Select Publications

Book Chapters

Mirzabaev A; Wu J; Evans J; García-Oliva F; Hussein IAG; Iqbal MM; Kimutai J; Knowles T; Meza F; Nedjraoui D; Tena F; Türkeş M; Vázquez RJ; Weltz M; Almazroui M; Aloui H; El-Askary H; Awan AR; Bellard C; Burrell A; van der Esch S; Hetem R; Hermans K; Hurlbert M; Krishnaswamy J; Kubik Z; Kust G; Lüdeling E; Meijer J; Mohammed A; Michaelides K; Stringer L; Strohmeier SM; Villamor G; Akhtar-Schuster M; Driouech F; Sankaran M; Ng CC; Paulos HB; Mirzabaev ; Wu J; Evans ; Iqbal MH; Knowles T; Türkeş ; Weltz M, 2022, 'Desertification', in Climate Change and Land: An IPCC Special Report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems, pp. 249 - 343, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/9781009157988.005

Hurlbert M; Krishnaswamy J; Davin E; Johnson FX; Mena CF; Morton J; Myeong S; Viner D; Warner K; Wreford A; Zakieldeen S; Zommers Z; Bailis R; Baptiste B; Bowman K; Byers E; Calvin K; Diaz-Chavez R; Evans J; Fletcher A; Ford J; Grant SP; Mahadevia D; Manialawy Y; McElwee P; Pathak M; Quan J; Rajagopalan B; Renwick A; Rodríguez-Morales JE; Streck C; Thiery W; Warner A; Rodrigues R; Turner BL; Zikhali T; Johnson FX; Mena CF; Morton J; Myeong S; Warner K, 2022, 'Risk management and decision-making in relation to sustainable development', in Climate Change and Land: An IPCC Special Report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems, pp. 673 - 800, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/9781009157988.009

Hoegh-Guldberg O; Jacob D; Taylor M; Bindi M; Brown S; Camilloni I; Diedhiou A; Djalante A; Ebi K; Engelbrecht F; Guiot J; Hijioka Y; Mehrotra S; Payne A; Seneviratne S; Thomas A; Warren R; Zhou G; Halim SA; Achlatis M; Alexander LV; Allen M; Berry P; Boyer C; Byers E; Brilli L; Buckeridge M; Cheung W; Craig M; Ellis N; Evans J; Fischer H; Fraedrich K; Fuss S; Ganase A; Gattuso JP; Greve P; Bolaños TG; Hanasaki N; Hasegawa T; Hayes K; Hirsch A; Jones C; Jung T; Kanninen M; Krinner G; Lawrence D; Lenton T; Ley D; Liverman D; Mahowald N; McInnes K; Meissner K; Millar R; Mintenbeck K; Mitchell D; Mix AC; Notz D; Nurse L; Okem A; Olsson L; Oppenheimer M; Paz S; Petersen J; Petzold J; Preuschmann S; Rahman MF; Rogelj J; Scheuffele H; Schleussner C-F; Scott D; Séférian R; Sillmann J; Singh C; Slade R; Stephenson K; Stephenson T; Sylla MB; Tebboth M; Tschakert P; Vautard R; Wartenburger R; Wehner M; Weyer NM; Whyte F; Yohe G; Zhang X; Zougmoré RB, 2018, 'Impacts of 1.5ºC global warming on natural and human systems', in Masson-Delmotte V; Zhai P; Pörtner HO; Roberts D; Skea J; Shukla PR; Pirani A; Moufouma-Okia W; Péan C; Pidcock R; Connors S; Matthews JBR; Chen Y; Zhou X; Gomis MI; Lonnoy E; Maycock T; Tignor M; Waterfield T (ed.), Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty, IPCC Secretariat, pp. 175 - 311, https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/02/SR15_Chapter3_Low_Res.pdf

Sharples JJ; Simpson CC; Evans JP, 2014, 'Environmental thresholds for dynamic fire propagation', in Advances in forest fire research, Imprensa da Universidade de Coimbra, pp. 158 - 164, http://dx.doi.org/10.14195/978-989-26-0884-6_16

