Select Publications

Book Chapters

Hoegh-Guldberg O; Jacob D; Taylor M; Bindi M; Brown S; Camilloni I; Diedhiou A; Djalante A; Ebi K; Engelbrecht F; Guiot J; Hijioka Y; Mehrotra S; Payne A; Seneviratne S; Thomas A; Warren R; Zhou G; Halim SA; Achlatis M; Alexander LV; Allen M; Berry P; Boyer C; Byers E; Brilli L; Buckeridge M; Cheung W; Craig M; Ellis N; Evans J; Fischer H; Fraedrich K; Fuss S; Ganase A; Gattuso JP; Greve P; Bolaños TG; Hanasaki N; Hasegawa T; Hayes K; Hirsch A; Jones C; Jung T; Kanninen M; Krinner G; Lawrence D; Lenton T; Ley D; Liverman D; Mahowald N; McInnes K; Meissner K; Millar R; Mintenbeck K; Mitchell D; Mix AC; Notz D; Nurse L; Okem A; Olsson L; Oppenheimer M; Paz S; Petersen J; Petzold J; Preuschmann S; Rahman MF; Rogelj J; Scheuffele H; Schleussner C-F; Scott D; Séférian R; Sillmann J; Singh C; Slade R; Stephenson K; Stephenson T; Sylla MB; Tebboth M; Tschakert P; Vautard R; Wartenburger R; Wehner M; Weyer NM; Whyte F; Yohe G; Zhang X; Zougmoré RB, 2018, 'Impacts of 1.5ºC global warming on natural and human systems', in Masson-Delmotte V; Zhai P; Pörtner HO; Roberts D; Skea J; Shukla PR; Pirani A; Moufouma-Okia W; Péan C; Pidcock R; Connors S; Matthews JBR; Chen Y; Zhou X; Gomis MI; Lonnoy E; Maycock T; Tignor M; Waterfield T (ed.), Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty, IPCC Secretariat, pp. 175 - 311, https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/02/SR15_Chapter3_Low_Res.pdf

Sharples JJ; Simpson CC; Evans JP, 2014, 'Environmental thresholds for dynamic fire propagation', in Advances in forest fire research, Imprensa da Universidade de Coimbra, pp. 158 - 164, http://dx.doi.org/10.14195/978-989-26-0884-6_16

Evans J; McGregor J; McGuffie K, 2012, 'Chapter 9 Future Regional Climates', in The Future of the World's Climate, Elsevier, pp. 223 - 250, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-386917-3.00009-9

Evans J; McGregor J; McGuffie K, 2012, 'Future Regional Climates', in Henderson-Sellers A; McGuffie K (ed.), The Future of the World's Climate, pp. 223 - 250, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-386917-3.00009-9

Journal articles

Wasko C; Westra S; Nathan R; Pepler A; Raupach TH; Dowdy A; Johnson F; Ho M; McInnes KL; Jakob D; Evans J; Villarini G; Fowler HJ, 2024, 'A systematic review of climate change science relevant to Australian design flood estimation', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, pp. 1251 - 1285, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1251-2024

Devanand A; Falster GM; Gillett ZE; Hobeichi S; Holgate CM; Jin C; Mu M; Parker T; Rifai SW; Rome KS; Stojanovic M; Vogel E; Abram NJ; Abramowitz G; Coats S; Evans JP; Gallant AJE; Pitman AJ; Power SB; Rauniyar SP; Taschetto AS; Ukkola AM, 2024, 'Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3460

Isphording RN; Alexander LV; Bador M; Green D; Evans JP; Wales S, 2024, 'A Standardized Benchmarking Framework to Assess Downscaled Precipitation Simulations', Journal of Climate, 37, pp. 1089 - 1110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0317.1

Poddar S; Evans J; Prasad A; Kay M; Rougieux F; Bremner S, 2024, 'Accelerated degradation of photovoltaic modules under a future warmer climate', Progress in Photovoltaics: research and applications, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pip.3788

Wamahiu K; Kala J; Evans JP, 2024, 'The influence of bias correction of global climate models prior to dynamical downscaling on projections of changes in climate: a case study over the CORDEX-Australasia domain', Climate Dynamics, 62, pp. 1219 - 1231, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06949-7

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Assessing Australia’s future solar power ramps with climate projections', Scientific Reports, 13, pp. 11503, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38566-z

Poddar S; Kay M; Prasad A; Evans JP; Bremner S, 2023, 'Changes in solar resource intermittency and reliability under Australia's future warmer climate', Solar Energy, 266, pp. 112039, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.112039

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Maximizing photovoltaic potential and minimizing costs in a future warmer climate: The role of atmospheric aerosols and greenhouse gas emissions', Renewable Energy, 219, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2023.119561

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Can Sub-Daily Multivariate Bias Correction of Regional Climate Model Boundary Conditions Improve Simulation of the Diurnal Precipitation Cycle?', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104442

