Select Publications

Journal articles

Zhang X; Evans JP; Burrell AL, 2024, 'Less than 4% of dryland areas are projected to desertify despite increased aridity under climate change', Communications Earth and Environment, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01463-y

Taschetto AS; Stojanovic M; Holgate CM; Drumond A; Evans JP; Gimeno L; Nieto R, 2024, 'Changes in moisture sources contributed to the onset and development of the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100672

Ji F; Di Virgilio G; Nishant N; Tam E; Evans JP; Kala J; Andrys J; Thomas C; Riley ML, 2024, 'Evaluation of precipitation extremes in ERA5 reanalysis driven regional climate simulations over the CORDEX-Australasia domain', Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100676

Wasko C; Westra S; Nathan R; Pepler A; Raupach TH; Dowdy A; Johnson F; Ho M; McInnes KL; Jakob D; Evans J; Villarini G; Fowler HJ, 2024, 'A systematic review of climate change science relevant to Australian design flood estimation', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, pp. 1251 - 1285, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1251-2024

Devanand A; Falster GM; Gillett ZE; Hobeichi S; Holgate CM; Jin C; Mu M; Parker T; Rifai SW; Rome KS; Stojanovic M; Vogel E; Abram NJ; Abramowitz G; Coats S; Evans JP; Gallant AJE; Pitman AJ; Power SB; Rauniyar SP; Taschetto AS; Ukkola AM, 2024, 'Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3460

Isphording RN; Alexander LV; Bador M; Green D; Evans JP; Wales S, 2024, 'A Standardized Benchmarking Framework to Assess Downscaled Precipitation Simulations', Journal of Climate, 37, pp. 1089 - 1110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0317.1

Poddar S; Evans J; Prasad A; Kay M; Rougieux F; Bremner S, 2024, 'Accelerated degradation of photovoltaic modules under a future warmer climate', Progress in Photovoltaics: research and applications, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pip.3788

Wamahiu K; Kala J; Evans JP, 2024, 'The influence of bias correction of global climate models prior to dynamical downscaling on projections of changes in climate: a case study over the CORDEX-Australasia domain', Climate Dynamics, 62, pp. 1219 - 1231, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06949-7

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Assessing Australia’s future solar power ramps with climate projections', Scientific Reports, 13, pp. 11503, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38566-z

Poddar S; Kay M; Prasad A; Evans JP; Bremner S, 2023, 'Changes in solar resource intermittency and reliability under Australia's future warmer climate', Solar Energy, 266, pp. 112039, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.112039

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Maximizing photovoltaic potential and minimizing costs in a future warmer climate: The role of atmospheric aerosols and greenhouse gas emissions', Renewable Energy, 219, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2023.119561

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Can Sub-Daily Multivariate Bias Correction of Regional Climate Model Boundary Conditions Improve Simulation of the Diurnal Precipitation Cycle?', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104442

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'A software for correcting systematic biases in RCM input boundary conditions', Environmental Modelling and Software, 168, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105799

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Multivariate bias correction of regional climate model boundary conditions', Climate Dynamics, 61, pp. 3253 - 3269, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06718-6

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Correcting biases in regional climate model boundary variables for improved simulation of high-impact compound events', iScience, 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.107696

Devanand A; Evans JP; Abramowitz G; Hobeichi S; Pitman AJ, 2023, 'What is the probability that a drought will break in Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100598

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A; Ji F, 2023, 'Biases in Estimating Long-Term Recurrence Intervals of Extreme Events Due To Regionalized Sampling', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105286

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Air quality impacts on rooftop photovoltaic energy production during the 2019–2020 Australian bushfires season', Solar Energy, 257, pp. 240 - 248, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.04.014

Taschetto AS; Stojanovic M; Holgate C; Drumond A; Evans J; Gimeno L; Nieto R, 2023, 'Reduced moisture sources contributed to the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4681

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A, 2023, 'Analysis and characterisation of extreme wind gust hazards in New South Wales, Australia', Natural Hazards, 117, pp. 875 - 895, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05887-1