Evans J; McGregor J; McGuffie K, 2012, 'Chapter 9 Future Regional Climates', in The Future of the World's Climate, Elsevier, pp. 223 - 250, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-386917-3.00009-9

Evans J; McGregor J; McGuffie K, 2012, 'Future Regional Climates', in Henderson-Sellers A; McGuffie K (ed.), The Future of the World's Climate, pp. 223 - 250, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-386917-3.00009-9

Journal articles

Isaza A; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Brember S, 2024, 'Impacts of 2019–20 Australian bushfires on solar photovoltaic generation using high-resolution simulations', Solar Energy, 284, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2024.113025

Zhang X; Evans JP; Burrell AL, 2024, 'Less than 4% of dryland areas are projected to desertify despite increased aridity under climate change', Communications Earth and Environment, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01463-y

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2024, 'Correcting Multivariate Biases in Regional Climate Model Boundaries: How Are Synoptic Systems Impacted Over the Australian Region?', Geophysical Research Letters, 51, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111445

Langendijk GS; Halenka T; Hoffmann P; Adinolfi M; Aldama Campino A; Asselin O; Bastin S; Bechtel B; Belda M; Bushenkova A; Campanale A; Chun KP; Constantinidou K; Coppola E; Demuzere M; Doan QV; Evans J; Feldmann H; Fernandez J; Fita L; Hadjinicolaou P; Hamdi R; Hundhausen M; Grawe D; Johannsen F; Milovac J; Katragkou E; Kerroumi NEI; Kotlarski S; Le Roy B; Lemonsu A; Lennard C; Lipson M; Mandal S; Muñoz Pabón LE; Pavlidis V; Pietikäinen JP; Raffa M; Raluy-López E; Rechid D; Rui I; Schulz JP; Soares PMM; Takane Y; Teichmann C; Thatcher M; Top S; Van Schaeybroeck B; Wang F; Yuan J, 2024, 'Towards better understanding the urban environment and its interactions with regional climate change - The WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study URB-RCC', Urban Climate, 58, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102165

Liu YL; Alexander LV; Evans JP; Thatcher M, 2024, 'Sensitivity of Australian Rainfall to Driving SST Data Sets in a Variable-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model', Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040954

Evans JP; Belmadani A; Menkes C; Stephenson T; Thatcher M; Gibson PB; Peltier A, 2024, 'Higher-resolution projections needed for small island climates', Nature Climate Change, 14, pp. 668 - 670, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02028-9

Evans JP; Imran HM, 2024, 'The observation range adjusted method: a novel approach to accounting for observation uncertainty in model evaluation', Environmental Research Communications, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad5ad8

Taschetto AS; Stojanovic M; Holgate CM; Drumond A; Evans JP; Gimeno L; Nieto R, 2024, 'Changes in moisture sources contributed to the onset and development of the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, pp. 100672, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100672

Ji F; Di Virgilio G; Nishant N; Tam E; Evans JP; Kala J; Andrys J; Thomas C; Riley ML, 2024, 'Evaluation of precipitation extremes in ERA5 reanalysis driven regional climate simulations over the CORDEX-Australasia domain', Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100676

Wasko C; Westra S; Nathan R; Pepler A; Raupach TH; Dowdy A; Johnson F; Ho M; McInnes KL; Jakob D; Evans J; Villarini G; Fowler HJ, 2024, 'A systematic review of climate change science relevant to Australian design flood estimation', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, pp. 1251 - 1285, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1251-2024

Devanand A; Falster GM; Gillett ZE; Hobeichi S; Holgate CM; Jin C; Mu M; Parker T; Rifai SW; Rome KS; Stojanovic M; Vogel E; Abram NJ; Abramowitz G; Coats S; Evans JP; Gallant AJE; Pitman AJ; Power SB; Rauniyar SP; Taschetto AS; Ukkola AM, 2024, 'Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3460

Isphording RN; Alexander LV; Bador M; Green D; Evans JP; Wales S, 2024, 'A Standardized Benchmarking Framework to Assess Downscaled Precipitation Simulations', Journal of Climate, 37, pp. 1089 - 1110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0317.1