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'A software for correcting systematic biases in RCM input boundary conditions', Environmental Modelling and Software, 168, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105799

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Multivariate bias correction of regional climate model boundary conditions', Climate Dynamics, 61, pp. 3253 - 3269, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06718-6

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Correcting biases in regional climate model boundary variables for improved simulation of high-impact compound events', iScience, 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.107696

Devanand A; Evans JP; Abramowitz G; Hobeichi S; Pitman AJ, 2023, 'What is the probability that a drought will break in Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100598

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A; Ji F, 2023, 'Biases in Estimating Long-Term Recurrence Intervals of Extreme Events Due To Regionalized Sampling', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105286

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Air quality impacts on rooftop photovoltaic energy production during the 2019–2020 Australian bushfires season', Solar Energy, 257, pp. 240 - 248, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.04.014

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A, 2023, 'Analysis and characterisation of extreme wind gust hazards in New South Wales, Australia', Natural Hazards, 117, pp. 875 - 895, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05887-1

Grose MR; Narsey S; Trancoso R; Mackallah C; Delage F; Dowdy A; Di Virgilio G; Watterson I; Dobrohotoff P; Rashid HA; Rauniyar S; Henley B; Thatcher M; Syktus J; Abramowitz G; Evans JP; Su CH; Takbash A, 2023, 'A CMIP6-based multi-model downscaling ensemble to underpin climate change services in Australia', Climate Services, 30, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100368

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood SC; Soderholm J, 2023, 'An object-based climatology of precipitation systems in Sydney, Australia', Climate Dynamics, 60, pp. 1669 - 1688, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06404-z

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans JP; Ji F, 2023, 'Analysis of extreme wind gusts using a high-resolution Australian Regional Reanalysis', Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, pp. 100537, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100537

Ji F; Nishant N; Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Cheung KKW; Tam E; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2022, 'Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluation and projection of climate extremes for southeast Australia', Weather and Climate Extremes, 38, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100526

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Ukkola AM; De Kauwe M; Pitman A; Evans JP; Beck H, 2022, 'Reconciling historical changes in the hydrological cycle over land', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00240-y

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood SC; Soderholm J, 2022, 'Intensification of subhourly heavy rainfall', Science, 378, pp. 655 - 659, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abn8657

Ji F; Nishant N; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Di Virgilio G; Cheung KKW; Tam E; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2022, 'Rapid Warming in the Australian Alps from Observation and NARCliM Simulations', Atmosphere, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos13101686

Holgate C; Evans JP; Taschetto AS; Gupta AS; Santoso A, 2022, 'The Impact of Interacting Climate Modes on East Australian Precipitation Moisture Sources', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 3147 - 3159, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0750.1

Di Virgilio G; Ji F; Tam E; Nishant N; Evans JP; Thomas C; Riley ML; Beyer K; Grose MR; Narsey S; Delage F, 2022, 'Selecting CMIP6 GCMs for CORDEX Dynamical Downscaling: Model Performance, Independence, and Climate Change Signals', Earth's Future, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002625

Giorgi F; Coppola E; Jacob D; Teichmann C; Omar SA; Ashfaq M; Ban N; Bülow K; Bukovsky M; Buntemeyer L; Cavazos T; Ciarlo J; da Rocha RP; Das S; di Sante F; Evans JP; Gao X; Giuliani G; Glazer RH; Hoffmann P; Im ES; Langendijk G; Lierhammer L; Llopart M; Mueller S; Luna-Nino R; Nogherotto R; Pichelli E; Raffaele F; Reboita M; Rechid D; Remedio A; Remke T; Sawadogo W; Sieck K; Torres-Alavez JA; Weber T, 2022, 'The CORDEX-CORE EXP-I Initiative: Description and Highlight Results from the Initial Analysis', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, pp. E293 - E310, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0119.1

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans JP; Ukkola A, 2022, 'Toward a Robust, Impact-Based, Predictive Drought Metric', Water Resources Research, 58, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021WR031829

Diez-Sierr J; Iturbide M; Gutiérrez JM; Fernández J; Milovac J; Cofiño AS; Cimadevilla E; Nikulin G; Levavasseur G; Kjellström E; Bülow K; Horányi A; Brookshaw A; García-Díe M; Pérez A; Baño-Medin J; Ahrens B; Alias A; Ashfaq M; Bukovsky M; Buonomo E; Caluwaerts S; Chou SC; Christensen OB; Ciarlò JM; Coppola E; Corre L; Demory ME; Djurdjevic V; Evans JP; Fealy R; Feldmann H; Jacob D; Jayanarayanan S; Katzfey J; Keuler K; Kittel C; Kurnaz ML; Laprise R; Lionello P; McGinnis S; Mercogliano P; Nabat P; Önol B; Ozturk T; Panitz HJ; Paquin D; Pieczka I; Raffaele F; Remedio AR; Scinocca J; Sevault F; Somot S; Steger C; Tangang F; Teichmann C; Termonia P; Thatcher M; Torma C; Van Meijgaard E; Robert Vautard ; Kirsten Warrach-Sagi ; Winger K; Zittis G, 2022, 'The Worldwide C3S CORDEX Grand Ensemble A Major Contribution to Assess Regional Climate Change in the IPCC AR6 Atlas', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, pp. E2804 - E2826, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0111.1

