By Professor Jason Evans

Journal articles

Ji F; El Rafei M; Virgilio GD; Evans JP; Kala J; White S; Andrys J; Choudhury D; Tam E; Li Y; Goyal R; Vieira Rocha C; Riley ML, 2026, 'Three generations of NARCliM: future projections of mean and extreme climate over the CORDEX Australasia domain', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01280-w

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M, 2026, 'Extreme winds, extreme potential: Preparing Australia's wind energy sector for a changing climate', Environmental Research Communications, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/aea526

Rahmani S; Evans JP; Sharples J, 2026, 'Machine learning-based spatial modelling of lightning occurrence informed by terrain characteristics', Environmental Research Climate, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae81d9

Isaza A; Sherwood SC; Evans JP; El Rafei M; Ji F; Dowdy A, 2026, 'Super-scaling of wind gusts with thermal downdrafts in cloud-resolving simulations', Weather and Climate Extremes, 53, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2026.100936

Fitria R; Lopez-Bravo C; Pitman AJ; Evans JP; Nazarian N, 2026, 'Will urbanization amplify heatwave risk in Indonesia’s new capital city?', Environmental Research Climate, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ae71fe

Lingala J; Kala J; Di Virgilio G; Ji F; Tam E; Andrys J; White S; Rocha CV; Choudhury D; Li Y; Riley ML; Evans JP; Thomas C, 2026, 'Evaluating Tropical Cyclone Representation in ERA5-Driven NARCliM2.0 WRF Simulations Over CORDEX-Australasia Using Multiple Trackers', Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 131, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025JD045466

Kim Y; Evans JP, 2026, 'SDMBCv2 (v1.0): correcting systematic biases in RCM inputs for future projection', Geoscientific Model Development, 19, pp. 7457 - 7477, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-7457-2026

Benedict I; Keune J; Weijenborg C; van der Ent R; Kalverla P; Koren G; Aemisegger F; Cheng TF; Crespo-Otero A; de Vries AJ; Deman VMH; Dey D; Duetsch M; Evans JP; Gimeno L; Haarsma R; Hofsteenge MG; Holgate CM; Insua-Costa D; Kim S; Koppa A; Kunstmann H; Miralles D; Mu Y; Nieto R; Pérez-Alarcón A; Sodemann H; Staal A; Taschetto AS; Theeuwen JJE; Thurnherr I; Wei J; Xu R, 2026, 'Identification of Sources of Precipitation through an International Research Effort (INSPIRE): Three Extreme Precipitation Case Studies', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 107, pp. E1880 - E1908, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0057.1

Zhang X; Evans JP; Fisher AG, 2026, 'Projecting dryland vegetation responses to future climate using vegetation–climate relationships derived from historical periods with and without conservation management', Environmental Research Communications, 8, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ae9a34

Dikshit A; Evans JP, 2026, 'Co-Occurring Flash and Standard Droughts Amplify Global Fire Behavior', Geophysical Research Letters, 53, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2026GL123991

Ji F; El Rafei M; Di Virgilio G; Kala J; Evans JP; Andrys J; Tam E; White S; Choudhury D; Goyal R; Rocha C; Li Y; Riley ML, 2026, 'Three Generations of NARCliM: Evaluation of Precipitation, Temperature and Their Extremes Over the CORDEX Australasia Domain', International Journal of Climatology, 46, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.70353

Sharma S; Evans JP; Pitman A; Behrangi A, 2026, 'Urban rainfall trends in IMERG datasets', Environmental Research Letters, 21, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae7135

Imran HM; Evans JP, 2026, 'Effects of high local sea surface temperature on the extreme rainfall over the eastern coast of Australia in February 2022', Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 157, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-026-06246-3

Khadke L; Evans JP; Kim Y; Virgilio GD; Kala J, 2026, 'Observed and projected increases in short-duration extreme precipitation under climate change over Greater Sydney', Environmental Research Communications, 8, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ae6394

Mu Y; Evans J; Taschetto A; Holgate C, 2026, 'Understanding the Driving Mechanisms of two Extreme Precipitation and Drought Events in Australia from a Moisture Source Perspective', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2011

Zhang X; Evans JP; Fisher AG, 2026, 'Methodological sensitivities when identifying dryland degradation: case studies from two Australian regions', Journal of Arid Environments, 234, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2026.105561

Jones H; Faghihi Y; Parsons D; Evans J; Antur G, 2026, 'Decoding and Encoding Welsh Manuscript Culture: Scribes, Scripts and TEI', Digital Humanities Quarterly, 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.63744/df9p2wshavdb