Poddar S; Evans J; Prasad A; Kay M; Rougieux F; Bremner S, 2024, 'Accelerated degradation of photovoltaic modules under a future warmer climate', Progress in Photovoltaics: research and applications, 32, pp. 456 - 467, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pip.3788

Wamahiu K; Kala J; Evans JP, 2024, 'The influence of bias correction of global climate models prior to dynamical downscaling on projections of changes in climate: a case study over the CORDEX-Australasia domain', Climate Dynamics, 62, pp. 1219 - 1231, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06949-7

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Assessing Australia’s future solar power ramps with climate projections', Scientific Reports, 13, pp. 11503, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38566-z

Poddar S; Kay M; Prasad A; Evans JP; Bremner S, 2023, 'Changes in solar resource intermittency and reliability under Australia's future warmer climate', Solar Energy, 266, pp. 112039, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.112039

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Maximizing photovoltaic potential and minimizing costs in a future warmer climate: The role of atmospheric aerosols and greenhouse gas emissions', Renewable Energy, 219, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2023.119561

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Can Sub-Daily Multivariate Bias Correction of Regional Climate Model Boundary Conditions Improve Simulation of the Diurnal Precipitation Cycle?', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104442

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'A software for correcting systematic biases in RCM input boundary conditions', Environmental Modelling and Software, 168, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105799

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Multivariate bias correction of regional climate model boundary conditions', Climate Dynamics, 61, pp. 3253 - 3269, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06718-6

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Correcting biases in regional climate model boundary variables for improved simulation of high-impact compound events', iScience, 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.107696

Devanand A; Evans JP; Abramowitz G; Hobeichi S; Pitman AJ, 2023, 'What is the probability that a drought will break in Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100598

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A; Ji F, 2023, 'Biases in Estimating Long-Term Recurrence Intervals of Extreme Events Due To Regionalized Sampling', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105286

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Air quality impacts on rooftop photovoltaic energy production during the 2019–2020 Australian bushfires season', Solar Energy, 257, pp. 240 - 248, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.04.014

Taschetto AS; Stojanovic M; Holgate C; Drumond A; Evans J; Gimeno L; Nieto R, 2023, 'Reduced moisture sources contributed to the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4681

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A, 2023, 'Analysis and characterisation of extreme wind gust hazards in New South Wales, Australia', Natural Hazards, 117, pp. 875 - 895, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05887-1

Grose MR; Narsey S; Trancoso R; Mackallah C; Delage F; Dowdy A; Di Virgilio G; Watterson I; Dobrohotoff P; Rashid HA; Rauniyar S; Henley B; Thatcher M; Syktus J; Abramowitz G; Evans JP; Su CH; Takbash A, 2023, 'A CMIP6-based multi-model downscaling ensemble to underpin climate change services in Australia', Climate Services, 30, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100368

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood SC; Soderholm J, 2023, 'An object-based climatology of precipitation systems in Sydney, Australia', Climate Dynamics, 60, pp. 1669 - 1688, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06404-z

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans JP; Ji F, 2023, 'Analysis of extreme wind gusts using a high-resolution Australian Regional Reanalysis', Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, pp. 100537, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100537

Ji F; Nishant N; Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Cheung KKW; Tam E; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2022, 'Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluation and projection of climate extremes for southeast Australia', Weather and Climate Extremes, 38, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100526

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Ukkola AM; De Kauwe M; Pitman A; Evans JP; Beck H, 2022, 'Reconciling historical changes in the hydrological cycle over land', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00240-y

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood SC; Soderholm J, 2022, 'Intensification of subhourly heavy rainfall', Science, 378, pp. 655 - 659, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abn8657

Ji F; Nishant N; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Di Virgilio G; Cheung KKW; Tam E; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2022, 'Rapid Warming in the Australian Alps from Observation and NARCliM Simulations', Atmosphere, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos13101686

Holgate C; Evans JP; Taschetto AS; Gupta AS; Santoso A, 2022, 'The Impact of Interacting Climate Modes on East Australian Precipitation Moisture Sources', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 3147 - 3159, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0750.1