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Bremner S; Prasad A, 2021, 'Validation of Australian atmospheric aerosols from reanalysis data and CMIP6 simulations', Atmospheric Research, 264, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105856

Spinoni J; Barbosa P; Bucchignani E; Cassano J; Cavazos T; Cescatti A; Christensen JH; Christensen OB; Coppola E; Evans JP; Forzieri G; Geyer B; Giorgi F; Jacob D; Katzfey J; Koenigk T; Laprise R; Lennard CJ; Kurnaz ML; Li D; Llopart M; McCormick N; Naumann G; Nikulin G; Ozturk T; Panitz HJ; da Rocha RP; Solman SA; Syktus J; Tangang F; Teichmann C; Vautard R; Vogt JV; Winger K; Zittis G; Dosio A, 2021, 'Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and SSPs: A CORDEX-based study', International Journal of Climatology, 41, pp. 6825 - 6853, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7302

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2021, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', Environmental Research Letters, 16, pp. 114034, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a64

Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Hirsch AL; Hoffmann P; Remedio AR; Ji F; Rockel B; Coppola E, 2021, 'The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections', Climate Dynamics, 57, pp. 1385 - 1401, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05459-0

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans JP, 2021, 'Robust historical evapotranspiration trends across climate regimes', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25, pp. 3855 - 3874, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3855-2021

Di Luca A; Argüeso D; Sherwood S; Evans JP, 2021, 'Evaluating Precipitation Errors Using the Environmentally Conditioned Intensity-Frequency Decomposition Method', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020ms002447

Badlan RL; Sharples JJ; Evans JP; McRae RHD, 2021, 'Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part I: Fire size and stability', International Journal of Wildland Fire, 30, pp. 484 - 497, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/wf20040

Badlan RL; Sharples JJ; Evans JP; McRae RHD, 2021, 'Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part II: Fire geometry and intensity', International Journal of Wildland Fire, 30, pp. 498 - 512, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/wf20041

Nishant N; Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Downes SM; Ji F; Cheung KKW; Tam E; Miller J; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2021, 'Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluating the Performance of Regional Climate Projections for Southeast Australia for 1950–2100', Earth's Future, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001833

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A; Rocheta E, 2021, 'Spatial, Temporal, and Multivariate Bias in Regional Climate Model Simulations', Geophysical Research Letters, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092058

Ayat H; Evans JP; Behrangi A, 2021, 'How do different sensors impact IMERG precipitation estimates during hurricane days?', Remote Sensing of Environment, 259, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2021.112417

Kulinich M; Fan Y; Penev S; Evans JP; Olson R, 2021, 'A Markov chain method for weighting climate model ensembles', Geoscientific Model Development, 14, pp. 3539 - 3551, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3539-2021

Barker A; Pitman A; Evans JP; Spaninks F; Uthayakumaran L, 2021, 'Drivers of future water demand in Sydney, Australia: Examining the contribution from population and climate change', Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12, pp. 1168 - 1183, http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.230

Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Thomas C; Conroy B; Hart MA; Lipson M; Ertler W, 2021, 'Resolving the influence of local flows on urban heat amplification during heatwaves', Environmental Research Letters, 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac0377

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay MJ; Prasad AA; Bremner S, 2021, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', , http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10507147.1

Fowler HJ; Ali H; Allan RP; Ban N; Barbero R; Berg P; Blenkinsop S; Cabi NS; Chan S; Dale M; Dunn RJH; Ekström M; Evans JP; Fosser G; Golding B; Guerreiro SB; Hegerl GC; Kahraman A; Kendon EJ; Lenderink G; Lewis E; Li X; O'Gorman PA; Orr HG; Peat KL; Prein AF; Pritchard D; Schär C; Sharma A; Stott PA; Villalobos-Herrera R; Villarini G; Wasko C; Wehner MF; Westra S; Whitford A, 2021, 'Towards advancing scientific knowledge of climate change impacts on short-duration rainfall extremes', Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 379, http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2019.0542

Jha PK; Materia S; Zizzi G; Costa-Saura JM; Trabucco A; Evans J; Bregaglio S, 2021, 'Climate change impacts on phenology and yield of hazelnut in Australia', Agricultural Systems, 186, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2020.102982

Burrell AL; Evans JP; De Kauwe MG, 2020, 'Anthropogenic climate change has driven over 5 million km2 of drylands towards desertification', Nature Communications, 11, pp. 3853, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17710-7


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