Mu Y; Evans JP; Taschetto AS; Holgate C, 2026, 'Refining the Lagrangian approach for moisture source identification through sensitivity testing of assumptions using BTrIMS1.1', Geoscientific Model Development, 19, pp. 1367 - 1385, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-1367-2026

Sahu RK; Bangalath HK; Mostamandi S; Evans J; Kucera PA; Beck HE, 2026, 'Evaluation of microphysics and boundary layer schemes for simulating extreme rainfall events over Saudi Arabia using WRF-ARW', Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 26, pp. 21 - 40, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-21-2026

Dikshit A; Evans JP; Goswami P; Cai D; McVicar TR; Huete AR; Pradhan B; Gallant A; Nguyen H; Hoffmann D; Parker TJ, 2026, 'Australian flash drought research: Recent activities and ways forward', Plos Water, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pwat.0000628

El Rafei M; Isaza A; Sherwood SC; Evans J; Brown A; Ji F; Dowdy A, 2025, 'Downdrafts and Convective Gusts in High-Resolution Simulations: An Australian Case Study', Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 130, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025JD044151

Liu YL; Alexander LV; Evans JP, 2025, 'Unravelling the Dominant Influence of ENSO Over IOD on Australian Springtime Climate Variability Using a Pacemaker Modelling Approach', Journal of Climate, 1, pp. 1 - 58, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0142.1

Wilson CS; Sharples JJ; Evans JP, 2025, 'Atmospheric profiles associated with pyrocumulonimbus in southeast Australia', Scientific Reports, 15, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-22530-0

Holgate CM; Falster GM; Gillett ZE; Goswami P; Grant MO; Hobeichi S; Hoffmann D; Jiang X; Jin C; Lu X; Mu M; Page JC; Parker TJ; Vogel E; Abram NJ; Evans JP; Gallant AJE; Henley BJ; Kala J; King AD; Maher N; Nguyen H; Pitman AJ; Power SB; Rauniyar SP; Taschetto AS; Ukkola AM, 2025, 'Physical mechanisms of meteorological drought development, intensification and termination: an Australian review', Communications Earth and Environment, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02179-3

Cheung KKW; Ji F; Evans JP; Nishant N; Herold N; di Virgilio G; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2025, 'Projected Convective Storm Environment in the Australian Region from Two Downscaling Ensemble Systems Under the SRES-A2/RCP8.5 Scenarios', Climate, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/cli13110229

Roggio AM; Koutsopoulos MT; Evans J; Kim S; Noh IH; Luna Reyes LF, 2025, 'Locked Out or Lifted Up? The Dynamics of Regional Development Funding in New York', SUSTAINABILITY, 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su17219507

Devanand A; Evans JP; Pitman AJ; Pal S; Gochis D; Sampson K, 2025, 'The influence of lateral flow on land surface fluxes in southeast Australia varies with model resolution', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29, pp. 4491 - 4513, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4491-2025

Narsey S; Grose M; Delage F; Tolhurst G; Chung C; Takbash A; Boschat G; King M; Pepler A; Thatcher M; Ng B; Truong S; Su CH; Howard E; Stassen C; Black M; Jones D; Matear R; Chapman S; Syktus J; Trancoso R; Di Virgilio G; Goyal R; Kala J; Round V; Evans JP, 2025, 'Disentangling the uncertainties in regional projections for Australia', Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 75, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/ES25015

Morgan-Bulled D; Bullio R; Webb T; Cooper S; Green J; Hopkins M; McInnes K; Holbrook N; Jackson G; Kirono D; Marsland S; Sheppard M; Chung C; Clubb R; Clubb T; Deshong S; Hunter C; Joseph D; Langworthy L; Neal D; Talbot L; Cavanagh-Luskin S; Canadell J; Carlisle M; Catt G; Evans J; Hooper B; Karoly D; Ramsay H; Hill R, 2025, 'Building relationships between First Nations Peoples and Western scientists to increase capacity to understand, respond and adapt to climate change', Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 75, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/ES24048

Surendran G; Sherwood S; Evans J; El Rafei M; Dowdy A; Ji F; Brown A, 2025, 'Distinguishing environmental controls on strong vs. extreme wind gusts', Weather and Climate Extremes, 49, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100788

Sharma S; Evans JP; Pitman A; Nazarian N; Lipson MJ; Lopez-Bravo C, 2025, 'Mapping urban dynamics in Greater Sydney – A scalable multi-decadal local climate zone classification approach', Plos Climate, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000677

Eccles R; Syktus J; Trancoso R; Chapman S; Wasko C; Evans JP; Thatcher M; Di Virgilio G; Stassen C, 2025, 'Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes—insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models', npj Natural Hazards, 2, pp. 60, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s44304-025-00107-1

