Select Publications

Book Chapters

Evans J; McGregor J; McGuffie K, 2012, 'Chapter 9 Future Regional Climates', in The Future of the World's Climate, pp. 223 - 250, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-386917-3.00009-9

Evans J; McGregor J; McGuffie K, 2012, 'Future Regional Climates', in Henderson-Sellers A; McGuffie K (ed.), The Future of the World's Climate, pp. 223 - 250, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-386917-3.00009-9

Journal articles

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Bremner S; Prasad A, 2021, 'Validation of Australian atmospheric aerosols from reanalysis data and CMIP6 simulations', Atmospheric Research, vol. 264, pp. 105856 - 105856, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105856

Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Hirsch AL; Hoffmann P; Remedio AR; Ji F; Rockel B; Coppola E, 2021, 'The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections', Climate Dynamics, vol. 57, pp. 1385 - 1401, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05459-0

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans JP, 2021, 'Robust historical evapotranspiration trends across climate regimes', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 25, pp. 3855 - 3874, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3855-2021

Di Luca A; Argüeso D; Sherwood S; Evans JP, 2021, 'Evaluating Precipitation Errors Using the Environmentally Conditioned Intensity-Frequency Decomposition Method', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002447

Badlan RL; Sharples JJ; Evans JP; McRae RHD, 2021, 'Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part I: Fire size and stability', International Journal of Wildland Fire, vol. 30, pp. 484 - 497, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF20040

Badlan RL; Sharples JJ; Evans JP; McRae RHD, 2021, 'Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part II: Fire geometry and intensity', International Journal of Wildland Fire, vol. 30, pp. 498 - 512, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF20041

Nishant N; Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Downes SM; Ji F; Cheung KKW; Tam E; Miller J; Beyer K; Riley ML, 2021, 'Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluating the Performance of Regional Climate Projections for Southeast Australia for 1950–2100', Earth's Future, vol. 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001833

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A; Rocheta E, 2021, 'Spatial, Temporal, and Multivariate Bias in Regional Climate Model Simulations', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092058

Ayat H; Evans JP; Behrangi A, 2021, 'How do different sensors impact IMERG precipitation estimates during hurricane days?', Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 259, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2021.112417

Kulinich M; Fan Y; Penev S; Evans JP; Olson R, 2021, 'A Markov chain method for weighting climate model ensembles', Geoscientific Model Development, vol. 14, pp. 3539 - 3551, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3539-2021

Barker A; Pitman A; Evans JP; Spaninks F; Uthayakumaran L, 2021, 'Drivers of future water demand in Sydney, Australia: examining the contribution from population and climate change', JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE, vol. 12, pp. 1168 - 1183, http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.230

Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Thomas C; Conroy B; Hart MA; Lipson M; Ertler W, 2021, 'Resolving the influence of local flows on urban heat amplification during heatwaves', Environmental Research Letters, vol. 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac0377

Fowler HJ; Ali H; Allan RP; Ban N; Barbero R; Berg P; Blenkinsop S; Cabi NS; Chan S; Dale M; Dunn RJH; Ekström M; Evans JP; Fosser G; Golding B; Guerreiro SB; Hegerl GC; Kahraman A; Kendon EJ; Lenderink G; Lewis E; Li X; O'Gorman PA; Orr HG; Peat KL; Prein AF; Pritchard D; Schär C; Sharma A; Stott PA; Villalobos-Herrera R; Villarini G; Wasko C; Wehner MF; Westra S; Whitford A, 2021, 'Towards advancing scientific knowledge of climate change impacts on short-duration rainfall extremes', Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, vol. 379, pp. 20190542, http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2019.0542

Jha PK; Materia S; Zizzi G; Costa-Saura JM; Trabucco A; Evans J; Bregaglio S, 2021, 'Climate change impacts on phenology and yield of hazelnut in Australia', Agricultural Systems, vol. 186, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2020.102982

Spinoni J; Barbosa P; Bucchignani E; Cassano J; Cavazos T; Cescatti A; Christensen JH; Christensen OB; Coppola E; Evans J; Forzieri G; Geyer B; Giorgi F; Jacob D; Katzfey J; Koenigk T; Laprise R; Lennard CJ; Levent Kurnaz M; Li D; Llopart M; McCormick N; Naumann G; Nikulin G; Ozturk T; Panitz HJ; da Rocha RP; Solman SA; Syktus J; Tangang F; Teichmann C; Vautard R; Vogt JV; Winger K; Zittis G; Dosio A, 2021, 'Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different Warming Levels and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: A Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment-based study', International Journal of Climatology, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7302