Grose MR; Narsey S; Trancoso R; Mackallah C; Delage F; Dowdy A; Di Virgilio G; Watterson I; Dobrohotoff P; Rashid HA; Rauniyar S; Henley B; Thatcher M; Syktus J; Abramowitz G; Evans JP; Su CH; Takbash A, 2023, 'A CMIP6-based multi-model downscaling ensemble to underpin climate change services in Australia', Climate Services, 30, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100368

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood SC; Soderholm J, 2023, 'An object-based climatology of precipitation systems in Sydney, Australia', Climate Dynamics, 60, pp. 1669 - 1688, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06404-z

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans JP; Ji F, 2023, 'Analysis of extreme wind gusts using a high-resolution Australian Regional Reanalysis', Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, pp. 100537, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100537

Ji F; Nishant N; Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Cheung KKW; Tam E; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2022, 'Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluation and projection of climate extremes for southeast Australia', Weather and Climate Extremes, 38, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100526

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Ukkola AM; De Kauwe M; Pitman A; Evans JP; Beck H, 2022, 'Reconciling historical changes in the hydrological cycle over land', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00240-y

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood SC; Soderholm J, 2022, 'Intensification of subhourly heavy rainfall', Science, 378, pp. 655 - 659, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abn8657

Ji F; Nishant N; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Di Virgilio G; Cheung KKW; Tam E; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2022, 'Rapid Warming in the Australian Alps from Observation and NARCliM Simulations', Atmosphere, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos13101686

Holgate C; Evans JP; Taschetto AS; Gupta AS; Santoso A, 2022, 'The Impact of Interacting Climate Modes on East Australian Precipitation Moisture Sources', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 3147 - 3159, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0750.1

Di Virgilio G; Ji F; Tam E; Nishant N; Evans JP; Thomas C; Riley ML; Beyer K; Grose MR; Narsey S; Delage F, 2022, 'Selecting CMIP6 GCMs for CORDEX Dynamical Downscaling: Model Performance, Independence, and Climate Change Signals', Earth's Future, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002625

Giorgi F; Coppola E; Jacob D; Teichmann C; Omar SA; Ashfaq M; Ban N; Bülow K; Bukovsky M; Buntemeyer L; Cavazos T; Ciarlo J; da Rocha RP; Das S; di Sante F; Evans JP; Gao X; Giuliani G; Glazer RH; Hoffmann P; Im ES; Langendijk G; Lierhammer L; Llopart M; Mueller S; Luna-Nino R; Nogherotto R; Pichelli E; Raffaele F; Reboita M; Rechid D; Remedio A; Remke T; Sawadogo W; Sieck K; Torres-Alavez JA; Weber T, 2022, 'The CORDEX-CORE EXP-I Initiative: Description and Highlight Results from the Initial Analysis', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, pp. E293 - E310, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0119.1

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans JP; Ukkola A, 2022, 'Toward a Robust, Impact-Based, Predictive Drought Metric', Water Resources Research, 58, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021WR031829

Diez-Sierr J; Iturbide M; Gutiérrez JM; Fernández J; Milovac J; Cofiño AS; Cimadevilla E; Nikulin G; Levavasseur G; Kjellström E; Bülow K; Horányi A; Brookshaw A; García-Díe M; Pérez A; Baño-Medin J; Ahrens B; Alias A; Ashfaq M; Bukovsky M; Buonomo E; Caluwaerts S; Chou SC; Christensen OB; Ciarlò JM; Coppola E; Corre L; Demory ME; Djurdjevic V; Evans JP; Fealy R; Feldmann H; Jacob D; Jayanarayanan S; Katzfey J; Keuler K; Kittel C; Kurnaz ML; Laprise R; Lionello P; McGinnis S; Mercogliano P; Nabat P; Önol B; Ozturk T; Panitz HJ; Paquin D; Pieczka I; Raffaele F; Remedio AR; Scinocca J; Sevault F; Somot S; Steger C; Tangang F; Teichmann C; Termonia P; Thatcher M; Torma C; Van Meijgaard E; Robert Vautard ; Kirsten Warrach-Sagi ; Winger K; Zittis G, 2022, 'The Worldwide C3S CORDEX Grand Ensemble A Major Contribution to Assess Regional Climate Change in the IPCC AR6 Atlas', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, pp. E2804 - E2826, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0111.1

