Select Publications
Book Chapters
2022, 'Desertification', in Climate Change and Land: An IPCC Special Report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems, pp. 249 - 343, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/9781009157988.005
,2022, 'Risk management and decision-making in relation to sustainable development', in Climate Change and Land: An IPCC Special Report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems, pp. 673 - 800, http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/9781009157988.009
,2018, 'Impacts of 1.5ºC global warming on natural and human systems', in Masson-Delmotte V; Zhai P; Pörtner HO; Roberts D; Skea J; Shukla PR; Pirani A; Moufouma-Okia W; Péan C; Pidcock R; Connors S; Matthews JBR; Chen Y; Zhou X; Gomis MI; Lonnoy E; Maycock T; Tignor M; Waterfield T (ed.), Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty, IPCC Secretariat, pp. 175 - 311, https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/02/SR15_Chapter3_Low_Res.pdf
,2014, 'Environmental thresholds for dynamic fire propagation', in Advances in forest fire research, Imprensa da Universidade de Coimbra, pp. 158 - 164, http://dx.doi.org/10.14195/978-989-26-0884-6_16
,2012, 'Chapter 9 Future Regional Climates', in The Future of the World's Climate, Elsevier, pp. 223 - 250, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-386917-3.00009-9
,2012, 'Future Regional Climates', in Henderson-Sellers A; McGuffie K (ed.), The Future of the World's Climate, pp. 223 - 250, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-386917-3.00009-9
,Journal articles
2024, 'Less than 4% of dryland areas are projected to desertify despite increased aridity under climate change', Communications Earth and Environment, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01463-y
,2024, 'Sensitivity of Australian Rainfall to Driving SST Data Sets in a Variable-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model', Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040954
,2024, 'Higher-resolution projections needed for small island climates', Nature Climate Change, 14, pp. 668 - 670, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02028-9
,2024, 'The observation range adjusted method: a novel approach to accounting for observation uncertainty in model evaluation', Environmental Research Communications, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad5ad8
,2024, 'Changes in moisture sources contributed to the onset and development of the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, pp. 100672, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100672
,2024, 'Evaluation of precipitation extremes in ERA5 reanalysis driven regional climate simulations over the CORDEX-Australasia domain', Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100676
,2024, 'A systematic review of climate change science relevant to Australian design flood estimation', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, pp. 1251 - 1285, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1251-2024
,2024, 'Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3460
,2024, 'A Standardized Benchmarking Framework to Assess Downscaled Precipitation Simulations', Journal of Climate, 37, pp. 1089 - 1110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0317.1
,2024, 'Accelerated degradation of photovoltaic modules under a future warmer climate', Progress in Photovoltaics: research and applications, 32, pp. 456 - 467, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pip.3788
,2024, 'The influence of bias correction of global climate models prior to dynamical downscaling on projections of changes in climate: a case study over the CORDEX-Australasia domain', Climate Dynamics, 62, pp. 1219 - 1231, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06949-7
,2023, 'Assessing Australia’s future solar power ramps with climate projections', Scientific Reports, 13, pp. 11503, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38566-z
,2023, 'Changes in solar resource intermittency and reliability under Australia's future warmer climate', Solar Energy, 266, pp. 112039, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.112039
,2023, 'Maximizing photovoltaic potential and minimizing costs in a future warmer climate: The role of atmospheric aerosols and greenhouse gas emissions', Renewable Energy, 219, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2023.119561
,2023, 'Can Sub-Daily Multivariate Bias Correction of Regional Climate Model Boundary Conditions Improve Simulation of the Diurnal Precipitation Cycle?', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104442
,2023, 'A software for correcting systematic biases in RCM input boundary conditions', Environmental Modelling and Software, 168, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105799
,2023, 'Multivariate bias correction of regional climate model boundary conditions', Climate Dynamics, 61, pp. 3253 - 3269, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06718-6
,2023, 'Correcting biases in regional climate model boundary variables for improved simulation of high-impact compound events', iScience, 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.107696
,2023, 'What is the probability that a drought will break in Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100598
,2023, 'Biases in Estimating Long-Term Recurrence Intervals of Extreme Events Due To Regionalized Sampling', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105286
,2023, 'Air quality impacts on rooftop photovoltaic energy production during the 2019–2020 Australian bushfires season', Solar Energy, 257, pp. 240 - 248, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.04.014
,2023, 'Reduced moisture sources contributed to the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4681
,2023, 'Analysis and characterisation of extreme wind gust hazards in New South Wales, Australia', Natural Hazards, 117, pp. 875 - 895, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05887-1
,2023, 'A CMIP6-based multi-model downscaling ensemble to underpin climate change services in Australia', Climate Services, 30, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100368
,2023, 'An object-based climatology of precipitation systems in Sydney, Australia', Climate Dynamics, 60, pp. 1669 - 1688, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06404-z
,2023, 'Analysis of extreme wind gusts using a high-resolution Australian Regional Reanalysis', Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, pp. 100537, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100537
,2022, 'Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluation and projection of climate extremes for southeast Australia', Weather and Climate Extremes, 38, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100526
,2022, 'Reconciling historical changes in the hydrological cycle over land', npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00240-y
,2022, 'Intensification of subhourly heavy rainfall', Science, 378, pp. 655 - 659, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abn8657
,2022, 'Rapid Warming in the Australian Alps from Observation and NARCliM Simulations', Atmosphere, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos13101686
,2022, 'The Impact of Interacting Climate Modes on East Australian Precipitation Moisture Sources', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 3147 - 3159, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0750.1
,2022, 'Selecting CMIP6 GCMs for CORDEX Dynamical Downscaling: Model Performance, Independence, and Climate Change Signals', Earth's Future, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002625
,2022, 'The CORDEX-CORE EXP-I Initiative: Description and Highlight Results from the Initial Analysis', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, pp. E293 - E310, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0119.1
,2022, 'Toward a Robust, Impact-Based, Predictive Drought Metric', Water Resources Research, 58, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021WR031829
,2022, 'The Worldwide C3S CORDEX Grand Ensemble A Major Contribution to Assess Regional Climate Change in the IPCC AR6 Atlas', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, pp. E2804 - E2826, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0111.1
,2021, 'Validation of Australian atmospheric aerosols from reanalysis data and CMIP6 simulations', Atmospheric Research, 264, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105856
,2021, 'Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and SSPs: A CORDEX-based study', International Journal of Climatology, 41, pp. 6825 - 6853, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7302
,2021, 'Estimation of future changes in photovoltaic potential in Australia due to climate change', Environmental Research Letters, 16, pp. 114034, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a64
,2021, 'The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections', Climate Dynamics, 57, pp. 1385 - 1401, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05459-0
,2021, 'Robust historical evapotranspiration trends across climate regimes', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25, pp. 3855 - 3874, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3855-2021
,2021, 'Evaluating Precipitation Errors Using the Environmentally Conditioned Intensity-Frequency Decomposition Method', Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002447
,2021, 'Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part I: Fire size and stability', International Journal of Wildland Fire, 30, pp. 484 - 497, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF20040
,2021, 'Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part II: Fire geometry and intensity', International Journal of Wildland Fire, 30, pp. 498 - 512, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF20041
,2021, 'Introducing NARCliM1.5: Evaluating the Performance of Regional Climate Projections for Southeast Australia for 1950–2100', Earth's Future, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001833
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