Burrell AL; Evans JP; De Kauwe MG, 2020, 'Anthropogenic climate change has driven over 5 million km2 of drylands towards desertification', Nature Communications, vol. 11, pp. 3853, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17710-7

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood S; Behrangi A, 2020, 'Are storm characteristics the same when viewed using merged surface radars or a merged satellite product?', Journal of Hydrometeorology, vol. 22, pp. 43 - 62, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0187.1

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Westra S; Ukkola A; Hong XD; Bador M; Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Zscheischler J, 2020, 'Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events', Nature Communications, vol. 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19639-3

Kim Y; Rocheta E; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2020, 'Impact of bias correction of regional climate model boundary conditions on the simulation of precipitation extremes', Climate Dynamics, vol. 55, pp. 3507 - 3526, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05462-5

Ridder NN; Pitman AJ; Westra S; Ukkola A; Do HX; Bador M; Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Zscheischler J, 2020, 'Publisher Correction: Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events (Nature Communications, (2020), 11, 1, (5956), 10.1038/s41467-020-19639-3)', Nature Communications, vol. 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20502-8

Rocheta E; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2020, 'Correcting lateral boundary biases in regional climate modelling: the effect of the relaxation zone', Climate Dynamics, vol. 55, pp. 2511 - 2521, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05393-1

Ji F; Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Nishant N; Di Luca A; Herold N; Downes SM; Tam E; Beyer K, 2020, 'Projected changes in vertical temperature profiles for Australasia', Climate Dynamics, vol. 55, pp. 2453 - 2468, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05392-2

Zommers Z; Marbaix P; Fischlin A; Ibrahim ZZ; Grant S; Magnan AK; Pörtner HO; Howden M; Calvin K; Warner K; Thiery W; Sebesvari Z; Davin EL; Evans JP; Rosenzweig C; O’Neill BC; Patwardhan A; Warren R; van Aalst MK; Hulbert M, 2020, 'Burning embers: towards more transparent and robust climate-change risk assessments', Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, vol. 1, pp. 516 - 529, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-0088-0

Holgate CM; Van Dijk AIJM; Evans JP; Pitman AJ, 2020, 'Local and Remote Drivers of Southeast Australian Drought', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 47, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090238

Holgate CM; Evans JP; Dijk IJMV; Pitman J; Virgilio GDI, 2020, 'Australian Precipitation Recycling and Evaporative Source Regions', Journal of Climate, vol. 33, pp. 8721 - 8735, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0926.1

Di Virgilio G; Evans JP; Clarke H; Sharples J; Hirsch AL; Hart MA, 2020, 'Climate Change Significantly Alters Future Wildfire Mitigation Opportunities in Southeastern Australia', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 47, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088893

Li Y; Fowler HJ; Argüeso D; Blenkinsop S; Evans JP; Lenderink G; Yan X; Guerreiro SB; Lewis E; Li XF, 2020, 'Strong Intensification of Hourly Rainfall Extremes by Urbanization', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 47, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088758

Di Virgilio G; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Grose MR; Round V; Thatcher M, 2020, 'Realised added value in dynamical downscaling of Australian climate change', Climate Dynamics, vol. 54, pp. 4675 - 4692, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05250-1

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Contractor S; Evans J, 2020, 'Evaluating precipitation datasets using surface water and energy budget closure', Journal of Hydrometeorology, vol. 21, pp. 989 - 1009, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0255.1

Spinoni J; Barbosa P; Bucchignani E; Cassano J; Cavazos T; Christensen JH; Christensen OB; Coppola E; Evans J; Geyer B; Giorgi F; Hadjinicolaou P; Jacob D; Katzfey J; Koenigk T; Laprise R; Lennard CJ; Kurnaz ML; Delei LI; Llopart M; McCormick N; Naumann G; Nikulin G; Ozturk T; Panitz HJ; da Rocha RP; Rockel B; Solman SA; Syktus J; Tangang F; Teichmann C; Vautard R; Vogt JV; Winger K; Zittis G; Dosio A, 2020, 'Future global meteorological drought hot spots: A study based on CORDEX data', Journal of Climate, vol. 33, pp. 3635 - 3661, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0084.1

Cavicchia L; Pepler A; Dowdy A; Evans J; Di Luca A; Walsh K, 2020, 'Future Changes in the Occurrence of Hybrid Cyclones: The Added Value of Cyclone Classification for the East Australian Low-Pressure Systems', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 47, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085751

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans J, 2020, 'Conserving land-atmosphere synthesis suite (CLASS)', Journal of Climate, vol. 33, pp. 1821 - 1844, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0036.1