Di Virgilio G; Ji F; Tam E; Nishant N; Evans JP; Thomas C; Riley ML; Beyer K; Grose MR; Narsey S; Delage F, 2022, 'Selecting CMIP6 GCMs for CORDEX Dynamical Downscaling: Model Performance, Independence, and Climate Change Signals', Earth's Future, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002625

Giorgi F; Coppola E; Jacob D; Teichmann C; Omar SA; Ashfaq M; Ban N; Bülow K; Bukovsky M; Buntemeyer L; Cavazos T; Ciarlo J; da Rocha RP; Das S; di Sante F; Evans JP; Gao X; Giuliani G; Glazer RH; Hoffmann P; Im ES; Langendijk G; Lierhammer L; Llopart M; Mueller S; Luna-Nino R; Nogherotto R; Pichelli E; Raffaele F; Reboita M; Rechid D; Remedio A; Remke T; Sawadogo W; Sieck K; Torres-Alavez JA; Weber T, 2022, 'The CORDEX-CORE EXP-I Initiative: Description and Highlight Results from the Initial Analysis', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, pp. E293 - E310, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0119.1

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans JP; Ukkola A, 2022, 'Toward a Robust, Impact-Based, Predictive Drought Metric', Water Resources Research, 58, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021WR031829

Diez-Sierr J; Iturbide M; Gutiérrez JM; Fernández J; Milovac J; Cofiño AS; Cimadevilla E; Nikulin G; Levavasseur G; Kjellström E; Bülow K; Horányi A; Brookshaw A; García-Díe M; Pérez A; Baño-Medin J; Ahrens B; Alias A; Ashfaq M; Bukovsky M; Buonomo E; Caluwaerts S; Chou SC; Christensen OB; Ciarlò JM; Coppola E; Corre L; Demory ME; Djurdjevic V; Evans JP; Fealy R; Feldmann H; Jacob D; Jayanarayanan S; Katzfey J; Keuler K; Kittel C; Kurnaz ML; Laprise R; Lionello P; McGinnis S; Mercogliano P; Nabat P; Önol B; Ozturk T; Panitz HJ; Paquin D; Pieczka I; Raffaele F; Remedio AR; Scinocca J; Sevault F; Somot S; Steger C; Tangang F; Teichmann C; Termonia P; Thatcher M; Torma C; Van Meijgaard E; Robert Vautard ; Kirsten Warrach-Sagi ; Winger K; Zittis G, 2022, 'The Worldwide C3S CORDEX Grand Ensemble A Major Contribution to Assess Regional Climate Change in the IPCC AR6 Atlas', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, pp. E2804 - E2826, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0111.1

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Bremner S; Prasad A, 2021, 'Validation of Australian atmospheric aerosols from reanalysis data and CMIP6 simulations', Atmospheric Research, 264, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105856

Spinoni J; Barbosa P; Bucchignani E; Cassano J; Cavazos T; Cescatti A; Christensen JH; Christensen OB; Coppola E; Evans JP; Forzieri G; Geyer B; Giorgi F; Jacob D; Katzfey J; Koenigk T; Laprise R; Lennard CJ; Kurnaz ML; Li D; Llopart M; McCormick N; Naumann G; Nikulin G; Ozturk T; Panitz HJ; da Rocha RP; Solman SA; Syktus J; Tangang F; Teichmann C; Vautard R; Vogt JV; Winger K; Zittis G; Dosio A, 2021, 'Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and SSPs: A CORDEX-based study', International Journal of Climatology, 41, pp. 6825 - 6853, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7302

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2021, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', Environmental Research Letters, 16, pp. 114034, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a64

Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Hirsch AL; Hoffmann P; Remedio AR; Ji F; Rockel B; Coppola E, 2021, 'The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections', Climate Dynamics, 57, pp. 1385 - 1401, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05459-0

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans JP, 2021, 'Robust historical evapotranspiration trends across climate regimes', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25, pp. 3855 - 3874, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3855-2021

Di Luca A; Argüeso D; Sherwood S; Evans JP, 2021, 'Evaluating Precipitation Errors Using the Environmentally Conditioned Intensity-Frequency Decomposition Method', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002447


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