; Saul A; Spelman T; Stoove M; Pedrana A; Saeri A; Grundy E; Smith L; Toole M; MacIntyre R; Crabb B; Hellard ME, 2020, The Introduction of a Mandatory Mask Policy Was Associated with Significantly Reduced COVID-19 Cases in a Major Metropolitan City, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3714648

Joshi A; Karimi S; Sparks R; Paris C; MacIntyre CR, 2019, A Comparison of Word-based and Context-based Representations for Classification Problems in Health Informatics, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1906.05468

Joshi A; Karimi S; Sparks R; Paris C; MacIntyre CR, 2019, Survey of Text-based Epidemic Intelligence: A Computational Linguistic Perspective, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1903.05801

Lim S; Jindal M; Stone H; McIntyre R, A geospatial perspective towards the role of migratory birds and poultry in the spread of Avian Influenza, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4451337/v1

Wang X; Pan Y; Zhang D; Chen L; Jia L; Li X; Yang P; Wang Q; Macintyre CR, Basic epidemiological parameter values from data of real-world in mega-cities: the characteristics of COVID-19 in Beijing, China, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-23937/v2

Wang X; Pan Y; Zhang D; Chen L; Jia L; Li X; Yang P; Wang Q; Macintyre CR, Basic epidemiological parameter values from data of real-world in mega-cities: the characteristics of COVID-19 in Beijing, China, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-23937/v1

Wiblin S; Kunasekaran M; MacIntyre R; Seale H, Behavioural Drivers of COVID-19 Vaccination and Antiviral Uptake in Australia: A Cross-Sectional Analysis Using the COM-B Framework, http://dx.doi.org/10.20944/preprints202604.1674.v1

Najmi A; Safarighouzhdi F; Miller EJ; MacIntyre R; Rashidi TH, Determination of COVID-19 parameters for an agent-based model: Easing or tightening control strategies, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.20.20135186

Aleem MA; Macintyre CR; Rahman B; Rahman MZ; Rahman M; Islam AKMM; Ghosh PK; Akhtar Z; Chowdhury F; Qadri F; Chughtai AA, Exploring the Relationship Between Acute Respiratory Illnesses, blood inflammatory biomarkers, and Acute Cardiac Events through a cross-sectional study, http://dx.doi.org/10.64898/2026.05.15.26353350

Moa A; Muscatello D; Chughtai A; Chen X; MacIntyre CR, Flucast: a real-time tool to predict severity of an influenza season (Preprint), http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/preprints.11780

Zhang P; Lim S; Quigley A; MacIntyre CR, HPAI H5N1 risk in Australia: a model for the prediction of poultry outbreaks, http://dx.doi.org/10.64898/2026.07.27.740638

Akhtar Z; Aleem MA; Ghosh PK; Islam AKMM; Chowdhury F; MacIntyre CR; Fröbert O, In-hospital and 30-day major adverse cardiac events in patients referred for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction in Dhaka, Bangladesh, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-87528/v1

Sitaresmi M; Seale H; Heywood A; Padmawati R; Soenarto Y; MacIntyre R; Atthobari J, Knowledge and Attitudes Towards Rotavirus Diarrhea and the Acceptance of Rotavirus Vaccination Amongst Primary Caregivers in Yogyakarta, Indonesia: A Qualitative Study, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-136712/v1

Karimi S; Joshi A; Sparks R; Paris C; MacIntyre R, Mask Usage Classification of Tweets and its Application to the COVID-19 Pandemic (Preprint), http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/preprints.25758

Ngonghala CN; Iboi E; Eikenberry S; Scotch M; MacIntyre CR; Bonds MH; Gumel AB, Mathematical assessment of the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on curtailing the 2019 novel Coronavirus, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.15.20066480

MacIntyre CR; Costantino V; Trent M, Modelling of COVID-19 vaccination strategies and herd immunity, in scenarios of limited and full vaccine supply in NSW, Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.15.20248278

Hanly M; Churches T; Fitzgerald O; Caterson I; MacIntyre CR; Jorm L, Modelling vaccination capacity at mass vaccination hubs and general practice clinics, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.04.07.21255067

Nair SP; Quigley AL; Moa A; Chughtai AA; Macintyre CR, Monitoring the burden of COVID-19 and impact of hospital transfer policies on Australian aged-care residents in residential aged-care facilities: a retrospective cohort study, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2765885/v1

Dasgupta P; Amin J; Paris C; MacIntyre CR, News Coverage of Face Masks in Australia During the Early COVID-19 Pandemic: Topic Modeling Study (Preprint), http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/preprints.43011

Stone H; Heslop D; Lim S; Sarmiento I; Kunasekaran M; MacIntyre CR, Open-Source Intelligence for Detection of Radiological Events and Syndromes Following the Invasion of Ukraine in 2022: Observational Study (Preprint), http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/preprints.39895

Berry MT; MacIntyre CR; Cromer D; Hacker A; Davenport MP; Khoury DS, Optimal deployment of limited vaccine supplies to combat mpox, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.11.03.24316551

Stone H; Jindal M; Lim S; Dawson R; Quigley A; Scotch M; MacIntyre CR, Potential Pathways of Spread of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A/H5N1 Clade 2.3.4.4b Across Dairy Farms in the United States, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.05.02.24306785

Berry MT; Khan SR; Schlub TE; Notaras A; Kunasekaran M; Grulich AE; MacIntyre CR; Davenport MP; Khoury DS, Predicting vaccine effectiveness in Mpox, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2023.11.23.23298850

Aleem M; Chughtai A; Rahman B; Akhtar Z; Chowdury F; Qadri F; MacIntyre CR, Prevalence of influenza and other acute respiratory illnesses in patients with acute myocardial infarction in Bangladesh: a cross-sectional study, http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/au.168606254.46333247/v1

Wiblin S; Feldman C; MacIntyre CR; Soulsby N; van Buynder P; Waterer G, Risk Groups for Vaccine Preventable Respiratory Infections in Children and Adults: An Overview of the Australian Environment, http://dx.doi.org/10.20944/preprints202511.0783.v1

Costantino V; Heslop D; Macintyre R, The effectiveness of full and partial travel bans against COVID-19 spread in Australia for travellers from China, http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-17714/v1

Costantino V; Heslop DJ; MacIntyre CR, The effectiveness of full and partial travel bans against COVID-19 spread in Australia for travellers from China, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.09.20032045

Adam D; Chen X; Scotch M; MacIntyre CR; Dwyer D; Kok J, The Molecular Epidemiology and Clinical Phylogenetics of Rhinoviruses among Paediatric Cases in Sydney, Australia., http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/au.160614561.14239652/v1

Kpozehouen EB; Chen X; Zhu M; Macintyre CR, Using Open-Source Intelligence to Detect Early Signals of COVID-19 in China: Descriptive Study (Preprint), http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/preprints.18939

Thamtono Y; Moa A; MacIntyre CR, Using Open-source Intelligence to Identify Early Signals of COVID-19 in Indonesia (Preprint), http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/preprints.22085

Trent M; Salmon D; MacIntyre CR, Using the health belief model to identify barriers to seasonal influenza vaccination among Australian adults in 2019, http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/au.160844949.95822289/v1

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