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Bremner S; Prasad A, 2021, 'Validation of Australian atmospheric aerosols from reanalysis data and CMIP6 simulations', Atmospheric Research, 264, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105856

Spinoni J; Barbosa P; Bucchignani E; Cassano J; Cavazos T; Cescatti A; Christensen JH; Christensen OB; Coppola E; Evans JP; Forzieri G; Geyer B; Giorgi F; Jacob D; Katzfey J; Koenigk T; Laprise R; Lennard CJ; Kurnaz ML; Li D; Llopart M; McCormick N; Naumann G; Nikulin G; Ozturk T; Panitz HJ; da Rocha RP; Solman SA; Syktus J; Tangang F; Teichmann C; Vautard R; Vogt JV; Winger K; Zittis G; Dosio A, 2021, 'Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and SSPs: A CORDEX-based study', International Journal of Climatology, 41, pp. 6825 - 6853, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7302

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2021, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', Environmental Research Letters, 16, pp. 114034, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a64

Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Hirsch AL; Hoffmann P; Remedio AR; Ji F; Rockel B; Coppola E, 2021, 'The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections', Climate Dynamics, 57, pp. 1385 - 1401, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05459-0

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans JP, 2021, 'Robust historical evapotranspiration trends across climate regimes', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25, pp. 3855 - 3874, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3855-2021

Di Luca A; Argüeso D; Sherwood S; Evans JP, 2021, 'Evaluating Precipitation Errors Using the Environmentally Conditioned Intensity-Frequency Decomposition Method', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002447

Badlan RL; Sharples JJ; Evans JP; McRae RHD, 2021, 'Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part I: Fire size and stability', International Journal of Wildland Fire, 30, pp. 484 - 497, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF20040

Badlan RL; Sharples JJ; Evans JP; McRae RHD, 2021, 'Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part II: Fire geometry and intensity', International Journal of Wildland Fire, 30, pp. 498 - 512, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF20041

Nishant N; Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Downes SM; Ji F; Cheung KKW; Tam E; Miller J; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2021, 'Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluating the Performance of Regional Climate Projections for Southeast Australia for 1950–2100', Earth's Future, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001833

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A; Rocheta E, 2021, 'Spatial, Temporal, and Multivariate Bias in Regional Climate Model Simulations', Geophysical Research Letters, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092058

Ayat H; Evans JP; Behrangi A, 2021, 'How do different sensors impact IMERG precipitation estimates during hurricane days?', Remote Sensing of Environment, 259, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2021.112417

Kulinich M; Fan Y; Penev S; Evans JP; Olson R, 2021, 'A Markov chain method for weighting climate model ensembles', Geoscientific Model Development, 14, pp. 3539 - 3551, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3539-2021

Barker A; Pitman A; Evans JP; Spaninks F; Uthayakumaran L, 2021, 'Drivers of future water demand in Sydney, Australia: Examining the contribution from population and climate change', Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12, pp. 1168 - 1183, http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.230

Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Thomas C; Conroy B; Hart MA; Lipson M; Ertler W, 2021, 'Resolving the influence of local flows on urban heat amplification during heatwaves', Environmental Research Letters, 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac0377

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay MJ; Prasad AA; Bremner S, 2021, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10507147.1

Fowler HJ; Ali H; Allan RP; Ban N; Barbero R; Berg P; Blenkinsop S; Cabi NS; Chan S; Dale M; Dunn RJH; Ekström M; Evans JP; Fosser G; Golding B; Guerreiro SB; Hegerl GC; Kahraman A; Kendon EJ; Lenderink G; Lewis E; Li X; O'Gorman PA; Orr HG; Peat KL; Prein AF; Pritchard D; Schär C; Sharma A; Stott PA; Villalobos-Herrera R; Villarini G; Wasko C; Wehner MF; Westra S; Whitford A, 2021, 'Towards advancing scientific knowledge of climate change impacts on short-duration rainfall extremes', Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 379, http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2019.0542

Di Virgilio G; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Grose MR; Round V; Thatcher M, 2021, 'Realised added value in dynamical downscaling of Australian climate change', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3855

Ayat H; Evans J; Behrangi A, 2021, 'The effect of different contributing sensors in IMERG-Final precipitation estimates', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3575


Back to profile page