Hirsch AL; Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE; Argüeso D; Pitman AJ; Carouge CC; Kala J; Andrys J; Petrelli P; Rockel B, 2019, 'Amplification of Australian Heatwaves via Local Land-Atmosphere Coupling', Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, vol. 124, pp. 13625 - 13647, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030665

Olson R; An SI; Fan Y; Chang W; Evans JP; Lee JY, 2019, 'A novel method to test non-exclusive hypotheses applied to Arctic ice projections from dependent models', Nature Communications, vol. 10, pp. 3016, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10561-x

Hirsch AL; Kala J; Carouge CC; De Kauwe MG; Di Virgilio G; Ukkola AM; Evans JP; Abramowitz G, 2019, 'Evaluation of the CABLEv2.3.4 Land Surface Model Coupled to NU-WRFv3.9.1.1 in Simulating Temperature and Precipitation Means and Extremes Over CORDEX AustralAsia Within a WRF Physics Ensemble', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 11, pp. 4466 - 4488, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001845

Dowdy AJ; Ye H; Pepler A; Thatcher M; Osbrough SL; Evans JP; Di Virgilio G; McCarthy N, 2019, 'Future changes in extreme weather and pyroconvection risk factors for Australian wildfires', Scientific Reports, vol. 9, pp. 10073, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-46362-x

Wang B; Liu DL; Evans JP; Ji F; Waters C; Macadam I; Feng P; Beyer K, 2019, 'Modelling and evaluating the impacts of climate change on three major crops in south-eastern Australia using regional climate model simulations', Theoretical and Applied Climatology, vol. 138, pp. 509 - 526, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-019-02843-7

Dowdy AJ; Pepler A; Di Luca A; Cavicchia L; Mills G; Evans JP; Louis S; McInnes KL; Walsh K, 2019, 'Review of Australian east coast low pressure systems and associated extremes', Climate Dynamics, vol. 53, pp. 4887 - 4910, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04836-8

Di Virgilio G; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Olson R; Argüeso D; Kala J; Andrys J; Hoffmann P; Katzfey JJ; Rockel B, 2019, 'Evaluating reanalysis-driven CORDEX regional climate models over Australia: model performance and errors', Climate Dynamics, vol. 53, pp. 2985 - 3005, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04672-w

Grose MR; Syktus J; Thatcher M; Evans JP; Ji F; Rafter T; Remenyi T, 2019, 'The role of topography on projected rainfall change in mid-latitude mountain regions', Climate Dynamics, vol. 53, pp. 3675 - 3690, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04736-x

Burrell AL; Evans JP; Liu Y, 2019, 'The Addition of Temperature to the TSS-RESTREND Methodology Significantly Improves the Detection of Dryland Degradation', IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, vol. 12, pp. 2342 - 2348, http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/JSTARS.2019.2906466

Clarke H; Evans JP, 2019, 'Exploring the future change space for fire weather in southeast Australia', Theoretical and Applied Climatology, vol. 136, pp. 513 - 527, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2507-4

Olson R; An SI; Fan Y; Evans JP, 2019, 'Accounting for skill in trend, variability, and autocorrelation facilitates better multi-model projections: Application to the AMOC and temperature time series', PLoS ONE, vol. 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0214535

Holgate CM; Van Dijk AIJM; Evans JP; Pitman AJ, 2019, 'The Importance of the One-Dimensional Assumption in Soil Moisture - Rainfall Depth Correlation at Varying Spatial Scales', Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, vol. 124, pp. 2964 - 2975, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029762

Ji F; Evans JP; Di Luca A; Jiang N; Olson R; Fita L; Argüeso D; Chang LTC; Scorgie Y; Riley M, 2019, 'Projected change in characteristics of near surface temperature inversions for southeast Australia', Climate Dynamics, vol. 52, pp. 1487 - 1503, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4214-3

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Evans J; Beck HE, 2019, 'Linear Optimal Runoff Aggregate (LORA): A global gridded synthesis runoff product', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 23, pp. 851 - 870, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-851-2019

Di Virgilio G; Evans JP; Blake SAP; Armstrong M; Dowdy AJ; Sharples J; McRae R, 2019, 'Climate Change Increases the Potential for Extreme Wildfires', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 46, pp. 8517 - 8526, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083699

Liu DL; Wang B; Evans J; Ji F; Waters C; Macadam I; Yang X; Beyer K, 2019, 'Propagation of climate model biases to biophysical modelling can complicate assessments of climate change impact in agricultural systems', International Journal of Climatology, vol. 39, pp. 424 - 444, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.5820


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