Jacob PE; Choudhary N; Dikshit A; Evans JP; Pradhan B; Huete AR, 2025, 'Flash drought prediction using deep learning', Environmental Research Letters, 20, pp. 074006, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/addb65

Königseder SK; Barrows TT; Fisher JA; Evans JP; Kim Y; McColl C, 2025, 'Performance of a 179-year high-resolution climate simulation of Southern Alaska', Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 156, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05612-x

Evans JP; Abram NJ, 2025, 'Editorial: Australia's Tinderbox Drought', Weather and Climate Extremes, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100766

Fazeli M; Nazarian N; Evans J; Gabeiras Penas J; Sharma S; Martilli A, 2025, 'Are high-resolution urban datasets necessary for accurate heat exposure modelling in cities?', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-104

Sharma S; Evans J; Pitman A, 2025, 'Understanding Urbanization’s Influence on Rainfall in Sydney Through High-Resolution Modeling and Storm Analysis', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-1115

Wamahiu K; Kala J; Evans J, 2025, 'Assessing the influence of bias correction of boundary conditions, spectral nudging and model parameterisation on model errors and climate change signals for regional climate model simulations', Climate Dynamics, 63, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07634-7

Di Virgilio G; Evans JP; Ji F; Tam E; Kala J; Andrys J; Thomas C; Choudhury D; Rocha C; White S; Li Y; El Rafei M; Goyal R; Riley ML; Lingala J, 2025, 'Design, evaluation, and future projections of the NARCliM2.0 CORDEX-CMIP6 Australasia regional climate ensemble', Geoscientific Model Development, 18, pp. 671 - 702, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-671-2025

Di Virgilio G; Ji F; Tam E; Evans JP; Kala J; Andrys J; Thomas C; Choudhury D; Rocha C; Li Y; Riley ML, 2025, 'Evaluation of CORDEX ERA5-forced NARCliM2.0 regional climate models over Australia using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.1.2', Geoscientific Model Development, 18, pp. 703 - 724, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-703-2025

zhang X; Evans J; Burrell A, 2025, 'Less than 4% of dryland areas will desertify due to climate change.  ', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1464

Liu YL; Alexander L; Evans J; Thatcher M, 2025, 'Variable-resolution global atmospheric models are sensitive to driving SST in ENSO/IOD-Australian rainfall teleconnections', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1547

Dikshit A; Evans JP, 2025, 'Characterization of the Australia’s 2019 megafires: a remote-sensing perspective', International Journal of Remote Sensing, 46, pp. 8152 - 8174, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2025.2564909

Imran HM; Evans JP, 2025, 'Observational uncertainty in the added value of regional climate modelling over Australia', Climate Dynamics, 63, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07562-y

Isaza A; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Brember S, 2024, 'Impacts of 2019–20 Australian bushfires on solar photovoltaic generation using high-resolution simulations', Solar Energy, 284, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2024.113025

Zhang X; Evans JP; Burrell AL, 2024, 'Less than 4% of dryland areas are projected to desertify despite increased aridity under climate change', Communications Earth and Environment, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01463-y

Dikshit A; Evans JP, 2024, 'Quantifying vegetation recovery after fire considering post-fire rainfall', Environmental Research Communications, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad9dbd

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2024, 'Correcting Multivariate Biases in Regional Climate Model Boundaries: How Are Synoptic Systems Impacted Over the Australian Region?', Geophysical Research Letters, 51, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111445

Langendijk GS; Halenka T; Hoffmann P; Adinolfi M; Aldama Campino A; Asselin O; Bastin S; Bechtel B; Belda M; Bushenkova A; Campanale A; Chun KP; Constantinidou K; Coppola E; Demuzere M; Doan QV; Evans J; Feldmann H; Fernandez J; Fita L; Hadjinicolaou P; Hamdi R; Hundhausen M; Grawe D; Johannsen F; Milovac J; Katragkou E; Kerroumi NEI; Kotlarski S; Le Roy B; Lemonsu A; Lennard C; Lipson M; Mandal S; Muñoz Pabón LE; Pavlidis V; Pietikäinen JP; Raffa M; Raluy-López E; Rechid D; Rui I; Schulz JP; Soares PMM; Takane Y; Teichmann C; Thatcher M; Top S; Van Schaeybroeck B; Wang F; Yuan J, 2024, 'Towards better understanding the urban environment and its interactions with regional climate change - The WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study URB-RCC', Urban Climate, 58, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102165

Liu YL; Alexander LV; Evans JP; Thatcher M, 2024, 'Sensitivity of Australian Rainfall to Driving SST Data Sets in a Variable-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model', Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 129, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040954

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